Genoa vs Napoli

Value Assessment

Home Win
3.64
25% pred
-2.3%
Draw
3.01
29% pred
-4.1%
Away Win
2.38
46% pred
+3.6%
MARGINAL
BTTS Yes 2.23 39%
BTTS No 1.62 51%

Key Insights

BTTS Tendency

Genoa

Genoa matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Bookmaker Split

Bookmakers disagree on home win: 2.10 (bwin) to 4.44 (Pinnacle) - 25.1% probability spread indicates market uncertainty

High impact

Bookmaker Split

Bookmakers disagree on away win: 1.92 (Dafabet) to 3.46 (CloudBet) - 23.2% probability spread indicates market uncertainty

High impact

Match Normality

60%

Significant concerns

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Feb 7 2026 · 17:00
Venue
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris (Genova)
Competition
Serie A · 24
Referee
Davide Massa Davide Massa

Coaches

Daniele De Rossi
Daniele De Rossi Genoa Genoa

In role since Nov 2025

Attack Tempo

1.0

Defensive Control

26.3%

Match Shape

36.8%

Under Daniele De Rossi since 6 Nov 2025, Genoa show a balanced approach in Italian football: roughly 1 goal for and 1.4 against per match, implying a defensively cautious but not ultra-compact unit. A BTTS rate of 49.1% and a clean sheet share of 26.3% point to periodic defensive gaps, with draws at 36.8% suggesting frequent parity. Given only three seasons, these signals carry limited sample size; prospects for tactical shifts remain uncertain.

Antonio Conte
Antonio Conte Napoli Napoli

In role since Jul 2024

Attack Tempo

1.7

Defensive Control

38.6%

Match Shape

26.3%

Under Antonio Conte since 2024-07-01, Napoli’s metrics over three seasons show a compact defensive baseline (0.9 goals conceded per game) paired with a measured attack (1.7 per game). Clean sheets stand at 38.6% and BTTS is 47.4%, suggesting frequent but selective involvement by opponents in scoring games. Draws at 26.3% imply stability with limited variance. Given the modest sample, these tendencies should be treated with cautious interpretation.

Recent Form

Genoa Genoa
3W 1D 1L
2.4 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Torino Torino 3-0
L H Napoli Napoli 2-3
W H Bologna Bologna 3-2
W H Cagliari Cagliari 3-0
D H Pisa Pisa 1-1
3W 1D 1L
2.4 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Torino Torino 3-0
L H Napoli Napoli 2-3
W H Bologna Bologna 3-2
W H Cagliari Cagliari 3-0
D H Pisa Pisa 1-1
0W 3D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.4 GA
D A Cremonese Cremonese 0-0
L A Lazio Lazio 2-3
D A Parma Parma 0-0
D A AC Milan AC Milan 1-1
L A Roma Roma 1-3
2W 1D 2L
2 GF · 1.6 GA
W H Torino Torino 3-0
D A Cremonese Cremonese 0-0
L H Napoli Napoli 2-3
L A Lazio Lazio 2-3
W H Bologna Bologna 3-2
Napoli Napoli
1W 2D 2L
1.4 GF · 2 GA
L A Atalanta Atalanta 1-2
W A Genoa Genoa 3-2
L A Juventus Juventus 0-3
D A FC København FC København 1-1
D A Inter Inter 2-2
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.4 GA
D H Roma Roma 2-2
D H Como Como 1-1
W H Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-1
L H Chelsea Chelsea 2-3
W H Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-0
1W 2D 2L
1.4 GF · 2 GA
L A Atalanta Atalanta 1-2
W A Genoa Genoa 3-2
L A Juventus Juventus 0-3
D A FC København FC København 1-1
D A Inter Inter 2-2
2W 2D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.6 GA
L A Atalanta Atalanta 1-2
D H Roma Roma 2-2
D H Como Como 1-1
W A Genoa Genoa 3-2
W H Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-1

Sidelined Players

Genoa Genoa 2 out
Sebastian Otoa
Sebastian Otoa
injury
M. Badelj
M. Badelj
suspended
Napoli Napoli 3 out
Amir Rrahmani 
Amir Rrahmani 
injury
Frank Anguissa 
Frank Anguissa 
injury
Kevin De Bruyne 
Kevin De Bruyne 
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Genoa
1
10%
Draws
3
30%
Napoli
6
60%
Avg Goals
3.6
BTTS
80%

League Signals

Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
51%

Final Words

Genoa vs. Napoli kicks off at 17:00 [GMT] on Saturday, February 7, at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris.
Genoa Genoa

<p>Genoa head into the match sitting 16th in the table with 23 points, aware that every point is vital in their bid to secure top-flight survival. While wins have been hard to come by, their recent form offers a degree of encouragement.</p> <p>Genoa [DWDWL] have been defeated just once in their last six Serie A matches, drawing three and remaining unbeaten in five of those games. This ability to avoid defeat has helped steady their campaign, even if it has not yet translated into a consistent climb up the table.</p> <p>At home, Genoa will be hoping the familiar surroundings of the Ferraris can once again provide a platform for another stubborn display, this time against the champions.</p> <p>However, the recent head-to-head record leans clearly in Napoli’s favour. Genoa have lost three of the last six Serie A meetings between the sides and have not beaten Napoli in their last seven league encounters.</p> <p>In football terms, Napoli’s attacking record in this fixture is notable. They have scored at least once in each of their last 10 Serie A matches against Genoa, and their trips to the Ferraris have often delivered goals at both ends.</p> <p>Indeed, both teams have scored in the last seven meetings in this particular fixture, with all of those games producing over 2.5 goals.</p> <p>A 3-5-2 formation with Vitinha and Lorenzo Colombo in attack is expected against Napoli.</p>

Napoli Napoli

<p>Last weekend’s 2-1 win over Fiorentina helped Napoli bounce back after a 3-0 loss to Juve. They arrive in Genoa with confidence, despite a noticeable dip in form [DDWLW].</p> <p>Napoli are currently third in the standings with 46 points. They have exactly double Genoa’s total and remain in the hunt at the top end of the table.</p> <p>Their away form has been solid rather than spectacular, with six wins from 12 league trips. Their overall consistency in Serie A is difficult to ignore.</p> <p>Napoli have lost just six of their last 46 league matches. That underlines a level of stability and quality that few sides can match.</p> <p>That trend suggests the matchup may be more open than Genoa would ideally prefer.</p> <p>While the hosts have shown defensive resilience in recent weeks, Napoli’s ability to find the net consistently against them poses a significant challenge.</p> <p>For Genoa, staying competitive will likely depend on maintaining their recent discipline while being clinical when opportunities arise.</p> <p>A 4—3—3 formation with Rasmus Højlund, Antonio Vergara, and Eljif Elmas in attack is expected against Genoa.</p>