Fiorentina vs Pisa - Serie A Prediction & Analysis

Value Assessment

Home Win

1.65

53% pred

-7.5%

Draw

3.90

29% pred

+3.0%

Away Win

5.10

18% pred

-1.3%

BTTS Yes 1.78 45%

BTTS No 1.97 55% MARGINAL

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

Fiorentina in position 18 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Relegation Zone

Pisa in position 19 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Must Win

Pisa in position 19 with poor recent form (27% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

Pisa without a win in 5 games (2 draws, 3 losses) - struggling for results

High impact

Away Struggles

Pisa winless in last 8 away matches (6 draws, 2 losses) - poor away record

Medium impact

High Scoring

Fiorentina involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

Fiorentina matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 7 of last 8 matches (88%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

Pisa matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Match Normality

90%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff

Mon, Feb 23 2026 · 17:30

Venue

Stadio Artemio Franchi (Firenze)

Competition

Serie A · 26

Referee

Maurizio Mariani

Coaches

Paolo Vanoli

Fiorentina

In role since Nov 2025

Attack Tempo

1.5

Defensive Control

26.3%

Match Shape

24.6%

Fiorentina under Paolo Vanoli shows a balanced profile: goals for 1.5 per game against 1.1, yielding a net +0.4, with BTTS in 55.3% of matches. Clean sheets occurred in 26.3% and draws in 24.6%, indicating frequent parity with pockets of scoring quality. Given the limited three-season window, results carry variance, so these tendencies should be treated with caution.

Oscar Hiljemark

Pisa

In role since Feb 2026

Attack Tempo

n/a

Defensive Control

n/a

Match Shape

n/a

From the available structured data, Pisa under Oscar Hiljemark shows no recorded metrics; goals for per match, goals against per match, btts percentage, clean sheet percentage, and draw percentage are null, and seasons_analyzed equals 0. Consequently, no tactical tendencies can be established. Any signal would carry high variance, and the probability of reliable inference is effectively zero given the sample size.

Recent Form

Fiorentina

1W 2D 2L

1.2 GF · 1.6 GA

D H Torino

Torino 2-2

L H Como

Como 1-3

L H

Cagliari 1-2

D H

AC Milan 1-1

W H

Cremonese 1-0

1W 2D 2L

1.2 GF · 1.6 GA

D H Torino

Torino 2-2

L H Como

Como 1-3

L H

Cagliari 1-2

D H

AC Milan 1-1

W H

Cremonese 1-0

3W 1D 1L

2 GF · 1.2 GA

W A

Jagiellonia Białystok 3-0

W A Como

Como 2-1

L A Napoli

Napoli 1-2

W A Bologna

Bologna 2-1

D A Lazio

Lazio 2-2

2W 1D 2L

1.8 GF · 1.6 GA

W A

Jagiellonia Białystok 3-0

W A Como

Como 2-1

D H Torino

Torino 2-2

L A Napoli

Napoli 1-2

L H Como

Como 1-3

Pisa

0W 4D 1L

1.4 GF · 2.2 GA

D A

Hellas Verona 0-0

L A Inter

Inter 2-6

D A Udinese

Udinese 2-2

D A Genoa

Genoa 1-1

D A

Cagliari 2-2

0W 1D 4L

0.6 GF · 2.2 GA

L H

AC Milan 1-2

L H

Sassuolo 1-3

D H

Atalanta 1-1

L H Como

Como 0-3

L H

Juventus 0-2

0W 4D 1L

1.4 GF · 2.2 GA

D A

Hellas Verona 0-0

L A Inter

Inter 2-6

D A Udinese

Udinese 2-2

D A Genoa

Genoa 1-1

D A

Cagliari 2-2

0W 2D 3L

1 GF · 2.4 GA

L H

AC Milan 1-2

D A

Hellas Verona 0-0

L H

Sassuolo 1-3

L A Inter

Inter 2-6

D H

Atalanta 1-1

Sidelined Players

Fiorentina 3 out

Albert Gudmundsson

injury

Rolando Mandragora

suspended

David de Gea

injury

Pisa 3 out

Adrian Semper

injury

Daniel Denoon

injury

Simone Scuffet

injury

Head-to-Head (Last 1)

Fiorentina

0

0%

Draws

1

100%

Pisa

0

0%

Avg Goals

0.0

BTTS

0%

League Signals

Predictability

53%

MEDIUM

Home Bias

+5%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

2.7

MEDIUM

Draw Rate

27%

BTTS

54%

Over 2.5

51%

Final Words

Fiorentina host Pisa in Serie A on 23 February 2026, kickoff at 17:30 UTC. Both sides are in the relegation zone and are fighting to avoid the drop. The data flags a rotation risk for Fiorentina amid a congested schedule and a BTTS tendency between the sides.

Fiorentina

Fiorentina's five-match form is W-W-D-L-L, with 9 goals scored and 8 conceded. They average about 1.4 points per game. The data notes rotation risk for Fiorentina due to a 14-day window.

Pisa

Pisa's five-match away form is L-D-L-L-D, with 5 goals scored and 12 conceded. They average around 0.4 points per game away and face notable away struggles. There are no head-to-head matches recorded between the teams in the available data.