Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Value Assessment
Home Win
1.64
67% pred
+5.6%
VALUE
Draw
4.03
20% pred
-4.5%
Away Win
4.85
13% pred
-7.5%
BTTS Yes
1.62
40%
BTTS No
2.23
51%
VALUE
Key Insights
Title Race
Borussia Dortmund in position 2, 3 points behind leader - competing for title
High impactTop Scorer
Borussia Dortmund has Serhou Guirassy ranked #4 in league scoring (11 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactTop Scorer
FSV Mainz 05 has Nadiem Amiri ranked #8 in league scoring (9 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactMarket Disagreement
Model sees 39.5% BTTS vs 61.7% market consensus - lower probability, 22.2% gap
Medium impactMatch Normality
75%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Fri, Feb 13 2026
·
19:30
Venue
Signal Iduna Park
(Dortmund)
Competition
Bundesliga
·
22
Referee
Tobias Welz
Coaches
Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Recent Form
Borussia Dortmund
4W 0D 1L
2.4 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Atalanta
2-0
Atalanta
2-0
W
H
FSV Mainz 05
4-0
FSV Mainz 05
4-0
W
H
Heidenheim
3-2
Heidenheim
3-2
L
H
Inter
0-2
Inter
0-2
W
H
St. Pauli
3-2
St. Pauli
3-2
4W 0D 1L
2.4 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Atalanta
2-0
Atalanta
2-0
W
H
FSV Mainz 05
4-0
FSV Mainz 05
4-0
W
H
Heidenheim
3-2
Heidenheim
3-2
L
H
Inter
0-2
Inter
0-2
W
H
St. Pauli
3-2
St. Pauli
3-2
2W 2D 1L
2 GF · 1.6 GA
D
A
RB Leipzig
2-2
RB Leipzig
2-2
W
A
VfL Wolfsburg
2-1
VfL Wolfsburg
2-1
W
A
FC Union Berlin
3-0
FC Union Berlin
3-0
L
A
Tottenham Hotspur
0-2
Tottenham Hotspur
0-2
D
A
Eintracht Frankfurt
3-3
Eintracht Frankfurt
3-3
4W 1D 0L
2.6 GF · 1 GA
D
A
RB Leipzig
2-2
RB Leipzig
2-2
W
H
Atalanta
2-0
Atalanta
2-0
W
H
FSV Mainz 05
4-0
FSV Mainz 05
4-0
W
A
VfL Wolfsburg
2-1
VfL Wolfsburg
2-1
W
H
Heidenheim
3-2
Heidenheim
3-2
FSV Mainz 05
1W 2D 2L
1.4 GF · 2.2 GA
L
A
Borussia Dortmund
0-4
Borussia Dortmund
0-4
W
A
RB Leipzig
2-1
RB Leipzig
2-1
L
A
FC Köln
1-2
FC Köln
1-2
D
A
FC Union Berlin
2-2
FC Union Berlin
2-2
D
A
FC Bayern München
2-2
FC Bayern München
2-2
3W 2D 0L
1.6 GF · 0.6 GA
D
H
Hamburger SV
1-1
Hamburger SV
1-1
W
H
FC Augsburg
2-0
FC Augsburg
2-0
W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
3-1
VfL Wolfsburg
3-1
W
H
Heidenheim
2-1
Heidenheim
2-1
D
H
St. Pauli
0-0
St. Pauli
0-0
1W 2D 2L
1.4 GF · 2.2 GA
L
A
Borussia Dortmund
0-4
Borussia Dortmund
0-4
W
A
RB Leipzig
2-1
RB Leipzig
2-1
L
A
FC Köln
1-2
FC Köln
1-2
D
A
FC Union Berlin
2-2
FC Union Berlin
2-2
D
A
FC Bayern München
2-2
FC Bayern München
2-2
3W 1D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.4 GA
D
H
Hamburger SV
1-1
Hamburger SV
1-1
L
A
Borussia Dortmund
0-4
Borussia Dortmund
0-4
W
H
FC Augsburg
2-0
FC Augsburg
2-0
W
A
RB Leipzig
2-1
RB Leipzig
2-1
W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
3-1
VfL Wolfsburg
3-1
Sidelined Players
Borussia Dortmund
5 out
Emre Can
injury
Filippo Mane
injury
Nico Schlotterbeck
injury
Niklas Süle
injury
Emre Can
injury
FSV Mainz 05
7 out
William Bøving
injury
Sota Kawasaki
injury
Benedict Hollerbach
injury
Dominic van Hoof
injury
Robin Zentner
injury
+2 more
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Borussia Dortmund
6
60%
Draws
2
20%
FSV Mainz 05
2
20%
Avg Goals
3.1
BTTS
60%
League Signals
Predictability
58%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.1
HIGH
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
60%
Final Words
Borussia Dortmund host FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga on 13 February, kickoff at 19:30 UTC. Dortmund sit second, six points behind the leader, and remain in contention for Champions League qualification. The fixture comes amid a congested schedule, with Dortmund playing three games in 14 days, creating rotation risk.
Borussia Dortmund
Dortmund's home form in the last five matches is three wins and two losses, with eight goals for and seven against. There are no draws in that sequence. There is no head-to-head record with Mainz in this dataset.
FSV Mainz 05
Mainz's away form in the last five matches is four wins and one loss, with ten goals for and five against. On the road, Mainz average 2.4 points per match. Mainz's away goal tally (10) exceeds Dortmund's home tally (8) in this dataset.
