Lazio vs Atalanta

Value Assessment

Home Win
3.36
31% pred
+1.0%
Draw
3.07
29% pred
-3.8%
Away Win
2.27
40% pred
-3.6%
BTTS Yes 1.76 39%
BTTS No 2.01 51%

Key Insights

European Race

Atalanta

Atalanta in position 6 - competing for Conference League qualification

High impact

Top Scorer

Atalanta

Atalanta has Nikola Krstović ranked #7 in league scoring (7 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

80%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Feb 14 2026 · 17:00
Venue
Stadio Olimpico (Roma)
Competition
Serie A · 25
Referee
Juan Luca Sacchi Juan Luca Sacchi

Coaches

Maurizio Sarri
Maurizio Sarri Lazio Lazio

In role since Jun 2025

Attack Tempo

1.5

Defensive Control

37.7%

Match Shape

22.8%

Across three Serie A seasons with Lazio under Maurizio Sarri (manager since 2025-06-02), the team averages 1.5 goals for per match and 1.0 against. BTTS lands at 49.1% and clean sheets at 37.7%, while draws account for 22.8% of games. The tendency appears toward a modest scoring pace with defensive solidity, and the probability of both-sides scoring and a share of draws. Over three seasons, there is uncertainty around these signals due to sample size.

Raffaele Palladino
Raffaele Palladino Atalanta Atalanta

In role since Nov 2025

Attack Tempo

1.9

Defensive Control

34.2%

Match Shape

18.4%

Atalanta, under manager Raffaele Palladino since 2025-11-11, show 1.9 goals for and 1.1 against per match across three seasons. The BTTS rate sits at 53.5% with a 34.2% clean sheet rate, signaling an attack-oriented profile supported by periodic defensive resilience. Draws account for 18.4% of results, implying frequent non-decisions rather than clear edges. Given the sample size, there is some uncertainty about longer-term stability of these tendencies.

Recent Form

Lazio Lazio
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 2.2 GA
L H Atalanta Atalanta 0-2
W H Genoa Genoa 3-2
L H Como Como 0-3
D H Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-2
L H Napoli Napoli 0-2
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 2.2 GA
L H Atalanta Atalanta 0-2
W H Genoa Genoa 3-2
L H Como Como 0-3
D H Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-2
L H Napoli Napoli 0-2
1W 4D 0L
0.8 GF · 0.6 GA
D A Cagliari Cagliari 0-0
D A Bologna Bologna 1-1
D A Juventus Juventus 2-2
D A Lecce Lecce 0-0
W A Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-0
1W 3D 1L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
D A Cagliari Cagliari 0-0
L H Atalanta Atalanta 0-2
D A Bologna Bologna 1-1
D A Juventus Juventus 2-2
W H Genoa Genoa 3-2
Atalanta Atalanta
1W 2D 2L
0.6 GF · 0.8 GA
L A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0-2
W A Lazio Lazio 2-0
D A Como Como 0-0
L A Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-1
D A Pisa Pisa 1-1
4W 0D 1L
2.6 GF · 1 GA
W H Napoli Napoli 2-1
W H Cremonese Cremonese 2-1
W H Juventus Juventus 3-0
W H Parma Parma 4-0
L H Athletic Club Athletic Club 2-3
1W 2D 2L
0.6 GF · 0.8 GA
L A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0-2
W A Lazio Lazio 2-0
D A Como Como 0-0
L A Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-1
D A Pisa Pisa 1-1
4W 0D 1L
1.8 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Napoli Napoli 2-1
L A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0-2
W A Lazio Lazio 2-0
W H Cremonese Cremonese 2-1
W H Juventus Juventus 3-0

Sidelined Players

Lazio Lazio 3 out
Nicolò Rovella 
Nicolò Rovella 
injury
Mario Gila
Mario Gila
injury
Mattia Zaccagni 
Mattia Zaccagni 
injury
Atalanta Atalanta 2 out
Charles De Ketelaere
Charles De Ketelaere
injury
Giacomo Raspadori
Giacomo Raspadori
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Lazio
3
30%
Draws
4
40%
Atalanta
3
30%
Avg Goals
2.2
BTTS
40%

League Signals

Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
51%

Final Words

Lazio host Atalanta in Serie A on 14 February 2026 at 17:00 UTC. The data marks Atalanta as the top pick for the fixture. Both clubs pursue European qualification, and Lazio faces rotation risk due to a congested 14-day window.
Lazio Lazio

Lazio's home form over the last five matches reads D-D-W-D-L. In that run they have scored six and conceded eight. The data notes rotation risk tied to three fixtures in a 14-day window.

Atalanta Atalanta

Away form over the last five matches reads W-W-D-L-W. In that run Atalanta have nine goals for and two against.