Fiorentina vs Torino

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.69
45% pred
-13.7%
Draw
3.75
27% pred
+0.5%
Away Win
4.94
27% pred
+7.2%
VALUE
BTTS Yes 1.77 44%
BTTS No 2.01 46%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

Fiorentina

Fiorentina in position 18 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Must Win

Fiorentina

Fiorentina in position 18 with poor recent form (27% points) - must-win situation

High impact

BTTS Tendency

Fiorentina

Fiorentina matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 7 of last 8 matches (88%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Upset Alert

Fiorentina

Fiorentina (position 18) is favorite despite being 5 places below Torino (position 13) - potential upset or market overreaction

Medium impact

Match Normality

80%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Feb 7 2026 · 19:45
Venue
Stadio Artemio Franchi (Firenze)
Competition
Serie A · 24
Referee
Andrea Colombo Andrea Colombo

Coaches

Paolo Vanoli
Paolo Vanoli Fiorentina Fiorentina

In role since Nov 2025

Attack Tempo

1.5

Defensive Control

26.3%

Match Shape

24.6%

Fiorentina under Paolo Vanoli shows a balanced profile: goals for 1.5 per game against 1.1, yielding a net +0.4, with BTTS in 55.3% of matches. Clean sheets occurred in 26.3% and draws in 24.6%, indicating frequent parity with pockets of scoring quality. Given the limited three-season window, results carry variance, so these tendencies should be treated with caution.

Marco Baroni
Marco Baroni Torino Torino

In role since Jul 2025

Attack Tempo

1.0

Defensive Control

34.2%

Match Shape

34.2%

Since taking charge on 2025-07-01, Marco Baroni’s Torino have averaged 1.0 goals per match and 1.1 goals conceded per match, yielding a modest defensive profile. Clean sheets stand at 34.2% with a 34.2% draw rate, and 43% of matches feature both teams scoring. The sample—three seasons—permits only limited inference about tactical tendencies; results may reflect variance as sample size remains small.

Recent Form

Fiorentina Fiorentina
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
D H Torino Torino 2-2
L H Como Como 1-3
L H Cagliari Cagliari 1-2
D H AC Milan AC Milan 1-1
W H Cremonese Cremonese 1-0
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
D H Torino Torino 2-2
L H Como Como 1-3
L H Cagliari Cagliari 1-2
D H AC Milan AC Milan 1-1
W H Cremonese Cremonese 1-0
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 1.2 GA
W A Jagiellonia Białystok Jagiellonia Białystok 3-0
W A Como Como 2-1
L A Napoli Napoli 1-2
W A Bologna Bologna 2-1
D A Lazio Lazio 2-2
2W 1D 2L
1.8 GF · 1.6 GA
W A Jagiellonia Białystok Jagiellonia Białystok 3-0
W A Como Como 2-1
D H Torino Torino 2-2
L A Napoli Napoli 1-2
L H Como Como 1-3
Torino Torino
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 3 GA
L A Genoa Genoa 0-3
D A Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-2
L A Inter Inter 1-2
L A Como Como 0-6
W A Roma Roma 3-2
1W 0D 4L
0.8 GF · 1.6 GA
L H Bologna Bologna 1-2
W H Lecce Lecce 1-0
L H Roma Roma 0-2
L H Udinese Udinese 1-2
L H Cagliari Cagliari 1-2
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 3 GA
L A Genoa Genoa 0-3
D A Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-2
L A Inter Inter 1-2
L A Como Como 0-6
W A Roma Roma 3-2
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 1.8 GA
L A Genoa Genoa 0-3
L H Bologna Bologna 1-2
D A Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-2
L A Inter Inter 1-2
W H Lecce Lecce 1-0

Sidelined Players

Fiorentina Fiorentina 3 out
Albert Gudmundsson
Albert Gudmundsson
injury
Rolando Mandragora
Rolando Mandragora
suspended
David de Gea
David de Gea
injury
Torino Torino 6 out
Zakaria Aboukhlal
Zakaria Aboukhlal
injury
Ché Adams
Ché Adams
injury
Adam Masina
Adam Masina
injury
Zanos Savva
Zanos Savva
injury
Zanos Savva
Zanos Savva
injury

+1 more

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Fiorentina
3
30%
Draws
5
50%
Torino
2
20%
Avg Goals
1.8
BTTS
40%

League Signals

Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
51%

Final Words

Fiorentina vs. Torino kicks off at 19:45 [GMT] on Saturday, February 7, at the Stadio Artemio Franchi.
Fiorentina Fiorentina

<p>Following a 2-1 loss to Napoli last time out, Fiorentina, 18th in Serie A, hosts Torino at the Stadio Artemio Franchi. The fixture carries significance for both sides as they seek to stabilise inconsistent campaigns. The match is framed as an opportunity to reset for a team that has had defensive issues but occasional attacking flashes.</p> <p>Both sides have shown defensive vulnerabilities and moments of attacking promise. The encounter could be open and competitive, depending on how the defenses hold.</p> <p>Fiorentina's season has been inconsistent. They have defeats in 50 percent of their league matches so far. In their broader run, they have won just three of their last 20 Serie A games, underscoring the urgency to improve.</p> <p>Defensive frailties remain a feature, with Fiorentina conceding 1.55 goals per home match on average.</p> <p>Historically, Fiorentina carry a psychological edge. They are unbeaten in their last six Serie A meetings with Torino and have avoided defeat in 28 of the last 33 clashes. Four of the previous six encounters ended level, suggesting they often avoid losing but struggle to convert advantage into victories.</p> <p>Ending back-to-back defeats [DDWLL] remains one objective ahead of the match. The fixture could offer a chance to stem the slide.</p> <p>A 4—2—3—1 formation with Roberto Piccoli in attack is expected against II Toro.</p>

Torino Torino

<p>Torino sit 13th in the table as they return to Serie A after a Coppa Italia exit, a 2-1 defeat to Inter Milan on Wednesday.</p> <p>Their recent form has yielded only three points from the last 15 available, reflected in the sequence [LLLLW].</p> <p>Away from home, they have three wins in their last 16 away league fixtures, underscoring long-term inconsistency on travels.</p> <p>Defensive issues remain a concern for Torino, who are conceding an average of 1.74 goals per game in Serie A. That rate could prove problematic against Fiorentina, a side that tends to create chances at home.</p> <p>Tactically, the contest may hinge on which defence can hold its structure under pressure.</p> <p>Both teams have shown they can score, and recent matches have trended toward higher goal totals; an open contest again is a possibility.</p> <p>A 3-4-2-1 formation with Sandro Kulenović in attack is anticipated against Fiorentina, the Purples.</p>