Excelsior vs Ajax

Value Assessment

Home Win
4.01
33% pred
+8.5%
VALUE
Draw
3.85
24% pred
-2.0%
Away Win
1.79
43% pred
-13.3%
BTTS Yes 1.56 49%
BTTS No 2.32 39%

Key Insights

Streak Watch

Excelsior

Excelsior without a win in 5 games (4 draws, 1 losses) - struggling for results

High impact

Away Specialist

Ajax

Ajax exceptional away form: 5 wins in last 8 away matches (62% win rate)

Medium impact

High Scoring

Ajax

Ajax involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

Ajax

Ajax matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Ajax

Ajax has Mika Godts ranked #4 in league scoring (10 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

100%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sun, Feb 1 2026 · 11:15
Venue
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam)
Competition
Eredivisie · 21
Referee
Marc Nagtegaal Marc Nagtegaal

Coaches

Ruben den Uil

Ruben den Uil

Excelsior Excelsior

In role since Jul 2024

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Fred Grim

Fred Grim

Ajax Ajax

In role since Nov 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Excelsior Excelsior
1W 2D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.8 GA
L H AZ AZ 1-2
D H Ajax Ajax 2-2
D H Telstar Telstar 2-2
W H PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 2-1
L H FC Groningen FC Groningen 0-2
1W 2D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.8 GA
L H AZ AZ 1-2
D H Ajax Ajax 2-2
D H Telstar Telstar 2-2
W H PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 2-1
L H FC Groningen FC Groningen 0-2
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
L A Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-2
W A NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-0
D A FC Twente FC Twente 0-0
D A AZ AZ 1-1
L A PSV PSV 1-5
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.2 GA
L A Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-2
L H AZ AZ 1-2
W A NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-0
D H Ajax Ajax 2-2
D A FC Twente FC Twente 0-0
Ajax Ajax
2W 3D 0L
2 GF · 1.6 GA
D A AZ AZ 1-1
D A Excelsior Excelsior 2-2
W A Villarreal Villarreal 2-1
W A Telstar Telstar 3-2
D A NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 2-2
2W 2D 1L
2 GF · 1.2 GA
D H NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-1
W H Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 4-1
L H Olympiacos F.C. Olympiacos F.C. 1-2
W H FC Volendam FC Volendam 2-0
D H Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-2
2W 3D 0L
2 GF · 1.6 GA
D A AZ AZ 1-1
D A Excelsior Excelsior 2-2
W A Villarreal Villarreal 2-1
W A Telstar Telstar 3-2
D A NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 2-2
1W 3D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.4 GA
D H NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-1
W H Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 4-1
D A AZ AZ 1-1
D A Excelsior Excelsior 2-2
L H Olympiacos F.C. Olympiacos F.C. 1-2

Sidelined Players

Excelsior Excelsior 2 out
Chris-Kévin Nadje
Chris-Kévin Nadje
suspended
Zach Booth
Zach Booth
injury
Ajax Ajax 3 out
Youri Regeer
Youri Regeer
injury
Oleksandr Zinchenko
Oleksandr Zinchenko
injury
Vitezslav Jaros
Vitezslav Jaros
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Excelsior
1
10%
Draws
3
30%
Ajax
6
60%
Avg Goals
5.1
BTTS
100%

League Signals

Predictability
57%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
55%
Over 2.5
58%

Final Words

Excelsior have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Ajax have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5. The head-to-head favors Ajax in recent meetings.