FC Bayern München vs TSG Hoffenheim

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.24
70% pred
-11.1%
Draw
6.85
17% pred
+2.4%
Away Win
9.18
13% pred
+2.5%
BTTS Yes 1.52 44%
BTTS No 2.43 44% MARGINAL

Key Insights

Title Race

FC Bayern München

FC Bayern München leading the table - high motivation to maintain position

High impact

High Scoring

FC Bayern München

FC Bayern München involved in high-scoring games: 9 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

FC Bayern München

FC Bayern München matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 7 of last 8 matches (88%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Top Scorer

FC Bayern München

FC Bayern München has Harry Kane ranked #1 in league scoring (24 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Top Scorer

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim has Andrej Kramaric ranked #6 in league scoring (9 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 44.4% BTTS vs 65.8% market consensus - lower probability, 21.3% gap

Medium impact

Match Normality

90%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sun, Feb 8 2026 · 16:30
Venue
Allianz Arena (Munich)
Competition
Bundesliga · 21
Referee
Tobias Stieler Tobias Stieler

Coaches

Vincent Kompany

Vincent Kompany

FC Bayern München FC Bayern München

In role since Jul 2024

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Christian Ilzer

Christian Ilzer

TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim

In role since Nov 2024

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

FC Bayern München FC Bayern München
4W 0D 1L
3.8 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-2
W H TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 5-1
L H FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1-2
W H Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0
W H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 8-1
4W 0D 1L
3.8 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-2
W H TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 5-1
L H FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1-2
W H Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0
W H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 8-1
4W 1D 0L
3 GF · 1 GA
W A Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 3-0
D A Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 2-2
W A PSV PSV 2-1
W A RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 5-1
W A FC Köln FC Köln 3-1
4W 1D 0L
3 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-2
W A Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 3-0
W H TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 5-1
D A Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 2-2
W A PSV PSV 2-1
TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
D A FC Köln FC Köln 2-2
L A FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-5
W A Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-0
W A Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1
D A VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 0-0
5W 0D 0L
3.2 GF · 0.6 GA
W H SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 3-0
W H FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 3-1
W H Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1-0
W H Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 5-1
W H Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 4-1
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
D A FC Köln FC Köln 2-2
L A FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-5
W A Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-0
W A Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1
D A VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 0-0
3W 1D 1L
2.2 GF · 1.6 GA
D A FC Köln FC Köln 2-2
W H SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 3-0
L A FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-5
W H FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 3-1
W A Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-0

Sidelined Players

FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 5 out
Jamal Musiala
Jamal Musiala
injury
Manuel Neuer
Manuel Neuer
injury
Alphonso Davies
Alphonso Davies
injury
Konrad Laimer
Konrad Laimer
injury
Manuel Neuer
Manuel Neuer
injury
TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 9 out
Alexander Prass
Alexander Prass
injury
Adam Hlozek
Adam Hlozek
injury
Tim Lemperle
Tim Lemperle
injury
Ihlas Bebou
Ihlas Bebou
injury
Ihlas Bebou
Ihlas Bebou
injury

+4 more

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

FC Bayern München
7
70%
Draws
2
20%
TSG Hoffenheim
1
10%
Avg Goals
3.9
BTTS
50%

League Signals

Predictability
58%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.1
HIGH
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
60%

Final Words

FC Bayern München enter this match in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. Historically, FC Bayern München have dominated this fixture.