Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Value Assessment
Home Win
3.06
40% pred
+7.5%
VALUE
Draw
3.39
29% pred
-0.8%
Away Win
2.25
31% pred
-13.4%
BTTS Yes
1.67
53%
BTTS No
2.11
48%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Home Win
@
3.06
+7.5% edge
40% probability
Expected value: +0.23 units per bet
Confidence
Low
57%
Key Insights
European Race
Gil Vicente in position 5 - competing for European qualification
Medium impactHome Fortress
Estoril unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (5 wins, 3 draws) - strong home advantage
Medium impactHigh Scoring
Estoril involved in high-scoring games: 9 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5
Medium impactHigh Scoring
Gil Vicente involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5
Medium impactBTTS Tendency
Estoril matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes
Medium impactBTTS Tendency
Gil Vicente matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes
Medium impactTop Scorer
Estoril has Yanis Begraoui ranked #3 in league scoring (15 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactTop Scorer
Gil Vicente has Pablo ranked #10 in league scoring (10 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactMatch Normality
90%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Feb 22 2026
·
18:00
Venue
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
(Estoril)
Competition
Liga Portugal
·
23
Referee
Iancu Ioan Vasilica
Coaches
Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Recent Form
Estoril
4W 1D 0L
2.8 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Gil Vicente
3-1
Gil Vicente
3-1
D
H
Tondela
2-2
Tondela
2-2
W
H
Vitória Guimarães
4-2
Vitória Guimarães
4-2
W
H
Alverca
4-1
Alverca
4-1
W
H
Sporting Braga
1-0
Sporting Braga
1-0
4W 1D 0L
2.8 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Gil Vicente
3-1
Gil Vicente
3-1
D
H
Tondela
2-2
Tondela
2-2
W
H
Vitória Guimarães
4-2
Vitória Guimarães
4-2
W
H
Alverca
4-1
Alverca
4-1
W
H
Sporting Braga
1-0
Sporting Braga
1-0
2W 0D 3L
2 GF · 2.4 GA
L
A
AVS
0-3
AVS
0-3
W
A
Santa Clara
4-2
Santa Clara
4-2
W
A
Estrela Amadora
5-0
Estrela Amadora
5-0
L
A
Benfica
1-3
Benfica
1-3
L
A
Famalicão
0-4
Famalicão
0-4
3W 1D 1L
2.6 GF · 2 GA
W
H
Gil Vicente
3-1
Gil Vicente
3-1
L
A
AVS
0-3
AVS
0-3
D
H
Tondela
2-2
Tondela
2-2
W
A
Santa Clara
4-2
Santa Clara
4-2
W
H
Vitória Guimarães
4-2
Vitória Guimarães
4-2
Gil Vicente
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 2 GA
L
A
Estoril
1-3
Estoril
1-3
W
A
Moreirense
2-1
Moreirense
2-1
L
A
Porto
0-3
Porto
0-3
D
A
Arouca
2-2
Arouca
2-2
D
A
Casa Pia
1-1
Casa Pia
1-1
3W 2D 0L
2.4 GF · 1 GA
W
H
Sporting Braga
2-1
Sporting Braga
2-1
W
H
Famalicão
5-0
Famalicão
5-0
W
H
Nacional
2-1
Nacional
2-1
D
H
Sporting CP
1-1
Sporting CP
1-1
D
H
Rio Ave
2-2
Rio Ave
2-2
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 2 GA
L
A
Estoril
1-3
Estoril
1-3
W
A
Moreirense
2-1
Moreirense
2-1
L
A
Porto
0-3
Porto
0-3
D
A
Arouca
2-2
Arouca
2-2
D
A
Casa Pia
1-1
Casa Pia
1-1
3W 0D 2L
2 GF · 1.6 GA
L
A
Estoril
1-3
Estoril
1-3
W
H
Sporting Braga
2-1
Sporting Braga
2-1
W
A
Moreirense
2-1
Moreirense
2-1
W
H
Famalicão
5-0
Famalicão
5-0
L
A
Porto
0-3
Porto
0-3
Sidelined Players
Estoril
1 out
Xeka
injury
Gil Vicente
2 out
Tidjany Chabrol Touré
injury
Mohamed Aboubakar Bamba
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Estoril
4
40%
Draws
3
30%
Gil Vicente
3
30%
Avg Goals
2.7
BTTS
50%
League Signals
Predictability
57%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
49%
Final Words
Estoril host Gil Vicente in Liga Portugal on 22 February 2026. Estoril arrive with three wins in five and a rotation risk due to a congested football schedule, while Gil Vicente sit fifth in the table and appear focused on European qualification. There is no previous head-to-head record between these sides.
Estoril
Estoril have a five-match sample in league form showing L-D-W-W-W. They have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, scoring 15 and conceding 9. There is rotation risk due to a congested 14-day window with three fixtures.
Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente travel with a five-match away form of W-W-W-L-W. They have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, scoring 11 and conceding 6. They sit fifth and remain in contention for European qualification.
