FC Köln vs RB Leipzig

Value Assessment

Home Win
3.37
29% pred
-0.9%
Draw
3.87
25% pred
-0.5%
Away Win
1.98
46% pred
-4.6%
BTTS Yes 1.40 49%
BTTS No 2.79 39% MARGINAL

Key Insights

European Race

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig in position 4 - competing for Champions League qualification

High impact

BTTS Tendency

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Top Scorer

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig has Christoph Baumgartner ranked #9 in league scoring (8 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 48.5% BTTS vs 71.4% market consensus - lower probability, 22.9% gap

Medium impact

Match Normality

95%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sun, Feb 8 2026 · 14:30
Venue
RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne)
Competition
Bundesliga · 21
Referee
Frank Willenborg Frank Willenborg

Coaches

Lukas Kwasniok

Lukas Kwasniok

FC Köln FC Köln

In role since Jul 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Ole Werner

Ole Werner

RB Leipzig RB Leipzig

In role since Jul 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

FC Köln FC Köln
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.6 GA
D H TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 2-2
L H RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-2
W H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 1-0
W H FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 2-1
L H FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-3
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.6 GA
D H TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 2-2
L H RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-2
W H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 1-0
W H FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 2-1
L H FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-3
0W 2D 3L
1 GF · 2 GA
L A VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 1-3
L A SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 1-2
D A Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-2
L A Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0-2
D A Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-1
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
D H TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 2-2
L A VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 1-3
L H RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-2
W H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 1-0
L A SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 1-2
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1 GA
W A FC Köln FC Köln 2-1
D A St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-1
W A Heidenheim Heidenheim 3-0
L A FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 1-3
D A Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0
1W 2D 2L
1.6 GF · 2.2 GA
D H Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-2
D H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 2-2
L H FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 1-2
L H FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-5
W H SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 2-0
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1 GA
W A FC Köln FC Köln 2-1
D A St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-1
W A Heidenheim Heidenheim 3-0
L A FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 1-3
D A Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0
1W 3D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
D H Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-2
D H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 2-2
W A FC Köln FC Köln 2-1
L H FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 1-2
D A St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-1

Sidelined Players

FC Köln FC Köln 8 out
Timo Hübers
Timo Hübers
injury
Alessio Castro-Montes
Alessio Castro-Montes
injury
Jan Thielmann
Jan Thielmann
injury
Luca Kilian
Luca Kilian
injury
Sebastian Sebulonsen
Sebastian Sebulonsen
injury

+3 more

RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 8 out
Kevin Kampl
Kevin Kampl
injury
Assan Ouédraogo
Assan Ouédraogo
injury
Péter Gulácsi
Péter Gulácsi
injury
Xaver Schlager
Xaver Schlager
injury
Viggo Gebel
Viggo Gebel
injury

+3 more

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

FC Köln
1
10%
Draws
4
40%
RB Leipzig
5
50%
Avg Goals
3.2
BTTS
70%

League Signals

Predictability
58%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.1
HIGH
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
60%

Final Words

FC Köln have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. RB Leipzig have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5. The head-to-head favors RB Leipzig in recent meetings.