Derby County vs Swansea City

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.45
31% pred
-9.6%
Draw
3.15
27% pred
-4.6%
Away Win
2.92
42% pred
+7.3%
VALUE
BTTS Yes 1.89 44%
BTTS No 1.85 45%

Key Insights

Top Scorer

Derby County

Derby County has Patrick Agyemang ranked #10 in league scoring (10 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Swansea City

Swansea City has Zan Vipotnik ranked #1 in league scoring (15 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

90%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Feb 14 2026 · 15:00
Venue
Pride Park Stadium (Derby)
Competition
Championship · 32
Referee
Andrew Kitchen Andrew Kitchen

Coaches

John Eustace

John Eustace

Derby County Derby County

In role since Feb 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Vitor Matos

Vitor Matos

Swansea City Swansea City

In role since Nov 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Derby County Derby County
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
W H Swansea City Swansea City 2-0
L H Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-2
D H West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 1-1
L H Leeds United Leeds United 1-3
L H Wrexham Wrexham 1-2
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
W H Swansea City Swansea City 2-0
L H Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-2
D H West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 1-1
L H Leeds United Leeds United 1-3
L H Wrexham Wrexham 1-2
3W 0D 2L
1.8 GF · 1 GA
L A Watford Watford 0-2
W A Bristol City Bristol City 5-0
W A Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-1
W A Preston North End Preston North End 1-0
L A Leicester City Leicester City 1-2
2W 1D 2L
1.8 GF · 1 GA
L A Watford Watford 0-2
W H Swansea City Swansea City 2-0
L H Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-2
W A Bristol City Bristol City 5-0
D H West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 1-1
Swansea City Swansea City
2W 0D 3L
1 GF · 1.2 GA
L A Derby County Derby County 0-2
W A Watford Watford 2-0
L A Hull City Hull City 1-2
L A Millwall Millwall 1-2
W A Oxford United Oxford United 1-0
3W 2D 0L
2.2 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Bristol City Bristol City 1-0
W H Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 4-0
W H Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 3-1
D H Birmingham City Birmingham City 1-1
D H West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 2-2
2W 0D 3L
1 GF · 1.2 GA
L A Derby County Derby County 0-2
W A Watford Watford 2-0
L A Hull City Hull City 1-2
L A Millwall Millwall 1-2
W A Oxford United Oxford United 1-0
3W 0D 2L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Bristol City Bristol City 1-0
L A Derby County Derby County 0-2
W H Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 4-0
W A Watford Watford 2-0
L A Hull City Hull City 1-2

Sidelined Players

Derby County Derby County 3 out
Sondre Langås
Sondre Langås
injury
Jacob Widell Zetterström
Jacob Widell Zetterström
injury
Jaydon Banel
Jaydon Banel
injury
Swansea City Swansea City 0 out

No reported absences

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Derby County
4
40%
Draws
2
20%
Swansea City
4
40%
Avg Goals
2.2
BTTS
50%

League Signals

Predictability
51%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.5
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
26%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
46%