Girona vs FC Barcelona

Value Assessment

Home Win
7.47
15% pred
+1.3%
Draw
5.69
19% pred
+1.4%
Away Win
1.34
66% pred
-8.2%
BTTS Yes 1.50 45%
BTTS No 2.50 44% MARGINAL

Key Insights

Title Race

FC Barcelona

FC Barcelona in position 2, 2 points behind leader - competing for title

High impact

Away Specialist

FC Barcelona

FC Barcelona exceptional away form: 5 wins in last 8 away matches (62% win rate)

Medium impact

High Scoring

FC Barcelona

FC Barcelona involved in high-scoring games: 9 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

Top Scorer

FC Barcelona

FC Barcelona has Ferran Torres ranked #3 in league scoring (12 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 44.8% BTTS vs 66.7% market consensus - lower probability, 21.8% gap

Medium impact

Match Normality

85%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Mon, Feb 16 2026 · 20:00
Venue
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi (Girona)
Competition
La Liga · 24
Referee
César Soto Grado César Soto Grado

Coaches

Miguel Ángel Sánchez Muñoz

Miguel Ángel Sánchez Muñoz

Girona Girona

In role since Jul 2021

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Hans-Dieter Flick

Hans-Dieter Flick

FC Barcelona FC Barcelona

In role since Jul 2024

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Girona Girona
2W 2D 1L
1 GF · 1.2 GA
W H FC Barcelona FC Barcelona 2-1
D H Getafe Getafe 1-1
W H Osasuna Osasuna 1-0
L H Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid 0-3
D H Real Madrid Real Madrid 1-1
2W 2D 1L
1 GF · 1.2 GA
W H FC Barcelona FC Barcelona 2-1
D H Getafe Getafe 1-1
W H Osasuna Osasuna 1-0
L H Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid 0-3
D H Real Madrid Real Madrid 1-1
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1 GA
D A Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés 2-2
D A Sevilla Sevilla 1-1
L A Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-1
W A Espanyol Espanyol 2-0
W A Mallorca Mallorca 2-1
1W 3D 1L
1.2 GF · 1.2 GA
D A Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés 2-2
W H FC Barcelona FC Barcelona 2-1
D A Sevilla Sevilla 1-1
L A Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-1
D H Getafe Getafe 1-1
FC Barcelona FC Barcelona
3W 0D 2L
2 GF · 2 GA
L A Girona Girona 1-2
L A Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid 0-4
W A Albacete Albacete 2-1
W A Elche Elche 3-1
W A Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 4-2
5W 0D 0L
3 GF · 0.2 GA
W H Levante Levante 3-0
W H Mallorca Mallorca 3-0
W H FC København FC København 4-1
W H Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 3-0
W H Osasuna Osasuna 2-0
3W 0D 2L
2 GF · 2 GA
L A Girona Girona 1-2
L A Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid 0-4
W A Albacete Albacete 2-1
W A Elche Elche 3-1
W A Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 4-2
3W 0D 2L
1.8 GF · 1.4 GA
W H Levante Levante 3-0
L A Girona Girona 1-2
L A Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid 0-4
W H Mallorca Mallorca 3-0
W A Albacete Albacete 2-1

Sidelined Players

Girona Girona 7 out
Miguel Gutiérrez
Miguel Gutiérrez
injury
Donny van de Beek
Donny van de Beek
injury
Marc-André ter Stegen
Marc-André ter Stegen
injury
Álex Moreno
Álex Moreno
injury
Portu
Portu
injury

+2 more

FC Barcelona FC Barcelona 1 out
Andreas Christensen
Andreas Christensen
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Girona
3
30%
Draws
2
20%
FC Barcelona
5
50%
Avg Goals
3.5
BTTS
70%

League Signals

Predictability
50%
LOW
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
51%
Over 2.5
46%

Final Words

La Liga fixture: Girona host FC Barcelona on 16 February 2026, kickoff 20:00 UTC. Barcelona travel as the away side and are indicated as the stronger option by the data. The league's predictability score is 47, with a trend pointing upward.
Girona Girona

Girona have five recent home matches in the sample: D-L-D-W-W. They have 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, scoring 5 and conceding 3, averaging 1.6 points per game.

FC Barcelona FC Barcelona

Barcelona's away form shows 4 wins, 1 loss in the five-game sample (L-W-W-W-W). They have scored 12 and conceded 7, averaging 2.4 points per game. Rotation risk due to congestion is noted in the insights.