Bologna vs AC Milan

Value Assessment

Home Win
3.04
31% pred
-1.5%
Draw
3.10
31% pred
-1.6%
Away Win
2.43
38% pred
-3.2%
BTTS Yes 1.81 38%
BTTS No 1.96 52%

Key Insights

Streak Watch

AC Milan

AC Milan unbeaten in 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws) - solid defensive form

Medium impact

Away Specialist

AC Milan

AC Milan exceptional away form: 5 wins in last 8 away matches (62% win rate)

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Bologna

Bologna has Riccardo Orsolini ranked #9 in league scoring (7 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Top Scorer

AC Milan

AC Milan has Christian Pulisic ranked #4 in league scoring (8 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

90%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff
Tue, Feb 3 2026 · 19:45
Venue
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna)
Competition
Serie A · 23
Referee
Gianluca Manganiello Gianluca Manganiello

Coaches

Vincenzo Italiano
Vincenzo Italiano Bologna Bologna

In role since Jun 2024

Attack Tempo

1.4

Defensive Control

32.5%

Match Shape

35.1%

Under Vincenzo Italiano since 2024-06-05, Bologna display a balanced attacking approach with 1.4 goals scored per match and 1.1 conceded, yielding a moderate net positive. The BTTS rate of 55.3% and clean sheets at 32.5% suggest frequent involvement of both sides in scoring, yet a defensive baseline remains. Draws account for 35.1% of results, indicating variance around parity. With only three seasons, these signals carry limited certainty and should be treated as tentative.

Massimiliano Allegri
Massimiliano Allegri AC Milan AC Milan

In role since Jul 2025

Attack Tempo

1.8

Defensive Control

33.3%

Match Shape

24.6%

AC Milan, in Serie A, under Massimiliano Allegri since 2025-07-01, shows a modest offensive yield (1.8 goals for per match) with a stronger defensive line (1.2 against). The BTTS signal is high (59.7% of games), while clean sheets occur in 33.3% and draws in 24.6% of matches. Together, these metrics suggest a tendency toward open contests with reasonable defensive concentration. Caution warranted: three seasons is a limited sample, so variance may blur longer-term patterns.

Recent Form

Bologna Bologna
0W 2D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.8 GA
D H Lazio Lazio 1-1
L H Parma Parma 0-1
L H AC Milan AC Milan 0-3
D H Celtic Celtic 2-2
L H Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-2
0W 2D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.8 GA
D H Lazio Lazio 1-1
L H Parma Parma 0-1
L H AC Milan AC Milan 0-3
D H Celtic Celtic 2-2
L H Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-2
4W 0D 1L
2.2 GF · 1.2 GA
W A Brann Brann 1-0
W A Torino Torino 2-1
W A Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 3-0
L A Genoa Genoa 2-3
W A Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 3-2
2W 1D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.2 GA
W A Brann Brann 1-0
W A Torino Torino 2-1
D H Lazio Lazio 1-1
L H Parma Parma 0-1
L H AC Milan AC Milan 0-3
AC Milan AC Milan
3W 2D 0L
2 GF · 0.8 GA
W A Pisa Pisa 2-1
W A Bologna Bologna 3-0
D A Roma Roma 1-1
W A Como Como 3-1
D A Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-1
2W 2D 1L
1.2 GF · 0.6 GA
L H Parma Parma 0-1
D H Como Como 1-1
W H Lecce Lecce 1-0
D H Genoa Genoa 1-1
W H Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 3-0
3W 2D 0L
2 GF · 0.8 GA
W A Pisa Pisa 2-1
W A Bologna Bologna 3-0
D A Roma Roma 1-1
W A Como Como 3-1
D A Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-1
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.8 GA
L H Parma Parma 0-1
D H Como Como 1-1
W A Pisa Pisa 2-1
W A Bologna Bologna 3-0
D A Roma Roma 1-1

Sidelined Players

Bologna Bologna 1 out
Charalampos Lykogiannis
Charalampos Lykogiannis
injury
AC Milan AC Milan 2 out
Santiago Gimenez
Santiago Gimenez
injury
Malick Thiaw
Malick Thiaw
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Bologna
2
20%
Draws
3
30%
AC Milan
5
50%
Avg Goals
2.2
BTTS
40%

League Signals

Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
51%

Final Words

Following a defeat to Genoa, Bologna take on AC Milan, with hopes of climbing one spot up the table while putting an end to back-to-back defeats. Bologna vs. Milan kicks off at 19:45 [GMT] on Tuesday, February 3, at the Stadio Renato Dall’Ara.
Bologna Bologna

<p>Following a 3-2 loss to Genoa, Bologna went down to ten men in the 56th minute and now return against Milan. They sit 9th in the table with 30 points.</p> <p>Only two points separate them from 8th-placed Lazio, a target they hope to leapfrog. The gap keeps the home side under pressure.</p> <p>Their recent performances suggest a worrying downturn in momentum. The Rossoblù have suffered defeats in 67% of their last six Serie A matches, and across their last 10 league games, they have managed just one win.</p> <p>This poor run has exposed defensive vulnerabilities. Bologna have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 10 Serie A fixtures.</p> <p>They have remained competitive in spells. However, their inability to shut games down has cost them valuable points.</p> <p>Interestingly, Bologna’s recent matches have not lacked entertainment. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in their last three Serie A games, highlighting an open style that can trouble opponents but also leaves them exposed at the back.</p> <p>Playing at home could offer some encouragement, as Bologna often show greater attacking intent at the Dall’Ara. However, tightening up defensively will be essential if they are to challenge a Milan side in ruthless form.</p> <p>A 4-2-3-1 formation with Ciro Immobile in attack is expected against Milan.</p>

AC Milan AC Milan

<p>AC Milan [DDWWD] sit second in the standings on 47 points, eight points adrift of table-topping Inter. Their recent six matches show a 50% win rate, but their broader league form is far more impressive.</p> <p>The Rossoneri are currently on a remarkable run of 21 consecutive Serie A matches without defeat, underscoring their consistency this season.</p> <p>A key trend to note is Milan’s dominance in this fixture. They have not been defeated by Bologna in 30 of their last 32 league meetings.</p> <p>Offensively, Milan continue to deliver. They have scored at least one goal in each of their last 16 Serie A matches.</p> <p>Overall, this fixture presents a stern test for Bologna’s European ambitions. It also offers Milan a chance to reinforce their title credentials.</p> <p>The hosts will be eager to respond to their poor run. Milan’s consistency, historical dominance, and attacking reliability suggest they carry momentum heading into this Serie A clash.</p> <p>A 3-5-2 formation with Nkunku and Rafael Leão in attack is expected against Bologna.</p>