Bristol City vs Derby County

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.13
46% pred
-1.2%
Draw
3.26
27% pred
-3.8%
Away Win
3.41
27% pred
-2.0%
BTTS Yes 1.85 43%
BTTS No 1.87 46%

Key Insights

Dead Rubber

Both teams safe in mid-table with nothing to play for - reduced intensity expected

Medium impact

Away Specialist

Derby County

Derby County exceptional away form: 5 wins in last 8 away matches (62% win rate)

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

Derby County

Derby County matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Match Normality

70%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Fri, Jan 30 2026 · 20:00
Venue
Robins High Performance Centre
Competition
Championship · 30
Referee
Tom Nield Tom Nield

Coaches

Gerhard Struber

Gerhard Struber

Bristol City Bristol City

In role since Jul 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

John Eustace

John Eustace

Derby County Derby County

In role since Feb 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Bristol City Bristol City
2W 1D 2L
1.8 GF · 2 GA
D H Wrexham Wrexham 2-2
L H Derby County Derby County 0-5
W H Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 2-0
W H Watford Watford 5-1
L H Preston North End Preston North End 0-2
2W 1D 2L
1.8 GF · 2 GA
D H Wrexham Wrexham 2-2
L H Derby County Derby County 0-5
W H Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 2-0
W H Watford Watford 5-1
L H Preston North End Preston North End 0-2
2W 1D 2L
1 GF · 1.2 GA
W A Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-1
L A Swansea City Swansea City 0-1
W A Hull City Hull City 3-2
L A Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-2
D A Oxford United Oxford United 0-0
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 2.2 GA
W A Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-1
L A Swansea City Swansea City 0-1
D H Wrexham Wrexham 2-2
W A Hull City Hull City 3-2
L H Derby County Derby County 0-5
Derby County Derby County
3W 0D 2L
2 GF · 1.4 GA
L A Hull City Hull City 2-4
L A Watford Watford 0-2
W A Bristol City Bristol City 5-0
W A Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-1
W A Preston North End Preston North End 1-0
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
W H Swansea City Swansea City 2-0
L H Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-2
D H West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 1-1
L H Leeds United Leeds United 1-3
L H Wrexham Wrexham 1-2
3W 0D 2L
2 GF · 1.4 GA
L A Hull City Hull City 2-4
L A Watford Watford 0-2
W A Bristol City Bristol City 5-0
W A Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-1
W A Preston North End Preston North End 1-0
2W 0D 3L
2 GF · 1.6 GA
L A Hull City Hull City 2-4
L A Watford Watford 0-2
W H Swansea City Swansea City 2-0
L H Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-2
W A Bristol City Bristol City 5-0

Sidelined Players

Bristol City Bristol City 5 out
Jason Knight
Jason Knight
injury
Luke McNally
Luke McNally
injury
Ross McCrorie
Ross McCrorie
injury
Cameron Pring
Cameron Pring
injury
Max Bird
Max Bird
injury
Derby County Derby County 3 out
Sondre Langås
Sondre Langås
injury
Jacob Widell Zetterström
Jacob Widell Zetterström
injury
Jaydon Banel
Jaydon Banel
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Bristol City
3
30%
Draws
1
10%
Derby County
6
60%
Avg Goals
2.6
BTTS
40%

League Signals

Predictability
51%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.5
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
26%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
46%