Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Value Assessment
Home Win
13.50
41% pred
+33.2%
VALUE
Draw
7.59
30% pred
+16.7%
VALUE
Away Win
2.72
30% pred
-7.2%
BTTS Yes
1.87
50%
BTTS No
1.83
50%
Key Insights
Relegation Zone
Gorica in position 8 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
Medium impactEuropean Race
Istra 1961 in position 6 - competing for European qualification
Medium impactBTTS Tendency
Istra 1961 matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes
Medium impactLeaky Defense
Istra 1961 has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals
Medium impactTop Scorer
Istra 1961 has Smail Prevljak ranked #3 in league scoring (10 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactMarket Disagreement
Model sees 40.6% home win vs 7.4% market consensus - higher probability, 33.2% gap
High impactBookmaker Split
Bookmakers disagree on home win: 1.93 (Sbo) to 174.00 (MelBet) - 51.2% probability spread indicates market uncertainty
High impactBookmaker Split
Bookmakers disagree on draw: 2.90 (WilliamHill) to 81.00 (Betsson) - 33.2% probability spread indicates market uncertainty
High impactBookmaker Split
Bookmakers disagree on away win: 1.18 (CloudBet) to 3.40 (bwin) - 55.3% probability spread indicates market uncertainty
High impactMatch Normality
35%
High risk match
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Feb 21 2026
·
14:00
Venue
Stadion Aldo Drosina
(Pula)
Competition
1. HNL
·
23
Referee
Ivan Vukančić
Coaches
Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Recent Form
Istra 1961
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.4 GA
L
H
Gorica
0-2
Gorica
0-2
D
H
Lokomotiva Zagreb
1-1
Lokomotiva Zagreb
1-1
L
H
Rijeka
1-2
Rijeka
1-2
D
H
Slaven Koprivnica
1-1
Slaven Koprivnica
1-1
W
H
Dinamo Zagreb
2-1
Dinamo Zagreb
2-1
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.4 GA
L
H
Gorica
0-2
Gorica
0-2
D
H
Lokomotiva Zagreb
1-1
Lokomotiva Zagreb
1-1
L
H
Rijeka
1-2
Rijeka
1-2
D
H
Slaven Koprivnica
1-1
Slaven Koprivnica
1-1
W
H
Dinamo Zagreb
2-1
Dinamo Zagreb
2-1
3W 0D 2L
2.4 GF · 2 GA
L
A
Dinamo Zagreb
0-4
Dinamo Zagreb
0-4
L
A
Vukovar
2-3
Vukovar
2-3
W
A
Hajduk Split
2-1
Hajduk Split
2-1
W
A
Varaždin
3-1
Varaždin
3-1
W
A
Osijek
5-1
Osijek
5-1
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 2.2 GA
L
H
Gorica
0-2
Gorica
0-2
L
A
Dinamo Zagreb
0-4
Dinamo Zagreb
0-4
L
A
Vukovar
2-3
Vukovar
2-3
D
H
Lokomotiva Zagreb
1-1
Lokomotiva Zagreb
1-1
W
A
Hajduk Split
2-1
Hajduk Split
2-1
Gorica
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.4 GA
W
A
Istra 1961
2-0
Istra 1961
2-0
L
A
Lokomotiva Zagreb
0-3
Lokomotiva Zagreb
0-3
L
A
Rijeka
0-1
Rijeka
0-1
D
A
Osijek
1-1
Osijek
1-1
L
A
Slaven Koprivnica
1-2
Slaven Koprivnica
1-2
2W 1D 2L
0.6 GF · 0.8 GA
D
H
Vukovar
0-0
Vukovar
0-0
W
H
Hajduk Split
1-0
Hajduk Split
1-0
L
H
Varaždin
1-2
Varaždin
1-2
L
H
Dinamo Zagreb
0-2
Dinamo Zagreb
0-2
W
H
Istra 1961
1-0
Istra 1961
1-0
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.4 GA
W
A
Istra 1961
2-0
Istra 1961
2-0
L
A
Lokomotiva Zagreb
0-3
Lokomotiva Zagreb
0-3
L
A
Rijeka
0-1
Rijeka
0-1
D
A
Osijek
1-1
Osijek
1-1
L
A
Slaven Koprivnica
1-2
Slaven Koprivnica
1-2
2W 1D 2L
0.8 GF · 1 GA
W
A
Istra 1961
2-0
Istra 1961
2-0
D
H
Vukovar
0-0
Vukovar
0-0
L
A
Lokomotiva Zagreb
0-3
Lokomotiva Zagreb
0-3
W
H
Hajduk Split
1-0
Hajduk Split
1-0
L
H
Varaždin
1-2
Varaždin
1-2
Sidelined Players
Istra 1961
0 out
No reported absences
Gorica
2 out
Jurica Prsir
suspension
Sekou Matar Sagna
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Istra 1961
2
20%
Draws
3
30%
Gorica
5
50%
Avg Goals
1.5
BTTS
20%
League Signals
Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
26%
BTTS
48%
Over 2.5
48%
Final Words
Istra 1961 have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. The head-to-head favors Gorica in recent meetings.
