FC Köln vs TSG Hoffenheim

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.87
38% pred
+3.4%
MARGINAL
Draw
3.66
25% pred
-2.0%
Away Win
2.67
36% pred
-1.0%
BTTS Yes 1.50 61%
BTTS No 2.51 39%

Key Insights

BTTS Tendency

FC Köln

FC Köln matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 7 of last 8 matches (88%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Top Scorer

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim has Andrej Kramaric ranked #7 in league scoring (10 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Bookmaker Split

Bookmakers disagree on home win: 1.70 (HKJC) to 3.60 (188Bet) - 31.0% probability spread indicates market uncertainty

High impact

Bookmaker Split

Bookmakers disagree on away win: 2.00 (188Bet) to 4.21 (CloudBet) - 26.2% probability spread indicates market uncertainty

High impact

Match Normality

50%

Significant concerns

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Feb 21 2026 · 14:30
Venue
RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne)
Competition
Bundesliga · 23
Referee
Robert Schröder Robert Schröder

Coaches

Lukas Kwasniok

Lukas Kwasniok

FC Köln FC Köln

In role since Jul 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Christian Ilzer

Christian Ilzer

TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim

In role since Nov 2024

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

FC Köln FC Köln
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.6 GA
D H TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 2-2
L H RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-2
W H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 1-0
W H FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 2-1
L H FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-3
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.6 GA
D H TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 2-2
L H RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-2
W H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 1-0
W H FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 2-1
L H FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-3
0W 2D 3L
1 GF · 2 GA
L A VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 1-3
L A SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 1-2
D A Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-2
L A Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0-2
D A Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-1
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
D H TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 2-2
L A VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 1-3
L H RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-2
W H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 1-0
L A SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 1-2
TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
D A FC Köln FC Köln 2-2
L A FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-5
W A Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-0
W A Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1
D A VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 0-0
5W 0D 0L
3.2 GF · 0.6 GA
W H SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 3-0
W H FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 3-1
W H Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1-0
W H Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 5-1
W H Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 4-1
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
D A FC Köln FC Köln 2-2
L A FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-5
W A Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-0
W A Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1
D A VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 0-0
3W 1D 1L
2.2 GF · 1.6 GA
D A FC Köln FC Köln 2-2
W H SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 3-0
L A FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-5
W H FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 3-1
W A Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-0

Sidelined Players

FC Köln FC Köln 8 out
Timo Hübers
Timo Hübers
injury
Alessio Castro-Montes
Alessio Castro-Montes
injury
Jan Thielmann
Jan Thielmann
injury
Luca Kilian
Luca Kilian
injury
Sebastian Sebulonsen
Sebastian Sebulonsen
injury

+3 more

TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 9 out
Alexander Prass
Alexander Prass
injury
Adam Hlozek
Adam Hlozek
injury
Tim Lemperle
Tim Lemperle
injury
Ihlas Bebou
Ihlas Bebou
injury
Ihlas Bebou
Ihlas Bebou
injury

+4 more

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

FC Köln
2
20%
Draws
3
30%
TSG Hoffenheim
5
50%
Avg Goals
3.1
BTTS
60%

League Signals

Predictability
58%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.1
HIGH
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
60%

Final Words

FC Köln have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. The head-to-head favors TSG Hoffenheim in recent meetings.