FC Groningen vs PSV

Full Time

Value Assessment

Home Win
4.52
28% pred
+5.6%
VALUE
Draw
4.25
24% pred
+0.0%
Away Win
1.63
49% pred
-12.6%
BTTS Yes 1.56 44%
BTTS No 2.31 46%

Key Insights

Title Race

PSV

PSV leading the table - high motivation to maintain position

High impact

European Race

FC Groningen

FC Groningen in position 8 - competing for Conference League qualification

High impact

Away Specialist

PSV

PSV exceptional away form: 7 wins in last 8 away matches (88% win rate)

Medium impact

High Scoring

PSV

PSV involved in high-scoring games: 10 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

PSV

PSV matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Top Scorer

PSV

PSV has Guus Til ranked #2 in league scoring (12 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 43.6% BTTS vs 64.1% market consensus - lower probability, 20.5% gap

Medium impact

Match Normality

90%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sun, Feb 8 2026 · 15:45
Venue
Euroborg (Groningen)
Competition
Eredivisie · 22
Referee
Marc Nagtegaal Marc Nagtegaal

Coaches

Dick Lukkien

Dick Lukkien

FC Groningen FC Groningen

In role since Jul 2023

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Peter Bosz

Peter Bosz

PSV PSV

In role since Jul 2023

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

FC Groningen FC Groningen
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.2 GA
L H FC Utrecht FC Utrecht 1-2
L H PSV PSV 1-2
L H Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-2
D H NAC Breda NAC Breda 0-0
W H FC Volendam FC Volendam 3-0
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.2 GA
L H FC Utrecht FC Utrecht 1-2
L H PSV PSV 1-2
L H Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-2
D H NAC Breda NAC Breda 0-0
W H FC Volendam FC Volendam 3-0
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1 GA
L A FC Twente FC Twente 1-2
L A Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-2
W A SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen 2-0
D A Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-1
W A Excelsior Excelsior 2-0
0W 0D 5L
0.8 GF · 2 GA
L A FC Twente FC Twente 1-2
L H FC Utrecht FC Utrecht 1-2
L H PSV PSV 1-2
L A Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-2
L H Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-2
PSV PSV
3W 0D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.6 GA
L A FC Volendam FC Volendam 1-2
W A FC Groningen FC Groningen 2-1
L A Newcastle United Newcastle United 0-3
W A Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 2-1
W A FC Utrecht FC Utrecht 2-1
3W 1D 1L
2.8 GF · 1.2 GA
W H SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen 3-1
W H Feyenoord Feyenoord 3-0
L H FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-2
D H NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-2
W H Excelsior Excelsior 5-1
3W 0D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.6 GA
L A FC Volendam FC Volendam 1-2
W A FC Groningen FC Groningen 2-1
L A Newcastle United Newcastle United 0-3
W A Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 2-1
W A FC Utrecht FC Utrecht 2-1
3W 0D 2L
2 GF · 1.2 GA
W H SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen 3-1
L A FC Volendam FC Volendam 1-2
W A FC Groningen FC Groningen 2-1
W H Feyenoord Feyenoord 3-0
L H FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-2

Sidelined Players

FC Groningen FC Groningen 2 out
Stije Resink
Stije Resink
injury
Tika de Jonge
Tika de Jonge
injury
PSV PSV 8 out
Alassane Pléa
Alassane Pléa
injury
Richard Ledezma
Richard Ledezma
injury
Matej Kovar
Matej Kovar
injury
Armando Obispo
Armando Obispo
injury
Nick Olij
Nick Olij
injury

+3 more

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

FC Groningen
1
10%
Draws
0
0%
PSV
9
90%
Avg Goals
4.3
BTTS
60%

League Signals

Predictability
57%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
55%
Over 2.5
58%

Final Words

FC Groningen have struggled recently, winning just 0 of their last 5 matches. The head-to-head favors PSV in recent meetings.