Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Value Assessment
Home Win
1.61
53% pred
-9.1%
Draw
4.29
25% pred
+1.7%
Away Win
5.65
22% pred
+4.3%
MARGINAL
BTTS Yes
1.55
53%
BTTS No
2.37
47%
VALUE
Key Insights
Title Race
Lens in position 2, 2 points behind leader - competing for title
High impactEuropean Race
Monaco in position 6 - competing for Conference League qualification
High impactDefensive Fortress
Lens has excellent defensive record: 5 clean sheets in last 8 matches (62%) - favors Under/BTTS No
Medium impactTop Scorer
Lens has Wesley Saïd ranked #4 in league scoring (10 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactTop Scorer
Monaco has Ansu Fati ranked #9 in league scoring (8 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactBookmaker Split
Bookmakers disagree on home win: 1.28 (Betsson) to 1.76 (Marathonbet) - 21.3% probability spread indicates market uncertainty
High impactBookmaker Split
Bookmakers disagree on away win: 3.98 (Sbo) to 10.00 (Betfair) - 15.1% probability spread indicates market uncertainty
Medium impactMatch Normality
55%
Significant concerns
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Feb 21 2026
·
16:00
Venue
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
(Lens)
Competition
Ligue 1
·
23
Referee
Willy Delajod
Coaches
Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Recent Form
Lens
4W 0D 1L
1.8 GF · 0.8 GA
L
H
Monaco
2-3
Monaco
2-3
W
H
Rennes
3-1
Rennes
3-1
W
H
Le Havre
1-0
Le Havre
1-0
W
H
Auxerre
1-0
Auxerre
1-0
W
H
Nice
2-0
Nice
2-0
4W 0D 1L
1.8 GF · 0.8 GA
L
H
Monaco
2-3
Monaco
2-3
W
H
Rennes
3-1
Rennes
3-1
W
H
Le Havre
1-0
Le Havre
1-0
W
H
Auxerre
1-0
Auxerre
1-0
W
H
Nice
2-0
Nice
2-0
4W 0D 1L
2.6 GF · 1 GA
W
A
Paris
5-0
Paris
5-0
L
A
Olympique Marseille
1-3
Olympique Marseille
1-3
W
A
Toulouse
3-0
Toulouse
3-0
W
A
Nantes
2-1
Nantes
2-1
W
A
Angers SCO
2-1
Angers SCO
2-1
3W 0D 2L
2.4 GF · 1.4 GA
L
H
Monaco
2-3
Monaco
2-3
W
A
Paris
5-0
Paris
5-0
W
H
Rennes
3-1
Rennes
3-1
W
H
Le Havre
1-0
Le Havre
1-0
L
A
Olympique Marseille
1-3
Olympique Marseille
1-3
Monaco
1W 2D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.8 GA
W
A
Lens
3-2
Lens
3-2
D
A
Nice
0-0
Nice
0-0
D
A
Le Havre
0-0
Le Havre
0-0
L
A
Real Madrid
1-6
Real Madrid
1-6
L
A
Olympique Marseille
0-1
Olympique Marseille
0-1
2W 1D 2L
2 GF · 1.4 GA
L
H
Paris Saint Germain
2-3
Paris Saint Germain
2-3
W
H
Nantes
3-1
Nantes
3-1
W
H
Rennes
4-0
Rennes
4-0
D
H
Juventus
0-0
Juventus
0-0
L
H
Lorient
1-3
Lorient
1-3
1W 2D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.8 GA
W
A
Lens
3-2
Lens
3-2
D
A
Nice
0-0
Nice
0-0
D
A
Le Havre
0-0
Le Havre
0-0
L
A
Real Madrid
1-6
Real Madrid
1-6
L
A
Olympique Marseille
0-1
Olympique Marseille
0-1
3W 1D 1L
2.4 GF · 1.2 GA
W
A
Lens
3-2
Lens
3-2
L
H
Paris Saint Germain
2-3
Paris Saint Germain
2-3
W
H
Nantes
3-1
Nantes
3-1
D
A
Nice
0-0
Nice
0-0
W
H
Rennes
4-0
Rennes
4-0
Sidelined Players
Lens
6 out
Kyllian Antonio
injury
Samson Baidoo
injury
Jonathan Gradit
injury
Régis Gurtner
injury
Anass Zaroury
suspension
+1 more
Monaco
17 out
Christian Mawissa
injury
Lukas Hradecky
injury
Mamadou Coulibaly
suspended
Takumi Minamino
suspended
Mohammed Salisu
suspended
+12 more
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Lens
5
50%
Draws
2
20%
Monaco
3
30%
Avg Goals
3.8
BTTS
60%
League Signals
Predictability
52%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.8
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
56%
Over 2.5
54%
Final Words
This Ligue 1 fixture features Lens hosting Monaco. Kickoff is 16:00 UTC on 2026-02-21. Lens is listed as the home top pick with 54.07% probability, and the match includes rotation risk due to Lens' congested schedule.
Lens
Lens arrive in strong domestic form, four wins from five, scoring 11 and conceding 4. They lead the Ligue 1 table and carry motivation to maintain position. Three fixtures in 14 days introduce rotation risk for Lens.
Monaco
Monaco have five matches in the sample: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, with 9 goals for and 4 against. They sit eighth and remain in contention for European qualification. There is no prior head-to-head data between Lens and Monaco.
