FC Köln vs FSV Mainz 05

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.10
34% pred
-13.7%
Draw
3.43
31% pred
+1.4%
Away Win
3.40
36% pred
+6.2%
VALUE
BTTS Yes 1.67 52%
BTTS No 2.15 43%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 in position 17 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Rotation Risk

FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Must Win

FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 in position 17 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Away Struggles

FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 winless in last 8 away matches (3 draws, 5 losses) - poor away record

Medium impact

Match Normality

75%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Jan 17 2026 · 14:30
Venue
RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne)
Competition
Bundesliga · 18
Referee
Felix Zwayer Felix Zwayer

Coaches

Lukas Kwasniok

Lukas Kwasniok

FC Köln FC Köln

In role since Jul 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Urs Fischer

Urs Fischer

FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05

In role since Dec 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

FC Köln FC Köln
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.6 GA
D H TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 2-2
L H RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-2
W H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 1-0
W H FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 2-1
L H FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-3
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.6 GA
D H TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 2-2
L H RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-2
W H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 1-0
W H FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 2-1
L H FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-3
0W 2D 3L
1 GF · 2 GA
L A VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 1-3
L A SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 1-2
D A Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-2
L A Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0-2
D A Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-1
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
D H TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 2-2
L A VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 1-3
L H RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-2
W H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 1-0
L A SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 1-2
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
1W 2D 2L
1.4 GF · 2.2 GA
L A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0-4
W A RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-1
L A FC Köln FC Köln 1-2
D A FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 2-2
D A FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 2-2
3W 2D 0L
1.6 GF · 0.6 GA
D H Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 1-1
W H FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 2-0
W H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 3-1
W H Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-1
D H St. Pauli St. Pauli 0-0
1W 2D 2L
1.4 GF · 2.2 GA
L A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0-4
W A RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-1
L A FC Köln FC Köln 1-2
D A FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 2-2
D A FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 2-2
3W 1D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.4 GA
D H Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 1-1
L A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0-4
W H FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 2-0
W A RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-1
W H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 3-1

Sidelined Players

FC Köln FC Köln 8 out
Timo Hübers
Timo Hübers
injury
Alessio Castro-Montes
Alessio Castro-Montes
injury
Jan Thielmann
Jan Thielmann
injury
Luca Kilian
Luca Kilian
injury
Sebastian Sebulonsen
Sebastian Sebulonsen
injury

+3 more

FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 7 out
William Bøving
William Bøving
injury
Sota Kawasaki
Sota Kawasaki
injury
Benedict Hollerbach
Benedict Hollerbach
injury
Dominic van Hoof
Dominic van Hoof
injury
Robin Zentner
Robin Zentner
injury

+2 more

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

FC Köln
4
40%
Draws
4
40%
FSV Mainz 05
2
20%
Avg Goals
2.6
BTTS
60%

League Signals

Predictability
58%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.1
HIGH
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
60%

Final Words

FC Köln have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches.