Lazio vs Genoa

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.21
46% pred
+0.4%
Draw
2.90
31% pred
-3.5%
Away Win
3.83
23% pred
-2.8%
BTTS Yes 2.25 34%
BTTS No 1.61 57%

Key Insights

Streak Watch

Genoa

Genoa unbeaten in 5 games (2 wins, 3 draws) - solid defensive form

Medium impact

Match Normality

100%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff
Fri, Jan 30 2026 · 19:45
Venue
Stadio Olimpico (Roma)
Competition
Serie A · 23
Referee
Luca Zufferli Luca Zufferli

Coaches

Maurizio Sarri
Maurizio Sarri Lazio Lazio

In role since Jun 2025

Attack Tempo

1.5

Defensive Control

37.7%

Match Shape

22.8%

Across three Serie A seasons with Lazio under Maurizio Sarri (manager since 2025-06-02), the team averages 1.5 goals for per match and 1.0 against. BTTS lands at 49.1% and clean sheets at 37.7%, while draws account for 22.8% of games. The tendency appears toward a modest scoring pace with defensive solidity, and the probability of both-sides scoring and a share of draws. Over three seasons, there is uncertainty around these signals due to sample size.

Daniele De Rossi
Daniele De Rossi Genoa Genoa

In role since Nov 2025

Attack Tempo

1.0

Defensive Control

26.3%

Match Shape

36.8%

Under Daniele De Rossi since 6 Nov 2025, Genoa show a balanced approach in Italian football: roughly 1 goal for and 1.4 against per match, implying a defensively cautious but not ultra-compact unit. A BTTS rate of 49.1% and a clean sheet share of 26.3% point to periodic defensive gaps, with draws at 36.8% suggesting frequent parity. Given only three seasons, these signals carry limited sample size; prospects for tactical shifts remain uncertain.

Recent Form

Lazio Lazio
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 2.2 GA
L H Atalanta Atalanta 0-2
W H Genoa Genoa 3-2
L H Como Como 0-3
D H Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-2
L H Napoli Napoli 0-2
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 2.2 GA
L H Atalanta Atalanta 0-2
W H Genoa Genoa 3-2
L H Como Como 0-3
D H Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-2
L H Napoli Napoli 0-2
1W 4D 0L
0.8 GF · 0.6 GA
D A Cagliari Cagliari 0-0
D A Bologna Bologna 1-1
D A Juventus Juventus 2-2
D A Lecce Lecce 0-0
W A Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-0
1W 3D 1L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
D A Cagliari Cagliari 0-0
L H Atalanta Atalanta 0-2
D A Bologna Bologna 1-1
D A Juventus Juventus 2-2
W H Genoa Genoa 3-2
Genoa Genoa
0W 3D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.4 GA
D A Cremonese Cremonese 0-0
L A Lazio Lazio 2-3
D A Parma Parma 0-0
D A AC Milan AC Milan 1-1
L A Roma Roma 1-3
3W 1D 1L
2.4 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Torino Torino 3-0
L H Napoli Napoli 2-3
W H Bologna Bologna 3-2
W H Cagliari Cagliari 3-0
D H Pisa Pisa 1-1
0W 3D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.4 GA
D A Cremonese Cremonese 0-0
L A Lazio Lazio 2-3
D A Parma Parma 0-0
D A AC Milan AC Milan 1-1
L A Roma Roma 1-3
2W 1D 2L
2 GF · 1.6 GA
W H Torino Torino 3-0
D A Cremonese Cremonese 0-0
L H Napoli Napoli 2-3
L A Lazio Lazio 2-3
W H Bologna Bologna 3-2

Sidelined Players

Lazio Lazio 6 out
Nicolò Rovella 
Nicolò Rovella 
injury
Nicolò Rovella 
Nicolò Rovella 
injury
Mario Gila
Mario Gila
injury
Mattia Zaccagni 
Mattia Zaccagni 
injury
Pedro
Pedro
injury

+1 more

Genoa Genoa 2 out
Sebastian Otoa
Sebastian Otoa
injury
M. Badelj
M. Badelj
suspended

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Lazio
9
90%
Draws
0
0%
Genoa
1
10%
Avg Goals
3.2
BTTS
40%

League Signals

Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
51%

Final Words

Lazio vs Genoa kicks off at 19:45 [GMT] on Friday, January 30, at the Stadio Olimpico.
Lazio Lazio

<p>Lazio [LDWLD] welcome Genoa to the Stadio Olimpico for a Serie A football fixture that pits a side pushing for consistency in mid-table against a relegation-threatened opponent.</p> <p>Lazio sit ninth in the standings on 29 points, while Genoa occupy 16th with 23 points.</p> <p>With only a small cushion separating Genoa from the bottom three, this fixture carries added importance for the visitors.</p> <p>Recent form patterns suggest a tight and potentially cagey contest.</p> <p>Lazio have drawn 50% of their last six home league matches, highlighting a tendency to share the spoils at the Olimpico rather than dominate games.</p> <p>That theme is reinforced by the goal data: in 67% of Lazio’s last six home fixtures, there have been under 2.5 goals.</p> <p>From Genoa’s perspective, away matches have often followed a similar script.</p> <p>They have drawn three of their last six away Serie A games, and while victories have been scarce, they have shown an increased ability to avoid defeat.</p> <p>Historically, however, this fixture has strongly favoured Lazio.</p> <p>The Biancocelesti have kept clean sheets in their last four Serie A meetings with Genoa and have avoided defeat in ten of the last eleven league encounters between the sides.</p> <p>That defensive solidity against Genoa has been a consistent theme and will give Lazio confidence heading into this clash.</p> <p>A 4-3-3 formation with Boulaye Dia, Mattia Zaccagni and Matteo Cancellieri in attack is expected against Genoa.</p>

Genoa Genoa

<p>Genoa [DDWDW] have not lost in five of their last six away league matches, a run that suggests resilience despite their lowly position. Genoa’s broader away record remains a concern despite recent improvement.</p> <p>They have won only three of their last 20 away Serie A matches, a statistic that reflects long-term struggles on the road. While draws have helped them collect points, a lack of cutting edge has often prevented them from turning solid performances into much-needed victories.</p> <p>All signs point towards another tight encounter.</p> <p>Lazio’s strong head-to-head record and defensive reliability against Genoa suggest they will be difficult to break down, but their own scoring limitations could keep the contest finely balanced. With Genoa showing greater resistance away from home and Lazio prone to draws at the Olimpico, this fixture has the feel of a low-scoring battle where patience and discipline may ultimately decide the outcome.</p> <p>Vitinha and Lorenzo could team up at the attacking end of Genoa’s 3-5-2 formation.</p>