Serie A Predictions

Lecce vs Inter

Full Time
Serie A Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Lecce

Lecce

0
-
2
Inter

Inter

Value Assessment Key Insights Match Context Coaches Recent Form Sidelined Head-to-Head League Signals Final Words

Value Assessment

Home Win
7.51
15% pred
+1.6%
Draw
3.97
24% pred
-1.0%
Away Win
1.48
61% pred
-6.6%
BTTS Yes 2.12 41%
BTTS No 1.69 59%

Key Insights

Title Race

Inter

Inter leading the table - high motivation to maintain position

High impact

Rotation Risk

Inter

Inter has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Must Win

Lecce

Lecce in position 17 with poor recent form (27% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Away Specialist

Inter

Inter exceptional away form: 7 wins in last 8 away matches (88% win rate)

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Inter

Inter has Lautaro Martínez ranked #1 in league scoring (14 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

75%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Feb 21 2026 · 17:00
Venue
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare (Lecce)
Competition
Serie A · 26
Referee
Gianluca Manganiello Gianluca Manganiello

Coaches

Eusebio Di Francesco
Eusebio Di Francesco Lecce Lecce

In role since Jun 2025

Attack Tempo

0.8

Defensive Control

19.3%

Match Shape

31.6%

Since 2025-06-26, Lecce under Eusebio Di Francesco show a low-scoring profile: 0.8 goals for per game against 1.4, with a 19.3% clean sheet rate. BTTS occurs in 45.6% of matches, and draws reach 31.6%, suggesting a defensively cautious setup with limited goal threat and openings in both boxes. With only three seasons analyzed, sample size is small, so these signals carry notable variance.

Cristian Eugen Chivu
Cristian Eugen Chivu Inter Inter

In role since Jun 2025

Attack Tempo

2.1

Defensive Control

43.9%

Match Shape

16.7%

Inter under Cristian Eugen Chivu shows a front-foot profile: scoring 2.1 goals per match while conceding 0.9, supported by a 43.9% clean-sheet rate. BTTS lands in 46.5% of matches, suggesting a balance between attacking intent and defensive discipline. Draws are relatively infrequent (16.7%), implying decisive results. Given three seasons of data, these signals carry moderate reliability and should be treated with caution due to sample size.

Recent Form

Lecce Lecce
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.4 GA
L H Inter Inter 0-2
W H Udinese Udinese 2-1
D H Lazio Lazio 0-0
L H Parma Parma 1-2
L H Roma Roma 0-2
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.4 GA
L H Inter Inter 0-2
W H Udinese Udinese 2-1
D H Lazio Lazio 0-0
L H Parma Parma 1-2
L H Roma Roma 0-2
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 0.8 GA
W A Cagliari Cagliari 2-0
L A Torino Torino 0-1
L A AC Milan AC Milan 0-1
L A Inter Inter 0-1
D A Juventus Juventus 1-1
2W 1D 2L
0.8 GF · 0.8 GA
L H Inter Inter 0-2
W A Cagliari Cagliari 2-0
W H Udinese Udinese 2-1
L A Torino Torino 0-1
D H Lazio Lazio 0-0
Inter Inter
4W 0D 1L
2.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W A Lecce Lecce 2-0
L A Bodø / Glimt Bodø / Glimt 1-3
W A Sassuolo Sassuolo 5-0
W A Cremonese Cremonese 2-0
W A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-0
4W 0D 1L
2.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W H Juventus Juventus 3-2
W H Torino Torino 2-1
W H Pisa Pisa 6-2
L H Arsenal Arsenal 1-3
W H Lecce Lecce 1-0
4W 0D 1L
2.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W A Lecce Lecce 2-0
L A Bodø / Glimt Bodø / Glimt 1-3
W A Sassuolo Sassuolo 5-0
W A Cremonese Cremonese 2-0
W A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-0
4W 0D 1L
2.6 GF · 1.2 GA
W A Lecce Lecce 2-0
L A Bodø / Glimt Bodø / Glimt 1-3
W H Juventus Juventus 3-2
W A Sassuolo Sassuolo 5-0
W H Torino Torino 2-1

Sidelined Players

Lecce Lecce 1 out
Francesco Camarda
Francesco Camarda
injury
Inter Inter 2 out
Joaquín Correa
Joaquín Correa
injury
Lautaro Martínez
Lautaro Martínez
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Lecce
0
0%
Draws
1
10%
Inter
9
90%
Avg Goals
2.6
BTTS
20%

League Signals

Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
51%

Final Words

Serie A fixture: Lecce host Inter on 21 February 2026, with kickoff at 17:00 UTC. Inter is the away side and is identified as the favored selection, with about 60.5% likelihood. Both sides face rotation risk due to a congested 14-day window.
Lecce Lecce

Lecce have a mixed run in their last five matches. In head-to-head, Lecce have not defeated Inter in the only previous meeting, which Inter won. Rotation risk is noted for Lecce due to the congested 14-day schedule.

Inter Inter

Inter show a strong recent run, with multiple wins in the last five matches. They lead the Serie A table and have motivation to maintain top position. Rotation risk is present for Inter because of the congested schedule.

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