Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Value Assessment
Home Win
8.70
38% pred
+26.4%
VALUE
Draw
3.61
30% pred
+2.7%
Away Win
1.79
32% pred
-24.2%
BTTS Yes
1.86
49%
BTTS No
1.87
51%
Key Insights
Title Race
Monza in position 2, 2 points behind leader - competing for title
High impactStreak Watch
Carrarese without a win in 5 games (1 draws, 4 losses) - struggling for results
High impactStreak Watch
Monza unbeaten in 5 games (4 wins, 1 draws) - solid defensive form
Medium impactMarket Disagreement
Model sees 37.9% home win vs 11.5% market consensus - higher probability, 26.4% gap
High impactMarket Disagreement
Model sees 31.6% away win vs 55.9% market consensus - lower probability, 24.2% gap
Medium impactBookmaker Split
Bookmakers disagree on home win: 3.47 (Sbo) to 26.00 (Betfair) - 25.0% probability spread indicates market uncertainty
High impactBookmaker Split
Bookmakers disagree on away win: 1.17 (Betfair) to 2.08 (Dafabet) - 37.4% probability spread indicates market uncertainty
High impactMatch Normality
40%
High risk match
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Feb 21 2026
·
18:30
Venue
Stadio dei Marmi
(Carrara)
Competition
Serie B
·
26
Referee
Rosario Abisso
Coaches
Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Recent Form
Carrarese
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 0.2 GA
L
H
Monza
0-1
Monza
0-1
D
H
Südtirol
0-0
Südtirol
0-0
W
H
Empoli
3-0
Empoli
3-0
W
H
Bari 1908
1-0
Bari 1908
1-0
D
H
Mantova
0-0
Mantova
0-0
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 0.2 GA
L
H
Monza
0-1
Monza
0-1
D
H
Südtirol
0-0
Südtirol
0-0
W
H
Empoli
3-0
Empoli
3-0
W
H
Bari 1908
1-0
Bari 1908
1-0
D
H
Mantova
0-0
Mantova
0-0
1W 0D 4L
0.8 GF · 2 GA
L
A
Modena
0-2
Modena
0-2
L
A
Calcio Padova
0-1
Calcio Padova
0-1
L
A
Venezia
1-2
Venezia
1-2
W
A
Avellino
2-1
Avellino
2-1
L
A
Monza
1-4
Monza
1-4
0W 1D 4L
0.2 GF · 1.2 GA
L
H
Monza
0-1
Monza
0-1
L
A
Modena
0-2
Modena
0-2
L
A
Calcio Padova
0-1
Calcio Padova
0-1
D
H
Südtirol
0-0
Südtirol
0-0
L
A
Venezia
1-2
Venezia
1-2
Monza
3W 1D 1L
1 GF · 0.6 GA
W
A
Carrarese
1-0
Carrarese
1-0
D
A
Südtirol
0-0
Südtirol
0-0
W
A
Calcio Padova
2-1
Calcio Padova
2-1
L
A
Virtus Entella
0-1
Virtus Entella
0-1
W
A
Modena
2-1
Modena
2-1
4W 1D 0L
2.6 GF · 1 GA
W
H
Juve Stabia
2-1
Juve Stabia
2-1
W
H
Avellino
2-1
Avellino
2-1
W
H
Pescara
3-0
Pescara
3-0
D
H
Frosinone
2-2
Frosinone
2-2
W
H
Carrarese
4-1
Carrarese
4-1
3W 1D 1L
1 GF · 0.6 GA
W
A
Carrarese
1-0
Carrarese
1-0
D
A
Südtirol
0-0
Südtirol
0-0
W
A
Calcio Padova
2-1
Calcio Padova
2-1
L
A
Virtus Entella
0-1
Virtus Entella
0-1
W
A
Modena
2-1
Modena
2-1
4W 1D 0L
1.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W
A
Carrarese
1-0
Carrarese
1-0
W
H
Juve Stabia
2-1
Juve Stabia
2-1
D
A
Südtirol
0-0
Südtirol
0-0
W
H
Avellino
2-1
Avellino
2-1
W
A
Calcio Padova
2-1
Calcio Padova
2-1
Sidelined Players
Carrarese
0 out
No reported absences
Monza
4 out
Warren Bondo
injury
Alessio Cragno
injury
Danilo D'Ambrosio
injury
Pedro Obiang
suspended
Head-to-Head (Last 2)
Carrarese
2
100%
Draws
0
0%
Monza
0
0%
Avg Goals
3.0
BTTS
50%
League Signals
Predictability
51%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.4
LOW
Draw Rate
32%
BTTS
52%
Over 2.5
44%
Final Words
Carrarese have struggled recently, winning just 0 of their last 5 matches. Monza arrive in strong form with 4 wins from 5 games.
