Liverpool vs Manchester City

Full Time

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.22
50% pred
+4.7%
MARGINAL
Draw
3.76
24% pred
-2.5%
Away Win
2.92
26% pred
-8.1%
BTTS Yes 1.45 47%
BTTS No 2.66 41% MARGINAL

Key Insights

Rotation Risk

Manchester City

Manchester City has 5 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

High impact

Top Scorer

Liverpool

Liverpool has Hugo Ekitiké ranked #4 in league scoring (10 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Manchester City

Manchester City has Erling Haaland ranked #1 in league scoring (20 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 46.8% BTTS vs 69.0% market consensus - lower probability, 22.1% gap

Medium impact

Match Normality

60%

Significant concerns

Match Info

Kickoff
Sun, Feb 8 2026 · 16:30
Venue
Anfield (Liverpool)
Competition
Premier League · 25
Referee
Craig Pawson Craig Pawson

Coaches

Arne Slot

Arne Slot

Liverpool Liverpool

In role since Jul 2024

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Josep Guardiola i Sala

Josep Guardiola i Sala

Manchester City Manchester City

In role since Jul 2016

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Liverpool Liverpool
3W 1D 1L
3 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0
L H Manchester City Manchester City 1-2
W H Newcastle United Newcastle United 4-1
W H Qarabağ Qarabağ 6-0
D H Burnley Burnley 1-1
3W 1D 1L
3 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0
L H Manchester City Manchester City 1-2
W H Newcastle United Newcastle United 4-1
W H Qarabağ Qarabağ 6-0
D H Burnley Burnley 1-1
3W 1D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W A Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-0
W A Sunderland Sunderland 1-0
L A AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth 2-3
W A Olympique Marseille Olympique Marseille 3-0
D A Arsenal Arsenal 0-0
4W 0D 1L
2 GF · 0.6 GA
W A Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-0
W H Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0
W A Sunderland Sunderland 1-0
L H Manchester City Manchester City 1-2
W H Newcastle United Newcastle United 4-1
Manchester City Manchester City
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.6 GA
W A Liverpool Liverpool 2-1
D A Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur 2-2
L A Bodø / Glimt Bodø / Glimt 1-3
L A Manchester United Manchester United 0-2
W A Newcastle United Newcastle United 2-0
5W 0D 0L
2.4 GF · 0.4 GA
W H Newcastle United Newcastle United 2-1
W H Salford City Salford City 2-0
W H Fulham Fulham 3-0
W H Newcastle United Newcastle United 3-1
W H Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-0
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.6 GA
W A Liverpool Liverpool 2-1
D A Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur 2-2
L A Bodø / Glimt Bodø / Glimt 1-3
L A Manchester United Manchester United 0-2
W A Newcastle United Newcastle United 2-0
5W 0D 0L
2.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W H Newcastle United Newcastle United 2-1
W H Salford City Salford City 2-0
W H Fulham Fulham 3-0
W A Liverpool Liverpool 2-1
W H Newcastle United Newcastle United 3-1

Sidelined Players

Liverpool Liverpool 7 out
Stefan Bajcetic
Stefan Bajcetic
suspended
Harvey Davies
Harvey Davies
suspended
Alexander Isak
Alexander Isak
injury
Giovanni Leoni
Giovanni Leoni
injury
Wataru Endo
Wataru Endo
injury

+2 more

Manchester City Manchester City 4 out
Sverre Nypan
Sverre Nypan
suspended
Mateo Kovacic 
Mateo Kovacic 
injury
Josko Gvardiol 
Josko Gvardiol 
injury
Savinho
Savinho
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Liverpool
4
40%
Draws
2
20%
Manchester City
4
40%
Avg Goals
3.0
BTTS
60%

League Signals

Predictability
47%
LOW
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
23%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
56%

Final Words

Liverpool enter this match in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. Manchester City arrive in strong form with 5 wins from 5 games.