Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Value Assessment
Home Win
2.50
29% pred
-10.9%
Draw
3.25
28% pred
-2.9%
Away Win
4.05
43% pred
+18.4%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.87
44%
BTTS No
1.87
46%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
4.05
+18.4% edge
43% probability
Expected value: +0.75 units per bet
Confidence
Low
56%
Key Insights
Bookmaker Split
Bookmakers disagree on home win: 1.44 (bwin) to 3.08 (Pinnacle) - 37.0% probability spread indicates market uncertainty
High impactBookmaker Split
Bookmakers disagree on away win: 2.31 (HKJC) to 9.07 (CloudBet) - 32.3% probability spread indicates market uncertainty
High impactMatch Normality
60%
Significant concerns
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Feb 14 2026
·
15:30
Venue
Campo do Cevadeiro
(Vila Franca de Xira)
Competition
Liga Portugal
·
22
Referee
Diogo Rosa
Coaches
Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Recent Form
Casa Pia
2W 3D 0L
1.8 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
Arouca
3-2
Arouca
3-2
W
H
Porto
2-1
Porto
2-1
D
H
AVS
3-3
AVS
3-3
D
H
Vitória Guimarães
0-0
Vitória Guimarães
0-0
D
H
Gil Vicente
1-1
Gil Vicente
1-1
2W 3D 0L
1.8 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
Arouca
3-2
Arouca
3-2
W
H
Porto
2-1
Porto
2-1
D
H
AVS
3-3
AVS
3-3
D
H
Vitória Guimarães
0-0
Vitória Guimarães
0-0
D
H
Gil Vicente
1-1
Gil Vicente
1-1
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Famalicão
0-2
Famalicão
0-2
D
A
Nacional
0-0
Nacional
0-0
L
A
Sporting CP
0-3
Sporting CP
0-3
L
A
Rio Ave
1-3
Rio Ave
1-3
W
A
Tondela
2-1
Tondela
2-1
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
L
A
Famalicão
0-2
Famalicão
0-2
W
H
Arouca
3-2
Arouca
3-2
D
A
Nacional
0-0
Nacional
0-0
W
H
Porto
2-1
Porto
2-1
D
H
AVS
3-3
AVS
3-3
Arouca
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Casa Pia
2-3
Casa Pia
2-3
W
A
Rio Ave
3-0
Rio Ave
3-0
W
A
AVS
1-0
AVS
1-0
L
A
Tondela
1-3
Tondela
1-3
D
A
Santa Clara
0-0
Santa Clara
0-0
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Nacional
3-0
Nacional
3-0
W
H
Vitória Guimarães
3-2
Vitória Guimarães
3-2
L
H
Sporting CP
1-2
Sporting CP
1-2
D
H
Gil Vicente
2-2
Gil Vicente
2-2
W
H
Alverca
1-0
Alverca
1-0
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Casa Pia
2-3
Casa Pia
2-3
W
A
Rio Ave
3-0
Rio Ave
3-0
W
A
AVS
1-0
AVS
1-0
L
A
Tondela
1-3
Tondela
1-3
D
A
Santa Clara
0-0
Santa Clara
0-0
3W 0D 2L
2.4 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
Nacional
3-0
Nacional
3-0
L
A
Casa Pia
2-3
Casa Pia
2-3
W
H
Vitória Guimarães
3-2
Vitória Guimarães
3-2
W
A
Rio Ave
3-0
Rio Ave
3-0
L
H
Sporting CP
1-2
Sporting CP
1-2
Sidelined Players
Casa Pia
0 out
No reported absences
Arouca
3 out
Vitinho
injury
Matías Rocha
suspended
Nino Galović
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 8)
Casa Pia
5
63%
Draws
2
25%
Arouca
1
13%
Avg Goals
1.9
BTTS
25%
League Signals
Predictability
57%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
49%
Final Words
Historically, Casa Pia have dominated this fixture.
