Hearts vs Celtic

Value Assessment

Home Win
3.04
43% pred
+10.4%
VALUE
Draw
3.39
24% pred
-5.8%
Away Win
2.24
33% pred
-11.6%
BTTS Yes 1.66 54%
BTTS No 2.16 41%

Key Insights

Title Race

Hearts

Hearts leading the table - high motivation to maintain position

High impact

Title Race

Celtic

Celtic in position 3, 6 points behind leader - competing for title

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

Celtic

Celtic has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Home Fortress

Hearts

Hearts unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (5 wins, 3 draws) - strong home advantage

Medium impact

High Scoring

Celtic

Celtic involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Hearts

Hearts has Lawrence Shankland ranked #3 in league scoring (11 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Celtic

Celtic has Benjamin Nygren ranked #1 in league scoring (11 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

85%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sun, Jan 25 2026 · 15:00
Venue
Tynecastle Park (Edinburgh)
Competition
Premiership · 23
Referee
Steven McLean Steven McLean

Coaches

Derek McInnes

Derek McInnes

Hearts Hearts

In role since May 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Martin O'Neill

Martin O'Neill

Celtic Celtic

In role since Jan 2026

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Hearts Hearts
4W 1D 0L
1.4 GF · 0.4 GA
W H Falkirk Falkirk 1-0
W H Hibernian Hibernian 1-0
D H Celtic Celtic 2-2
W H St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0
W H Livingston Livingston 1-0
4W 1D 0L
1.4 GF · 0.4 GA
W H Falkirk Falkirk 1-0
W H Hibernian Hibernian 1-0
D H Celtic Celtic 2-2
W H St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0
W H Livingston Livingston 1-0
2W 0D 3L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
L A Rangers Rangers 2-4
L A St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-1
W A Dundee United Dundee United 3-0
W A Dundee Dundee 1-0
L A Hibernian Hibernian 2-3
3W 0D 2L
1.4 GF · 1 GA
W H Falkirk Falkirk 1-0
L A Rangers Rangers 2-4
W H Hibernian Hibernian 1-0
L A St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-1
W A Dundee United Dundee United 3-0
Celtic Celtic
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W A Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3-2
D A Hearts Hearts 2-2
D A Bologna Bologna 2-2
W A Falkirk Falkirk 1-0
L A Motherwell Motherwell 0-2
3W 0D 2L
2 GF · 1.8 GA
L H Hibernian Hibernian 1-2
L H VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 1-4
W H Livingston Livingston 2-1
W H Falkirk Falkirk 2-0
W H FC Utrecht FC Utrecht 4-2
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W A Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3-2
D A Hearts Hearts 2-2
D A Bologna Bologna 2-2
W A Falkirk Falkirk 1-0
L A Motherwell Motherwell 0-2
3W 0D 2L
1.8 GF · 1.8 GA
L H Hibernian Hibernian 1-2
L H VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 1-4
W A Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3-2
W H Livingston Livingston 2-1
W H Falkirk Falkirk 2-0

Sidelined Players

Hearts Hearts 0 out

No reported absences

Celtic Celtic 2 out
Luis Palma
Luis Palma
suspension
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
suspended

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Hearts
5
50%
Draws
1
10%
Celtic
4
40%
Avg Goals
3.3
BTTS
50%

League Signals

Predictability
52%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
52%