Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Value Assessment
Home Win
1.64
37% pred
-23.7%
Draw
3.62
32% pred
+4.5%
MARGINAL
Away Win
5.30
31% pred
+11.8%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.97
34%
BTTS No
1.78
60%
MARGINAL
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
5.30
+11.8% edge
31% probability
Expected value: +0.62 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
66%
Key Insights
Relegation Zone
Bari 1908 in position 17 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
Medium impactEuropean Race
Cesena in position 5 - competing for European qualification
Medium impactMust Win
Bari 1908 in position 17 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
High impactMarket Disagreement
Model sees 37.3% home win vs 61.0% market consensus - lower probability, 23.7% gap
Medium impactMatch Normality
75%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Jan 24 2026
·
14:00
Venue
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi
(Cesena)
Competition
Serie B
·
21
Referee
Livio Marinelli
Coaches
Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Recent Form
Cesena
1W 0D 4L
1 GF · 2 GA
L
H
Spezia
2-3
Spezia
2-3
L
H
Venezia
0-4
Venezia
0-4
W
H
Pescara
2-0
Pescara
2-0
L
H
Bari 1908
1-2
Bari 1908
1-2
L
H
Empoli
0-1
Empoli
0-1
1W 0D 4L
1 GF · 2 GA
L
H
Spezia
2-3
Spezia
2-3
L
H
Venezia
0-4
Venezia
0-4
W
H
Pescara
2-0
Pescara
2-0
L
H
Bari 1908
1-2
Bari 1908
1-2
L
H
Empoli
0-1
Empoli
0-1
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 2 GA
L
A
Virtus Entella
1-3
Virtus Entella
1-3
L
A
Avellino
1-3
Avellino
1-3
W
A
Reggiana
2-1
Reggiana
2-1
L
A
Catanzaro
0-2
Catanzaro
0-2
D
A
Calcio Padova
1-1
Calcio Padova
1-1
1W 0D 4L
1.2 GF · 2.6 GA
L
H
Spezia
2-3
Spezia
2-3
L
H
Venezia
0-4
Venezia
0-4
L
A
Virtus Entella
1-3
Virtus Entella
1-3
W
H
Pescara
2-0
Pescara
2-0
L
A
Avellino
1-3
Avellino
1-3
Bari 1908
1W 2D 2L
0.8 GF · 1 GA
D
A
Calcio Padova
1-1
Calcio Padova
1-1
L
A
Mantova
1-2
Mantova
1-2
W
A
Cesena
2-1
Cesena
2-1
L
A
Carrarese
0-1
Carrarese
0-1
D
A
Südtirol
0-0
Südtirol
0-0
0W 2D 3L
0.4 GF · 1.4 GA
L
H
Südtirol
1-2
Südtirol
1-2
D
H
Spezia
0-0
Spezia
0-0
L
H
Palermo
0-3
Palermo
0-3
L
H
Juve Stabia
0-1
Juve Stabia
0-1
D
H
Avellino
1-1
Avellino
1-1
1W 2D 2L
0.8 GF · 1 GA
D
A
Calcio Padova
1-1
Calcio Padova
1-1
L
A
Mantova
1-2
Mantova
1-2
W
A
Cesena
2-1
Cesena
2-1
L
A
Carrarese
0-1
Carrarese
0-1
D
A
Südtirol
0-0
Südtirol
0-0
0W 2D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.6 GA
D
A
Calcio Padova
1-1
Calcio Padova
1-1
L
H
Südtirol
1-2
Südtirol
1-2
D
H
Spezia
0-0
Spezia
0-0
L
A
Mantova
1-2
Mantova
1-2
L
H
Palermo
0-3
Palermo
0-3
Sidelined Players
Cesena
0 out
No reported absences
Bari 1908
1 out
Giuseppe Sibilli
suspended
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Cesena
0
0%
Draws
4
40%
Bari 1908
6
60%
Avg Goals
1.9
BTTS
50%
League Signals
Predictability
52%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.4
LOW
Draw Rate
32%
BTTS
52%
Over 2.5
44%
Final Words
Cesena have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Bari 1908 have been inconsistent, managing just 0 win in their last 5. The head-to-head favors Bari 1908 in recent meetings.
