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Value Assessment
Home Win
1.63
49% pred
-12.1%
Draw
3.93
29% pred
+3.1%
MARGINAL
Away Win
5.97
22% pred
+5.5%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.72
37%
BTTS No
2.05
54%
VALUE
Key Insights
European Race
Catanzaro in position 5 - competing for European qualification
Medium impactHome Fortress
Catanzaro unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (6 wins, 2 draws) - strong home advantage
Medium impactDefensive Fortress
Catanzaro has excellent defensive record: 5 clean sheets in last 8 matches (62%) - favors Under/BTTS No
Medium impactMarket Disagreement
Model sees 36.9% BTTS vs 58.1% market consensus - lower probability, 21.3% gap
Medium impactBookmaker Split
Bookmakers disagree on home win: 1.25 (Betfair) to 1.83 (Unibet) - 25.4% probability spread indicates market uncertainty
High impactBookmaker Split
Bookmakers disagree on away win: 3.98 (Sbo) to 11.00 (Betfair) - 16.0% probability spread indicates market uncertainty
Medium impactMatch Normality
45%
High risk match
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Feb 14 2026
·
16:15
Venue
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
(Catanzaro)
Competition
Serie B
·
25
Referee
Andrea Zanotti
Coaches
Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Recent Form
Catanzaro
4W 1D 0L
1.4 GF · 0 GA
W
H
Mantova
2-0
Mantova
2-0
W
H
Reggiana
2-0
Reggiana
2-0
D
H
Sampdoria
0-0
Sampdoria
0-0
W
H
Cesena
2-0
Cesena
2-0
W
H
Avellino
1-0
Avellino
1-0
4W 1D 0L
1.4 GF · 0 GA
W
H
Mantova
2-0
Mantova
2-0
W
H
Reggiana
2-0
Reggiana
2-0
D
H
Sampdoria
0-0
Sampdoria
0-0
W
H
Cesena
2-0
Cesena
2-0
W
H
Avellino
1-0
Avellino
1-0
2W 0D 3L
1.4 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
Virtus Entella
3-1
Virtus Entella
3-1
W
A
Pescara
2-0
Pescara
2-0
L
A
Südtirol
1-2
Südtirol
1-2
L
A
Venezia
1-3
Venezia
1-3
L
A
Frosinone
0-2
Frosinone
0-2
4W 0D 1L
2 GF · 0.6 GA
W
A
Virtus Entella
3-1
Virtus Entella
3-1
W
H
Mantova
2-0
Mantova
2-0
W
A
Pescara
2-0
Pescara
2-0
W
H
Reggiana
2-0
Reggiana
2-0
L
A
Südtirol
1-2
Südtirol
1-2
Mantova
1W 2D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Catanzaro
0-2
Catanzaro
0-2
L
A
Reggiana
0-1
Reggiana
0-1
D
A
Pescara
2-2
Pescara
2-2
W
A
Calcio Padova
2-1
Calcio Padova
2-1
D
A
Carrarese
0-0
Carrarese
0-0
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.8 GA
W
H
Sampdoria
2-1
Sampdoria
2-1
W
H
Bari 1908
2-1
Bari 1908
2-1
L
H
Venezia
2-5
Venezia
2-5
D
H
Palermo
1-1
Palermo
1-1
L
H
Empoli
0-1
Empoli
0-1
1W 2D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Catanzaro
0-2
Catanzaro
0-2
L
A
Reggiana
0-1
Reggiana
0-1
D
A
Pescara
2-2
Pescara
2-2
W
A
Calcio Padova
2-1
Calcio Padova
2-1
D
A
Carrarese
0-0
Carrarese
0-0
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
Sampdoria
2-1
Sampdoria
2-1
L
A
Catanzaro
0-2
Catanzaro
0-2
L
A
Reggiana
0-1
Reggiana
0-1
W
H
Bari 1908
2-1
Bari 1908
2-1
D
A
Pescara
2-2
Pescara
2-2
Sidelined Players
Catanzaro
1 out
Alphadjo Cissè
injury
Mantova
0 out
No reported absences
Head-to-Head (Last 6)
Catanzaro
2
33%
Draws
3
50%
Mantova
1
17%
Avg Goals
1.8
BTTS
33%
League Signals
Predictability
52%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.4
LOW
Draw Rate
32%
BTTS
52%
Over 2.5
44%
Final Words
Catanzaro enter this match in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches.
