Heracles Almelo vs NAC Breda - Serie A Prediction & Analysis

Value Assessment

Home Win

2.83

41% pred

+5.6%

VALUE

Draw

3.22

28% pred

-3.5%

Away Win

2.47

31% pred

-9.1%

BTTS Yes 1.71 44%

BTTS No 2.07 45%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

Heracles Almelo in position 16 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Relegation Zone

NAC Breda in position 18 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Must Win

Heracles Almelo in position 16 with poor recent form (7% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Must Win

NAC Breda in position 18 with poor recent form (13% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Leaky Defense

Heracles Almelo has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Heracles Almelo has Jizz Hornkamp ranked #8 in league scoring (10 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

100%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff

Sat, Feb 14 2026 · 15:30

Venue

Asito Stadion (Almelo)

Competition

Eredivisie · 23

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie

Coaches

Ernest Faber

Heracles Almelo

In role since Dec 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Carl Hoefkens

NAC Breda

In role since Jul 2024

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Heracles Almelo

1W 1D 3L

0.6 GF · 1.6 GA

L H

NAC Breda 0-1

W H

Fortuna Sittard 2-1

L H

FC Twente 0-2

L H

SC Heerenveen 0-3

D H Telstar

Telstar 1-1

1W 1D 3L

0.6 GF · 1.6 GA

L H

NAC Breda 0-1

W H

Fortuna Sittard 2-1

L H

FC Twente 0-2

L H

SC Heerenveen 0-3

D H Telstar

Telstar 1-1

0W 0D 5L

1.2 GF · 3.6 GA

L A

Go Ahead Eagles 0-4

L A

NEC Nijmegen 1-4

L A

Feyenoord 2-4

L A

Sparta Rotterdam 0-2

L A PSV

PSV 3-4

1W 0D 4L

1 GF · 2.8 GA

L A

Go Ahead Eagles 0-4

L H

NAC Breda 0-1

L A

NEC Nijmegen 1-4

W H

Fortuna Sittard 2-1

L A

Feyenoord 2-4

NAC Breda

1W 2D 2L

0.6 GF · 0.8 GA

W A

Heracles Almelo 1-0

D A PSV

PSV 2-2

D A

FC Groningen 0-0

L A

Sparta Rotterdam 0-1

L A

Excelsior 0-1

1W 1D 3L

1.2 GF · 1.8 GA

W H

FC Volendam 1-0

L H

Excelsior 0-2

D H

FC Twente 2-2

L H

NEC Nijmegen 3-4

L H Telstar

Telstar 0-1

1W 2D 2L

0.6 GF · 0.8 GA

W A

Heracles Almelo 1-0

D A PSV

PSV 2-2

D A

FC Groningen 0-0

L A

Sparta Rotterdam 0-1

L A

Excelsior 0-1

2W 2D 1L

1.2 GF · 1.2 GA

W H

FC Volendam 1-0

W A

Heracles Almelo 1-0

L H

Excelsior 0-2

D H

FC Twente 2-2

D A PSV

PSV 2-2

Sidelined Players

Heracles Almelo 2 out

Jeff Reine-Adélaïde

injury

Sem Scheperman

injury

NAC Breda 4 out

Boy Kemper

injury

Fredrik Oldrup Jensen

injury

Moussa Soumano

injury

Leo Greiml

injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Heracles Almelo

5

50%

Draws

1

10%

NAC Breda

4

40%

Avg Goals

3.3

BTTS

70%

League Signals

Predictability

57%

MEDIUM

Home Bias

+8%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

3.0

HIGH

Draw Rate

24%

BTTS

55%

Over 2.5

58%

Final Words

The Eredivisie fixture sees Heracles Almelo hosting NAC Breda on 14 February 2026 at 15:30 UTC. Both teams sit in the relegation zone, with Heracles 17th and NAC Breda 18th, under pressure to improve. There is no head-to-head data in the provided dataset.

Heracles Almelo

Heracles Almelo have one win and four losses in the last five, with five goals for and thirteen against. They sit 17th in the table, in the relegation zone, and face a must-win scenario to start climbing away from danger. The dataset contains no head-to-head record for this fixture.

NAC Breda

NAC Breda have three draws and two losses in the last five, with seven goals for and ten against. They sit 18th in the table, in the relegation zone, fighting to avoid the drop. The data flags indicate away struggles and a leaky defense, underscoring the challenging context for the visit.