Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Value Assessment
Home Win
2.95
25% pred
-9.3%
Draw
3.33
25% pred
-5.3%
Away Win
2.32
51% pred
+7.6%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.62
47%
BTTS No
2.23
42%
Key Insights
European Race
AZ in position 7 - competing for Conference League qualification
High impactBTTS Tendency
Excelsior matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes
Medium impactBTTS Tendency
AZ matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes
Medium impactTop Scorer
AZ has Troy Parrott ranked #4 in league scoring (11 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactMatch Normality
90%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Feb 14 2026
·
17:45
Venue
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
(Rotterdam)
Competition
Eredivisie
·
23
Referee
Erwin Blank
Coaches
Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Recent Form
Excelsior
1W 2D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.8 GA
L
H
AZ
1-2
AZ
1-2
D
H
Ajax
2-2
Ajax
2-2
D
H
Telstar
2-2
Telstar
2-2
W
H
PEC Zwolle
2-1
PEC Zwolle
2-1
L
H
FC Groningen
0-2
FC Groningen
0-2
1W 2D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.8 GA
L
H
AZ
1-2
AZ
1-2
D
H
Ajax
2-2
Ajax
2-2
D
H
Telstar
2-2
Telstar
2-2
W
H
PEC Zwolle
2-1
PEC Zwolle
2-1
L
H
FC Groningen
0-2
FC Groningen
0-2
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
L
A
Fortuna Sittard
1-2
Fortuna Sittard
1-2
W
A
NAC Breda
2-0
NAC Breda
2-0
D
A
FC Twente
0-0
FC Twente
0-0
D
A
AZ
1-1
AZ
1-1
L
A
PSV
1-5
PSV
1-5
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Fortuna Sittard
1-2
Fortuna Sittard
1-2
L
H
AZ
1-2
AZ
1-2
W
A
NAC Breda
2-0
NAC Breda
2-0
D
H
Ajax
2-2
Ajax
2-2
D
A
FC Twente
0-0
FC Twente
0-0
AZ
2W 0D 3L
1.4 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Noah
0-1
Noah
0-1
W
A
Excelsior
2-1
Excelsior
2-1
W
A
Telstar
1-0
Telstar
1-0
L
A
PEC Zwolle
1-3
PEC Zwolle
1-3
L
A
Fortuna Sittard
3-4
Fortuna Sittard
3-4
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Sparta Rotterdam
3-1
Sparta Rotterdam
3-1
D
H
Ajax
1-1
Ajax
1-1
L
H
NEC Nijmegen
1-3
NEC Nijmegen
1-3
D
H
Excelsior
1-1
Excelsior
1-1
W
H
FC Volendam
1-0
FC Volendam
1-0
2W 0D 3L
1.4 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Noah
0-1
Noah
0-1
W
A
Excelsior
2-1
Excelsior
2-1
W
A
Telstar
1-0
Telstar
1-0
L
A
PEC Zwolle
1-3
PEC Zwolle
1-3
L
A
Fortuna Sittard
3-4
Fortuna Sittard
3-4
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
Sparta Rotterdam
3-1
Sparta Rotterdam
3-1
L
A
Noah
0-1
Noah
0-1
W
A
Excelsior
2-1
Excelsior
2-1
D
H
Ajax
1-1
Ajax
1-1
L
H
NEC Nijmegen
1-3
NEC Nijmegen
1-3
Sidelined Players
Excelsior
2 out
Chris-Kévin Nadje
suspended
Zach Booth
injury
AZ
5 out
Jordy Clasie
injury
Lequincio Zeefuik
injury
Jordy Clasie
injury
Denso Kasius
injury
Sven Mijnans
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Excelsior
3
30%
Draws
2
20%
AZ
5
50%
Avg Goals
3.3
BTTS
70%
League Signals
Predictability
57%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
55%
Over 2.5
58%
Final Words
Excelsior host AZ in the Eredivisie on 14 February, with kick-off at 17:45 UTC. The data indicate AZ holds a stronger signal, though rotation risk is noted amid a congested schedule. Excelsior are unbeaten in five and have shown defensive solidity.
Excelsior
Excelsior have not lost in five home matches, with one win and four draws, scoring seven and conceding five. In the head-to-head, their only meeting with AZ ended in a draw. AZ rotation risk is flagged due to congestion, while Excelsior's current run provides a cautious edge for the fixture.
AZ
AZ have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses from the last five away matches, scoring five and conceding eight. AZ are positioned in the European race, with ambitions toward Conference League qualification. Rotation risk is noted due to three fixtures in a 14-day window, potentially affecting selection.
