Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Value Assessment
Home Win
1.19
69% pred
-15.2%
Draw
7.28
20% pred
+5.9%
VALUE
Away Win
16.70
12% pred
+5.6%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.94
51%
BTTS No
1.82
49%
Key Insights
Relegation Zone
Burnley in position 19 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
High impactEuropean Race
Chelsea in position 4 - competing for Champions League qualification
High impactStreak Watch
Chelsea unbeaten in 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws) - solid defensive form
Medium impactBTTS Tendency
Chelsea matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes
Medium impactBTTS Tendency
Burnley matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes
Medium impactLeaky Defense
Burnley has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals
Medium impactTop Scorer
Chelsea has João Pedro ranked #4 in league scoring (11 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactBookmaker Split
Bookmakers disagree on home win: 1.04 (HKJC) to 1.27 (1xbet) - 17.4% probability spread indicates market uncertainty
Medium impactMatch Normality
80%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Feb 21 2026
·
15:00
Venue
Stamford Bridge
(London)
Competition
Premier League
·
27
Referee
Lewis Smith
Coaches
Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Recent Form
Chelsea
3W 2D 0L
1.8 GF · 1 GA
D
H
Burnley
1-1
Burnley
1-1
D
H
Leeds United
2-2
Leeds United
2-2
W
H
West Ham United
3-2
West Ham United
3-2
W
H
Pafos FC
1-0
Pafos FC
1-0
W
H
Brentford
2-0
Brentford
2-0
3W 2D 0L
1.8 GF · 1 GA
D
H
Burnley
1-1
Burnley
1-1
D
H
Leeds United
2-2
Leeds United
2-2
W
H
West Ham United
3-2
West Ham United
3-2
W
H
Pafos FC
1-0
Pafos FC
1-0
W
H
Brentford
2-0
Brentford
2-0
4W 0D 1L
2.6 GF · 1 GA
W
A
Hull City
4-0
Hull City
4-0
W
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
3-1
Wolverhampton Wanderers
3-1
L
A
Arsenal
0-1
Arsenal
0-1
W
A
Napoli
3-2
Napoli
3-2
W
A
Crystal Palace
3-1
Crystal Palace
3-1
2W 2D 1L
2 GF · 1 GA
D
H
Burnley
1-1
Burnley
1-1
W
A
Hull City
4-0
Hull City
4-0
D
H
Leeds United
2-2
Leeds United
2-2
W
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
3-1
Wolverhampton Wanderers
3-1
L
A
Arsenal
0-1
Arsenal
0-1
Burnley
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.8 GA
D
A
Chelsea
1-1
Chelsea
1-1
W
A
Crystal Palace
3-2
Crystal Palace
3-2
L
A
Sunderland
0-3
Sunderland
0-3
D
A
Liverpool
1-1
Liverpool
1-1
L
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
0-2
Brighton & Hove Albion
0-2
1W 2D 2L
2 GF · 1.8 GA
L
H
Mansfield Town
1-2
Mansfield Town
1-2
L
H
West Ham United
0-2
West Ham United
0-2
D
H
Tottenham Hotspur
2-2
Tottenham Hotspur
2-2
W
H
Millwall
5-1
Millwall
5-1
D
H
Manchester United
2-2
Manchester United
2-2
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.8 GA
D
A
Chelsea
1-1
Chelsea
1-1
W
A
Crystal Palace
3-2
Crystal Palace
3-2
L
A
Sunderland
0-3
Sunderland
0-3
D
A
Liverpool
1-1
Liverpool
1-1
L
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
0-2
Brighton & Hove Albion
0-2
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 2 GA
D
A
Chelsea
1-1
Chelsea
1-1
L
H
Mansfield Town
1-2
Mansfield Town
1-2
W
A
Crystal Palace
3-2
Crystal Palace
3-2
L
H
West Ham United
0-2
West Ham United
0-2
L
A
Sunderland
0-3
Sunderland
0-3
Sidelined Players
Chelsea
10 out
Omari Kellyman
injury
Marc Cucurella
injury
Jamie Gittens
injury
Mykhaylo Mudryk
suspended
João Félix
injury
+5 more
Burnley
4 out
Mike Tresor
injury
Zeki Amdouni
injury
Josh Cullen
injury
Manuel Benson
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Chelsea
7
70%
Draws
3
30%
Burnley
0
0%
Avg Goals
3.3
BTTS
50%
League Signals
Predictability
47%
LOW
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
23%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
56%
Final Words
Chelsea host Burnley in the Premier League. Chelsea sit in fifth and are contending for European qualification, while Burnley occupy the relegation zone in 19th. Burnley face rotation risk with three fixtures in a 14-day window, and the fixture is noted for a high-scoring pattern and BTTS tendency.
Chelsea
Chelsea's home form over the last five matches shows W-D-W-W-W, with 15 goals for and 7 against. This points to a productive attack and a stout enough defense at home. In the sole prior head-to-head, Chelsea won the match.
Burnley
Burnley's away form from the same period is L-W-L-L-D, with 6 goals for and 11 against. They are currently in the relegation zone and face rotation risk due to congestion from competing fixtures. The data notes a high-scoring pattern and BTTS tendency across the fixture window.
