Bologna vs Parma

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.62
50% pred
-11.9%
Draw
3.83
28% pred
+1.5%
Away Win
5.47
23% pred
+4.2%
MARGINAL
BTTS Yes 1.91 37%
BTTS No 1.84 54%

Match Info

Kickoff
Sun, Feb 8 2026 · 11:30
Venue
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna)
Competition
Serie A · 24
Referee
Giuseppe Collu Giuseppe Collu

Coaches

Vincenzo Italiano
Vincenzo Italiano Bologna Bologna

In role since Jun 2024

Attack Tempo

1.4

Defensive Control

32.5%

Match Shape

35.1%

Under Vincenzo Italiano since 2024-06-05, Bologna display a balanced attacking approach with 1.4 goals scored per match and 1.1 conceded, yielding a moderate net positive. The BTTS rate of 55.3% and clean sheets at 32.5% suggest frequent involvement of both sides in scoring, yet a defensive baseline remains. Draws account for 35.1% of results, indicating variance around parity. With only three seasons, these signals carry limited certainty and should be treated as tentative.

Carlos Antón Cuesta
Carlos Antón Cuesta Parma Parma

In role since Jul 2025

Attack Tempo

1.2

Defensive Control

15.8%

Match Shape

28.9%

Parma, under manager Carlos Antón Cuesta since 2025-07-01, shows an open profile across three seasons: 1.2 goals for per match vs. 1.7 against; BTTS 65.8%; clean sheets 15.8%; draws 28.9%. The pattern suggests frequent goals on both sides and limited defensive solidity, with high variance in results. With only three seasons, these signals carry uncertainty and should be treated cautiously.

Recent Form

Bologna Bologna
0W 2D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.8 GA
D H Lazio Lazio 1-1
L H Parma Parma 0-1
L H AC Milan AC Milan 0-3
D H Celtic Celtic 2-2
L H Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-2
0W 2D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.8 GA
D H Lazio Lazio 1-1
L H Parma Parma 0-1
L H AC Milan AC Milan 0-3
D H Celtic Celtic 2-2
L H Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-2
4W 0D 1L
2.2 GF · 1.2 GA
W A Brann Brann 1-0
W A Torino Torino 2-1
W A Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 3-0
L A Genoa Genoa 2-3
W A Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 3-2
2W 1D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.2 GA
W A Brann Brann 1-0
W A Torino Torino 2-1
D H Lazio Lazio 1-1
L H Parma Parma 0-1
L H AC Milan AC Milan 0-3
Parma Parma
3W 1D 1L
0.8 GF · 1 GA
W A AC Milan AC Milan 1-0
W A Bologna Bologna 1-0
L A Atalanta Atalanta 0-4
D A Napoli Napoli 0-0
W A Lecce Lecce 2-1
2W 1D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.4 GA
W H Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-1
L H Juventus Juventus 1-4
D H Genoa Genoa 0-0
L H Inter Inter 0-2
W H Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-0
3W 1D 1L
0.8 GF · 1 GA
W A AC Milan AC Milan 1-0
W A Bologna Bologna 1-0
L A Atalanta Atalanta 0-4
D A Napoli Napoli 0-0
W A Lecce Lecce 2-1
3W 0D 2L
1 GF · 1.8 GA
W A AC Milan AC Milan 1-0
W H Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-1
W A Bologna Bologna 1-0
L H Juventus Juventus 1-4
L A Atalanta Atalanta 0-4

Sidelined Players

Bologna Bologna 1 out
Charalampos Lykogiannis
Charalampos Lykogiannis
injury
Parma Parma 4 out
Lautaro Valenti
Lautaro Valenti
injury
Pontus Almqvist
Pontus Almqvist
injury
Vicente Guaita
Vicente Guaita
injury
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Bologna
5
50%
Draws
3
30%
Parma
2
20%
Avg Goals
3.1
BTTS
60%

League Signals

Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
51%

Final Words

Following an embarrassing defeat to AC Milan in a game rescheduled for Tuesday, Bologna take on newly promoted Parma, as they look to put an end to a three-game losing run. Bologna vs. Parma kicks off at 17:00 [GMT] on Sunday, February 8, at the Stadio Renato Dall’Ara.
Bologna Bologna

<p>The hosts sit 10th in the standings on 30 points. Parma trail in 14th on 23 points.</p> <p>Bologna arrive under pressure after a 3-0 defeat to AC Milan, a fixture moved a day later to Tuesday.</p> <p>That defeat left the home side with three losses in a row [DWLLL].</p> <p>They have managed just one win in their previous eleven Serie A outings.</p> <p>Their recent home struggles are particularly concerning, having suffered three consecutive defeats in which they were behind at both half-time and full-time.</p> <p>Historically, this fixture has favoured Bologna. They have avoided defeat in 22 of their last 26 league meetings with Parma and have won half of the last six head-to-head clashes, suggesting they often find a way to compete in this matchup even during inconsistent spells.</p> <p>They have also won three of the last six head-to-head clashes, indicating they have generally remained competitive even when results have been shared.</p> <p>This psychological edge could prove important as they attempt to halt their slide.</p> <p>A 4-2-3-1 formation with Santiago Castro in attack is expected against Parma.</p>

Parma Parma

<p>Parma, in 16th place, were left with back-to-back defeats after a 4-1 loss to Juventus in their last outing. The result frames a period of mixed form that keeps them near the lower end of the table.</p> <p>Their away record remains modest. Across recent Serie A away matches, the team has faced challenges securing wins. However, they have shown resilience by avoiding defeat in several of their last away fixtures.</p> <p>That defensive stability could frustrate a Bologna side currently lacking sharpness in attack. One of Parma’s main concerns is their limited goal threat away from home. Away from home, Parma have not been prolific, which hints at a more cautious approach based on structure rather than attacking flair.</p> <p>If Bologna can rediscover their composure and start strongly, they have the quality and historical backing to secure a much-needed victory. However, should Parma maintain their defensive discipline, they could leave Renato Dall’Ara with a win to end a run of winless results [WDDLL]. The early tempo may set the tone for the match.</p> <p>A 4—2—3—1 formation with Mateo Pellegrino in attack is expected against Bologna. The setup signals a focus on balance and structured play rather than direct attacking power. Pellegrino's role will be central to that approach.</p>