Inter vs Juventus

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.02
46% pred
-3.2%
Draw
3.28
27% pred
-3.4%
Away Win
3.89
27% pred
+0.9%
BTTS Yes 1.78 41%
BTTS No 2.00 48%

Key Insights

Title Race

Inter

Inter leading the table - high motivation to maintain position

High impact

Rotation Risk

Inter

Inter has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

Juventus

Juventus has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Streak Watch

Inter

Inter on 5-game winning streak - exceptional form

High impact

Top Scorer

Inter

Inter has Lautaro Martínez ranked #1 in league scoring (14 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Juventus

Juventus has Kenan Yıldız ranked #3 in league scoring (8 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

70%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Feb 14 2026 · 19:45
Venue
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (Milano)
Competition
Serie A · 25
Referee
Federico La Penna Federico La Penna

Coaches

Cristian Eugen Chivu
Cristian Eugen Chivu Inter Inter

In role since Jun 2025

Attack Tempo

2.1

Defensive Control

43.9%

Match Shape

16.7%

Inter under Cristian Eugen Chivu shows a front-foot profile: scoring 2.1 goals per match while conceding 0.9, supported by a 43.9% clean-sheet rate. BTTS lands in 46.5% of matches, suggesting a balance between attacking intent and defensive discipline. Draws are relatively infrequent (16.7%), implying decisive results. Given three seasons of data, these signals carry moderate reliability and should be treated with caution due to sample size.

Luciano Spalletti
Luciano Spalletti Juventus Juventus

In role since Oct 2025

Attack Tempo

1.5

Defensive Control

47.4%

Match Shape

31.6%

Juventus under Luciano Spalletti shows a compact defensive baseline, conceding 0.9 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 47.4% of matches. Attacking output sits at 1.5 per game, suggesting measured threat rather than high-volume production. With a 31.6% draw rate and 41.2% BTTS, the balance tilts toward disciplined structure with occasional fragility in open play. Given three seasons, results carry variance and require cautious interpretation.

Recent Form

Inter Inter
4W 0D 1L
2.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W H Juventus Juventus 3-2
W H Torino Torino 2-1
W H Pisa Pisa 6-2
L H Arsenal Arsenal 1-3
W H Lecce Lecce 1-0
4W 0D 1L
2.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W H Juventus Juventus 3-2
W H Torino Torino 2-1
W H Pisa Pisa 6-2
L H Arsenal Arsenal 1-3
W H Lecce Lecce 1-0
4W 0D 1L
2.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W A Lecce Lecce 2-0
L A Bodø / Glimt Bodø / Glimt 1-3
W A Sassuolo Sassuolo 5-0
W A Cremonese Cremonese 2-0
W A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-0
4W 0D 1L
2.6 GF · 1.2 GA
W A Lecce Lecce 2-0
L A Bodø / Glimt Bodø / Glimt 1-3
W H Juventus Juventus 3-2
W A Sassuolo Sassuolo 5-0
W H Torino Torino 2-1
Juventus Juventus
1W 1D 3L
1.6 GF · 2.4 GA
L A Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-5
L A Inter Inter 2-3
L A Atalanta Atalanta 0-3
W A Parma Parma 4-1
D A Monaco Monaco 0-0
3W 1D 1L
2.4 GF · 0.8 GA
L H Como Como 0-2
D H Lazio Lazio 2-2
W H Napoli Napoli 3-0
W H Benfica Benfica 2-0
W H Cremonese Cremonese 5-0
1W 1D 3L
1.6 GF · 2.4 GA
L A Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-5
L A Inter Inter 2-3
L A Atalanta Atalanta 0-3
W A Parma Parma 4-1
D A Monaco Monaco 0-0
0W 1D 4L
1.2 GF · 3 GA
L H Como Como 0-2
L A Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-5
L A Inter Inter 2-3
D H Lazio Lazio 2-2
L A Atalanta Atalanta 0-3

Sidelined Players

Inter Inter 1 out
Joaquín Correa
Joaquín Correa
injury
Juventus Juventus 4 out
Emil Holm
Emil Holm
injury
Andrea Cambiaso
Andrea Cambiaso
suspended
Juan Cabal
Juan Cabal
suspended
Bremer
Bremer
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Inter
3
30%
Draws
3
30%
Juventus
4
40%
Avg Goals
3.0
BTTS
50%

League Signals

Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
51%

Final Words

Inter host Juventus in Serie A on 14 February 2026, with kickoff at 19:45 UTC. Inter lead the table and have motivation to maintain position. Inter face a rotation risk due to a congested schedule, while Juventus pursue Champions League qualification in fourth place.
Inter Inter

Inter have won their last five home matches, scoring 17 and conceding 3. A congested 14-day window introduces rotation risk for the side.

Juventus Juventus

Juventus have two wins, two draws and one defeat in the last five away matches, scoring 9 and conceding 6. They sit in fourth place and are aiming for Champions League qualification. Head-to-head data is not provided in this dataset.