Lecce vs Udinese

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.99
29% pred
-4.4%
Draw
2.80
29% pred
-7.1%
Away Win
2.71
42% pred
+5.5%
VALUE
BTTS Yes 2.17 41%
BTTS No 1.65 49%

Key Insights

Must Win

Lecce

Lecce in position 17 with poor recent form (7% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Top Scorer

Udinese

Udinese has Keinan Davis ranked #8 in league scoring (7 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

90%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sun, Feb 8 2026 · 14:00
Venue
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare (Lecce)
Competition
Serie A · 24
Referee
Andrea Rapuano Andrea Rapuano

Coaches

Eusebio Di Francesco
Eusebio Di Francesco Lecce Lecce

In role since Jun 2025

Attack Tempo

0.8

Defensive Control

19.3%

Match Shape

31.6%

Since 2025-06-26, Lecce under Eusebio Di Francesco show a low-scoring profile: 0.8 goals for per game against 1.4, with a 19.3% clean sheet rate. BTTS occurs in 45.6% of matches, and draws reach 31.6%, suggesting a defensively cautious setup with limited goal threat and openings in both boxes. With only three seasons analyzed, sample size is small, so these signals carry notable variance.

Kosta Runjaic
Kosta Runjaic Udinese Udinese

In role since Jul 2024

Attack Tempo

1.1

Defensive Control

24.6%

Match Shape

35.1%

Udinese, under Kosta Runjaic since July 2024, shows a modest attacking output of 1.1 goals per game and a conceding rate of 1.4, hinting at a balanced but slightly defensive approach. The BTTS rate of 54.4% and a 24.6% clean sheet share imply a tendency toward open games, with few clean sheets. A 35.1% draw rate reinforces point-sharing tendencies. With three seasons analyzed, the sample is modest, so observed tendencies carry variance.

Recent Form

Lecce Lecce
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.4 GA
L H Inter Inter 0-2
W H Udinese Udinese 2-1
D H Lazio Lazio 0-0
L H Parma Parma 1-2
L H Roma Roma 0-2
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.4 GA
L H Inter Inter 0-2
W H Udinese Udinese 2-1
D H Lazio Lazio 0-0
L H Parma Parma 1-2
L H Roma Roma 0-2
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 0.8 GA
W A Cagliari Cagliari 2-0
L A Torino Torino 0-1
L A AC Milan AC Milan 0-1
L A Inter Inter 0-1
D A Juventus Juventus 1-1
2W 1D 2L
0.8 GF · 0.8 GA
L H Inter Inter 0-2
W A Cagliari Cagliari 2-0
W H Udinese Udinese 2-1
L A Torino Torino 0-1
D H Lazio Lazio 0-0
Udinese Udinese
2W 0D 3L
1.4 GF · 2 GA
L A Lecce Lecce 1-2
W A Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 3-1
W A Torino Torino 2-1
L A Como Como 0-1
L A Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-5
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.2 GA
L H Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-2
W H Roma Roma 1-0
L H Inter Inter 0-1
D H Pisa Pisa 2-2
D H Lazio Lazio 1-1
2W 0D 3L
1.4 GF · 2 GA
L A Lecce Lecce 1-2
W A Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 3-1
W A Torino Torino 2-1
L A Como Como 0-1
L A Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-5
2W 0D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.2 GA
L H Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-2
L A Lecce Lecce 1-2
W H Roma Roma 1-0
W A Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 3-1
L H Inter Inter 0-1

Sidelined Players

Lecce Lecce 1 out
Francesco Camarda
Francesco Camarda
injury
Udinese Udinese 1 out
Keinan Davis
Keinan Davis
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Lecce
3
30%
Draws
2
20%
Udinese
5
50%
Avg Goals
2.1
BTTS
50%

League Signals

Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
51%

Final Words

Lecce vs Udinese kicks off at 14:00 [GMT] on Sunday, February 8, at the Via del Mare.
Lecce Lecce

<p>Lecce [LLLDL] will welcome Udinese to Stadio Ettore Giardiniero – Via del Mare for a Serie A football encounter that could prove significant for both sides as they aim to steer clear of danger and stabilise their campaigns. The match context frames two teams in precarious positions, each looking to steady their trajectory.</p> <p>The hosts have lost six of their 12 league matches on home soil, a return that highlights their vulnerability even in familiar surroundings. More concerning is their lack of attacking output — Lecce have failed to score in each of their last four Serie A matches, suggesting a growing confidence issue in the final third.</p> <p>Without a reliable goal threat, even competitive performances have yielded little reward. Their long-term record underlines the challenge ahead, with Lecce managing just six wins across their last 38 Serie A fixtures, a statistic that illustrates how difficult it has been to convert effort into results.</p> <p>While defensive organisation has occasionally kept them in games, their inability to capitalise on chances has prevented them from climbing the table.</p> <p>Recent trends point toward another tight affair. Lecce’s last four league matches have all produced under 2.5 goals, and six of their previous 10 home games have followed the same pattern.</p> <p>Pulling further away from the bottom three remains one of the key objectives for the 17th-placed side. A 4-3-3 formation with Walid Cheddira, Sottil and Santiago Pierotti in attack is expected against the Little Zebras.</p>

Udinese Udinese

<p>Following a 1-0 win over Roma on Monday night, Udinese [WDLWW] arrive with slightly steadier form, though their away performances have not been flawless. Three defeats in their last six road trips indicate some inconsistency, but compared to Lecce’s struggles, the visitors appear better equipped to manage the pressure of this matchup.</p> <p>History strongly favours Udinese as well. Lecce have lost 16 of the last 26 meetings between the sides, and the visitors have won each of the last four Serie A clashes. That psychological edge could play a huge role here.</p> <p>Goal expectations remain modest here too. Udinese’s last six away league games against Lecce have all produced fewer than three goals, reinforcing the likelihood of a controlled, defence-first contest.</p> <p>While neither side enters the fixture in dominant form, Udinese’s superior head-to-head record and Lecce’s ongoing offensive struggles suggest the visitors may hold a slight advantage. Nevertheless, in matches where goals are expected to be scarce, fine margins often determine the result — setting the stage for what could be a tense and tactical Serie A showdown.</p> <p>A 3—5—1—1 formation with Keinan Davis in attack is expected here.</p>