Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Value Assessment
Home Win
1.26
59% pred
-20.3%
Draw
5.84
24% pred
+6.4%
VALUE
Away Win
10.30
17% pred
+7.7%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.91
44%
BTTS No
1.83
48%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
10.30
+7.7% edge
17% probability
Expected value: +0.79 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
66%
Key Insights
Relegation Zone
Excelsior in position 14 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
Medium impactEuropean Race
FC Twente in position 6 - competing for European qualification
Medium impactStreak Watch
FC Twente unbeaten in 5 games (2 wins, 3 draws) - solid defensive form
Medium impactMarket Disagreement
Model sees 59.1% home win vs 79.4% market consensus - lower probability, 20.3% gap
Medium impactMatch Normality
80%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Jan 24 2026
·
20:00
Venue
De Grolsch Veste
(Enschede)
Competition
Eredivisie
·
20
Referee
Allard Lindhout
Coaches
Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Recent Form
FC Twente
3W 2D 0L
2 GF · 0.4 GA
W
H
FC Groningen
2-1
FC Groningen
2-1
W
H
SC Heerenveen
5-0
SC Heerenveen
5-0
D
H
Excelsior
0-0
Excelsior
0-0
D
H
PEC Zwolle
1-1
PEC Zwolle
1-1
W
H
Go Ahead Eagles
2-0
Go Ahead Eagles
2-0
3W 2D 0L
2 GF · 0.4 GA
W
H
FC Groningen
2-1
FC Groningen
2-1
W
H
SC Heerenveen
5-0
SC Heerenveen
5-0
D
H
Excelsior
0-0
Excelsior
0-0
D
H
PEC Zwolle
1-1
PEC Zwolle
1-1
W
H
Go Ahead Eagles
2-0
Go Ahead Eagles
2-0
1W 4D 0L
1.4 GF · 1 GA
D
A
Telstar
1-1
Telstar
1-1
D
A
NAC Breda
2-2
NAC Breda
2-2
W
A
Heracles Almelo
2-0
Heracles Almelo
2-0
D
A
Feyenoord
1-1
Feyenoord
1-1
D
A
FC Utrecht
1-1
FC Utrecht
1-1
2W 3D 0L
2 GF · 0.8 GA
W
H
FC Groningen
2-1
FC Groningen
2-1
D
A
Telstar
1-1
Telstar
1-1
W
H
SC Heerenveen
5-0
SC Heerenveen
5-0
D
A
NAC Breda
2-2
NAC Breda
2-2
D
H
Excelsior
0-0
Excelsior
0-0
Excelsior
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
L
A
Fortuna Sittard
1-2
Fortuna Sittard
1-2
W
A
NAC Breda
2-0
NAC Breda
2-0
D
A
FC Twente
0-0
FC Twente
0-0
D
A
AZ
1-1
AZ
1-1
L
A
PSV
1-5
PSV
1-5
1W 2D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.8 GA
L
H
AZ
1-2
AZ
1-2
D
H
Ajax
2-2
Ajax
2-2
D
H
Telstar
2-2
Telstar
2-2
W
H
PEC Zwolle
2-1
PEC Zwolle
2-1
L
H
FC Groningen
0-2
FC Groningen
0-2
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
L
A
Fortuna Sittard
1-2
Fortuna Sittard
1-2
W
A
NAC Breda
2-0
NAC Breda
2-0
D
A
FC Twente
0-0
FC Twente
0-0
D
A
AZ
1-1
AZ
1-1
L
A
PSV
1-5
PSV
1-5
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Fortuna Sittard
1-2
Fortuna Sittard
1-2
L
H
AZ
1-2
AZ
1-2
W
A
NAC Breda
2-0
NAC Breda
2-0
D
H
Ajax
2-2
Ajax
2-2
D
A
FC Twente
0-0
FC Twente
0-0
Sidelined Players
FC Twente
5 out
Mees Hilgers
injury
Sam Lammers
injury
Robin Pröpper
injury
Mees Hilgers
injury
Issam El Maach
injury
Excelsior
2 out
Chris-Kévin Nadje
suspended
Zach Booth
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
FC Twente
3
30%
Draws
4
40%
Excelsior
3
30%
Avg Goals
2.3
BTTS
40%
League Signals
Predictability
57%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
55%
Over 2.5
58%
Final Words
Excelsior have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.
