Basel vs Viktoria Plzeň

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.03
45% pred
-4.1%
Draw
3.78
26% pred
-0.8%
Away Win
3.30
29% pred
-1.1%
BTTS Yes 1.52 42%
BTTS No 2.45 47% VALUE

Key Insights

Rotation Risk

Basel

Basel has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Streak Watch

Viktoria Plzeň

Viktoria Plzeň unbeaten in 5 games (1 wins, 4 draws) - solid defensive form

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

Basel

Basel matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Defensive Fortress

Viktoria Plzeň

Viktoria Plzeň has excellent defensive record: 5 clean sheets in last 8 matches (62%) - favors Under/BTTS No

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 42.2% BTTS vs 65.8% market consensus - lower probability, 23.6% gap

Medium impact

Upset Alert

Basel

Basel (position 30) is favorite despite being 16 places below Viktoria Plzeň (position 14) - potential upset or market overreaction

High impact

Match Normality

70%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Thu, Jan 29 2026 · 20:00
Venue
St. Jakob-Park (Basel)
Competition
Europa League · League Stage , 8
Referee
Giorgi Kruashvili Giorgi Kruashvili

Coaches

Stephan Lichtsteiner

Stephan Lichtsteiner

Basel Basel

In role since Jan 2026

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Martin Hysky

Martin Hysky

Viktoria Plzeň Viktoria Plzeň

In role since Oct 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Basel Basel
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.2 GA
D H Lugano Lugano 1-1
W H Zürich Zürich 2-1
L H Thun Thun 1-2
L H Viktoria Plzeň Viktoria Plzeň 0-1
D H Sion Sion 1-1
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.2 GA
D H Lugano Lugano 1-1
W H Zürich Zürich 2-1
L H Thun Thun 1-2
L H Viktoria Plzeň Viktoria Plzeň 0-1
D H Sion Sion 1-1
2W 0D 3L
1.8 GF · 2.6 GA
L A Luzern Luzern 2-4
L A Sion Sion 0-2
W A Zürich Zürich 4-3
L A Salzburg Salzburg 1-3
W A Luzern Luzern 2-1
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 2 GA
L A Luzern Luzern 2-4
D H Lugano Lugano 1-1
L A Sion Sion 0-2
W H Zürich Zürich 2-1
L H Thun Thun 1-2
Viktoria Plzeň Viktoria Plzeň
2W 3D 0L
1.2 GF · 0.8 GA
D A Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-2
W A Basel Basel 1-0
D A Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-0
W A Roma Roma 2-1
D A Ferencvárosi Ferencvárosi 1-1
2W 3D 0L
1.2 GF · 0.4 GA
D H Porto Porto 1-1
D H SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 0-0
D H Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 0-0
W H Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-0
W H Rangers Rangers 2-1
2W 3D 0L
1.2 GF · 0.8 GA
D A Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-2
W A Basel Basel 1-0
D A Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-0
W A Roma Roma 2-1
D A Ferencvárosi Ferencvárosi 1-1
1W 4D 0L
0.8 GF · 0.6 GA
D A Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-2
W A Basel Basel 1-0
D H Porto Porto 1-1
D A Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-0
D H SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 0-0

Sidelined Players

Basel Basel 4 out
Marwin Hitz
Marwin Hitz
injury
Bénie Traoré
Bénie Traoré
injury
Finn van Breemen
Finn van Breemen
injury
Flavius Daniliuc
Flavius Daniliuc
injury
Viktoria Plzeň Viktoria Plzeň 1 out
Vaclav Mika
Vaclav Mika
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 1)

Basel
0
0%
Draws
0
0%
Viktoria Plzeň
1
100%
Avg Goals
1.0
BTTS
0%

League Signals

Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+12%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
21%
BTTS
53%
Over 2.5
56%

Final Words

Basel have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Viktoria Plzeň have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.