Como vs Atalanta

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.29
39% pred
-4.3%
Draw
3.23
29% pred
-1.8%
Away Win
3.19
32% pred
+0.2%
BTTS Yes 1.74 41%
BTTS No 2.04 49%

Key Insights

European Race

Como

Como in position 6 - competing for Conference League qualification

High impact

Rotation Risk

Atalanta

Atalanta has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Defensive Fortress

Como

Como has excellent defensive record: 5 clean sheets in last 8 matches (62%) - favors Under/BTTS No

Medium impact

Defensive Fortress

Atalanta

Atalanta has excellent defensive record: 5 clean sheets in last 8 matches (62%) - favors Under/BTTS No

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Como

Como has Nico Paz ranked #2 in league scoring (8 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

75%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sun, Feb 1 2026 · 14:00
Venue
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como)
Competition
Serie A · 23
Referee
Luca Pairetto Luca Pairetto

Coaches

Cesc Fàbregas
Cesc Fàbregas Como Como

In role since Jul 2024

Attack Tempo

1.3

Defensive Control

18.4%

Match Shape

26.3%

Como, under Cesc Fàbregas since 19 July 2024, presents a modest attacking output of 1.3 goals per game and a defense averaging 1.4 conceded per game. A BTTS rate of 60.5% and a clean sheet share of 18.4% imply open matches with limited defensive resistance. Draws reflect 26.3% of results. With only one season analyzed, there is uncertainty around these tendencies.

Raffaele Palladino
Raffaele Palladino Atalanta Atalanta

In role since Nov 2025

Attack Tempo

1.9

Defensive Control

34.2%

Match Shape

18.4%

Atalanta, under manager Raffaele Palladino since 2025-11-11, show 1.9 goals for and 1.1 against per match across three seasons. The BTTS rate sits at 53.5% with a 34.2% clean sheet rate, signaling an attack-oriented profile supported by periodic defensive resilience. Draws account for 18.4% of results, implying frequent non-decisions rather than clear edges. Given the sample size, there is some uncertainty about longer-term stability of these tendencies.

Recent Form

Como Como
1W 2D 2L
1.8 GF · 1.2 GA
L H Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-2
D H Atalanta Atalanta 0-0
W H Torino Torino 6-0
L H AC Milan AC Milan 1-3
D H Bologna Bologna 1-1
1W 2D 2L
1.8 GF · 1.2 GA
L H Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-2
D H Atalanta Atalanta 0-0
W H Torino Torino 6-0
L H AC Milan AC Milan 1-3
D H Bologna Bologna 1-1
3W 2D 0L
2 GF · 0.6 GA
W A Juventus Juventus 2-0
D A AC Milan AC Milan 1-1
D A Napoli Napoli 1-1
W A Fiorentina Fiorentina 3-1
W A Lazio Lazio 3-0
1W 3D 1L
1 GF · 0.8 GA
W A Juventus Juventus 2-0
D A AC Milan AC Milan 1-1
L H Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-2
D A Napoli Napoli 1-1
D H Atalanta Atalanta 0-0
Atalanta Atalanta
1W 2D 2L
0.6 GF · 0.8 GA
L A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0-2
W A Lazio Lazio 2-0
D A Como Como 0-0
L A Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-1
D A Pisa Pisa 1-1
4W 0D 1L
2.6 GF · 1 GA
W H Napoli Napoli 2-1
W H Cremonese Cremonese 2-1
W H Juventus Juventus 3-0
W H Parma Parma 4-0
L H Athletic Club Athletic Club 2-3
1W 2D 2L
0.6 GF · 0.8 GA
L A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0-2
W A Lazio Lazio 2-0
D A Como Como 0-0
L A Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-1
D A Pisa Pisa 1-1
4W 0D 1L
1.8 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Napoli Napoli 2-1
L A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0-2
W A Lazio Lazio 2-0
W H Cremonese Cremonese 2-1
W H Juventus Juventus 3-0

Sidelined Players

Como Como 3 out
Álvaro Morata
Álvaro Morata
injury
Paolo Faragò
Paolo Faragò
injury
Assane Diao 
Assane Diao 
suspended
Atalanta Atalanta 2 out
Charles De Ketelaere
Charles De Ketelaere
injury
Giacomo Raspadori
Giacomo Raspadori
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 4)

Como
1
25%
Draws
2
50%
Atalanta
1
25%
Avg Goals
2.5
BTTS
75%

League Signals

Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
51%

Final Words

Calcio Como vs. Atalanta kicks off at 14:00 [GMT] on Sunday, February 1, at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia.
Como Como

<p>Como entered the match sitting sixth in the standings with 40 points, continuing what has been a remarkable campaign. Few would have predicted such consistency, but Como have built their success on resilience and control. In fact, they have been unbeaten in 26 of their last 31 Serie A matches, a run that highlights their ability to grind out results even when not at their fluent best.</p> <p>At home, their form has been steady, with three wins from their last six matches across all competitions. This suggests they are capable of protecting their turf against strong opposition.</p> <p>Encouragingly for the hosts, goals have not been in short supply recently. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Como’s last three Serie A matches, pointing to a more adventurous approach in the final third.</p> <p>This attacking momentum could prove vital against an Atalanta side that thrives when games open up. However, Como will be mindful of their unfavourable head-to-head record, having suffered five defeats in eight previous meetings with La Dea, a statistic that underlines the size of the challenge ahead.</p> <p>Nevertheless, earning three victories in a row [WDLWW] remains the objective. A 4-2-3-1 formation with Anastasios Douvikas in attack is expected against La Dea.</p>

Atalanta Atalanta

<p>Atalanta head back to Serie A action after a narrow 1-0 defeat to Union Saint-Gilloise in the UEFA Champions League. Despite the loss, La Dea finished 15th in the league phase table, leaving them in the qualifying playoff round where they will meet Dortmund.</p> <p>Back in Serie A, Atalanta sits just below Como in 7th place on 35 points.</p> <p>They have won four of their last six league matches, signalling renewed sharpness and intensity.</p> <p>One enduring strength is their away form; they are unbeaten in 22 of their last 26 away Serie A games.</p> <p>With five points separating the sides, the stakes are high. A Como win would further cement their position among the league’s elite, while an Atalanta victory would tighten the race for the top six.</p> <p>Considering recent goal trends and attacking quality on both sides, coupled with Atalanta’s away form, the fixture appears finely balanced. It could swing either way.</p> <p>A 3-4-2-1 formation with Nikola Krstović in attack is expected against Como.</p>