Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Value Assessment
Home Win
1.30
50% pred
-27.3%
Draw
5.62
24% pred
+6.4%
VALUE
Away Win
8.95
26% pred
+15.0%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.78
44%
BTTS No
1.99
46%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
8.95
+15.0% edge
26% probability
Expected value: +1.34 units per bet
Confidence
Low
58%
Key Insights
Relegation Zone
Malmö FF in position 35 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
High impactRotation Risk
Genk has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Medium impactMust Win
Malmö FF in position 35 with poor recent form (27% points) - must-win situation
High impactBTTS Tendency
Genk matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes
Medium impactLeaky Defense
Malmö FF has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals
Medium impactMarket Disagreement
Model sees 49.6% home win vs 76.9% market consensus - lower probability, 27.3% gap
High impactMatch Normality
70%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Thu, Jan 29 2026
·
20:00
Venue
Luminus Arena
(Genk)
Competition
Europa League
·
League Stage
, 8
Referee
Horațiu Mircea Feșnic
Coaches
Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Recent Form
Genk
2W 1D 2L
1.6 GF · 2 GA
L
H
Standard Liège
0-3
Standard Liège
0-3
W
H
Anderlecht
2-0
Anderlecht
2-0
W
H
Malmö FF
2-1
Malmö FF
2-1
D
H
Cercle Brugge
1-1
Cercle Brugge
1-1
L
H
Club Brugge
3-5
Club Brugge
3-5
2W 1D 2L
1.6 GF · 2 GA
L
H
Standard Liège
0-3
Standard Liège
0-3
W
H
Anderlecht
2-0
Anderlecht
2-0
W
H
Malmö FF
2-1
Malmö FF
2-1
D
H
Cercle Brugge
1-1
Cercle Brugge
1-1
L
H
Club Brugge
3-5
Club Brugge
3-5
4W 0D 1L
2.2 GF · 1.2 GA
W
A
Dinamo Zagreb
3-1
Dinamo Zagreb
3-1
W
A
Mechelen
3-2
Mechelen
3-2
W
A
Dender
2-1
Dender
2-1
W
A
FC Utrecht
2-0
FC Utrecht
2-0
L
A
Zulte-Waregem
1-2
Zulte-Waregem
1-2
4W 0D 1L
2 GF · 1.4 GA
L
H
Standard Liège
0-3
Standard Liège
0-3
W
A
Dinamo Zagreb
3-1
Dinamo Zagreb
3-1
W
A
Mechelen
3-2
Mechelen
3-2
W
H
Anderlecht
2-0
Anderlecht
2-0
W
A
Dender
2-1
Dender
2-1
Malmö FF
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
L
A
Genk
1-2
Genk
1-2
L
A
Porto
1-2
Porto
1-2
L
A
Nottingham Forest
0-3
Nottingham Forest
0-3
D
A
Häcken
1-1
Häcken
1-1
W
A
Norrköping
2-0
Norrköping
2-0
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.4 GA
L
H
Crvena Zvezda
0-1
Crvena Zvezda
0-1
W
H
GAIS
2-1
GAIS
2-1
L
H
Panathinaikos
0-1
Panathinaikos
0-1
L
H
Hammarby
1-3
Hammarby
1-3
D
H
Dinamo Zagreb
1-1
Dinamo Zagreb
1-1
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
L
A
Genk
1-2
Genk
1-2
L
A
Porto
1-2
Porto
1-2
L
A
Nottingham Forest
0-3
Nottingham Forest
0-3
D
A
Häcken
1-1
Häcken
1-1
W
A
Norrköping
2-0
Norrköping
2-0
1W 0D 4L
0.8 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Genk
1-2
Genk
1-2
L
H
Crvena Zvezda
0-1
Crvena Zvezda
0-1
L
A
Porto
1-2
Porto
1-2
L
A
Nottingham Forest
0-3
Nottingham Forest
0-3
W
H
GAIS
2-1
GAIS
2-1
Sidelined Players
Genk
1 out
Josué Kongolo
injury
Malmö FF
5 out
Sead Haksabanovic
injury
Pontus Jansson
injury
Anton Tinnerholm
injury
Johan Karlsson
injury
Johan Dahlin
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 3)
Genk
2
67%
Draws
1
33%
Malmö FF
0
0%
Avg Goals
3.0
BTTS
67%
League Signals
Predictability
51%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+12%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
21%
BTTS
53%
Over 2.5
56%
Final Words
Genk enter this match in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. Malmö FF have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5. Historically, Genk have dominated this fixture.
