Juventus vs Como

Value Assessment

Home Win
3.37
53% pred
+23.5%
VALUE
Draw
3.35
28% pred
-1.7%
Away Win
2.96
19% pred
-15.1%
BTTS Yes 1.78 46%
BTTS No 1.99 54% MARGINAL

Key Insights

European Race

Juventus

Juventus in position 5 - competing for Europa League qualification

High impact

European Race

Como

Como in position 6 - competing for Conference League qualification

High impact

Rotation Risk

Juventus

Juventus has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

Como

Como has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Streak Watch

Juventus

Juventus without a win in 5 games (1 draws, 4 losses) - struggling for results

High impact

Away Specialist

Como

Como exceptional away form: 5 wins in last 8 away matches (62% win rate)

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Juventus

Juventus has Kenan Yıldız ranked #3 in league scoring (8 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Como

Como has Nico Paz ranked #2 in league scoring (9 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 53.1% home win vs 29.7% market consensus - higher probability, 23.5% gap

Medium impact

Bookmaker Split

Bookmakers disagree on home win: 2.01 (Sbo) to 7.10 (MansionBet) - 35.7% probability spread indicates market uncertainty

High impact

Bookmaker Split

Bookmakers disagree on away win: 1.58 (Betsson) to 3.80 (1xbet) - 37.0% probability spread indicates market uncertainty

High impact

Match Normality

35%

High risk match

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Feb 21 2026 · 14:00
Venue
Allianz Stadium (Torino)
Competition
Serie A · 26
Referee
Daniele Doveri Daniele Doveri

Coaches

Luciano Spalletti
Luciano Spalletti Juventus Juventus

In role since Oct 2025

Attack Tempo

1.5

Defensive Control

47.4%

Match Shape

31.6%

Juventus under Luciano Spalletti shows a compact defensive baseline, conceding 0.9 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 47.4% of matches. Attacking output sits at 1.5 per game, suggesting measured threat rather than high-volume production. With a 31.6% draw rate and 41.2% BTTS, the balance tilts toward disciplined structure with occasional fragility in open play. Given three seasons, results carry variance and require cautious interpretation.

Cesc Fàbregas
Cesc Fàbregas Como Como

In role since Jul 2024

Attack Tempo

1.3

Defensive Control

18.4%

Match Shape

26.3%

Como, under Cesc Fàbregas since 19 July 2024, presents a modest attacking output of 1.3 goals per game and a defense averaging 1.4 conceded per game. A BTTS rate of 60.5% and a clean sheet share of 18.4% imply open matches with limited defensive resistance. Draws reflect 26.3% of results. With only one season analyzed, there is uncertainty around these tendencies.

Recent Form

Juventus Juventus
3W 1D 1L
2.4 GF · 0.8 GA
L H Como Como 0-2
D H Lazio Lazio 2-2
W H Napoli Napoli 3-0
W H Benfica Benfica 2-0
W H Cremonese Cremonese 5-0
3W 1D 1L
2.4 GF · 0.8 GA
L H Como Como 0-2
D H Lazio Lazio 2-2
W H Napoli Napoli 3-0
W H Benfica Benfica 2-0
W H Cremonese Cremonese 5-0
1W 1D 3L
1.6 GF · 2.4 GA
L A Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-5
L A Inter Inter 2-3
L A Atalanta Atalanta 0-3
W A Parma Parma 4-1
D A Monaco Monaco 0-0
0W 1D 4L
1.2 GF · 3 GA
L H Como Como 0-2
L A Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-5
L A Inter Inter 2-3
D H Lazio Lazio 2-2
L A Atalanta Atalanta 0-3
Como Como
3W 2D 0L
2 GF · 0.6 GA
W A Juventus Juventus 2-0
D A AC Milan AC Milan 1-1
D A Napoli Napoli 1-1
W A Fiorentina Fiorentina 3-1
W A Lazio Lazio 3-0
1W 2D 2L
1.8 GF · 1.2 GA
L H Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-2
D H Atalanta Atalanta 0-0
W H Torino Torino 6-0
L H AC Milan AC Milan 1-3
D H Bologna Bologna 1-1
3W 2D 0L
2 GF · 0.6 GA
W A Juventus Juventus 2-0
D A AC Milan AC Milan 1-1
D A Napoli Napoli 1-1
W A Fiorentina Fiorentina 3-1
W A Lazio Lazio 3-0
1W 3D 1L
1 GF · 0.8 GA
W A Juventus Juventus 2-0
D A AC Milan AC Milan 1-1
L H Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-2
D A Napoli Napoli 1-1
D H Atalanta Atalanta 0-0

Sidelined Players

Juventus Juventus 5 out
Emil Holm
Emil Holm
injury
Dušan Vlahović
Dušan Vlahović
injury
Andrea Cambiaso
Andrea Cambiaso
suspended
Juan Cabal
Juan Cabal
suspended
Bremer
Bremer
injury
Como Como 3 out
Álvaro Morata
Álvaro Morata
injury
Paolo Faragò
Paolo Faragò
injury
Assane Diao 
Assane Diao 
suspended

Head-to-Head (Last 4)

Juventus
2
50%
Draws
0
0%
Como
2
50%
Avg Goals
2.5
BTTS
25%

League Signals

Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
51%

Final Words

Juventus host Como in Serie A with kickoff at 14:00 UTC on 2026-02-21. Juventus sit in position 5 in the European race, pursuing Europa League qualification, while Como occupy position 6 aiming for Conference League. The fixture sits amid a congested schedule for Juventus, introducing rotation risk.
Juventus Juventus

Juventus are in position 5 in the European race. A congested schedule, with four fixtures in 14 days, adds rotation risk. In their last five home matches, they have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, scoring 10 and conceding 14.

Como Como

Como are in position 6 in the European race, aiming for Conference League qualification. Their away form over the last five matches is 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 6 goals for and 5 against.