Atalanta vs Napoli

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.45
52% pred
+10.8%
VALUE
Draw
2.98
26% pred
-7.9%
Away Win
3.14
23% pred
-9.2%
BTTS Yes 1.85 55%
BTTS No 1.91 45%

Key Insights

European Race

Atalanta

Atalanta in position 7 - competing for European qualification

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

Atalanta

Atalanta has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

Napoli

Napoli matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 7 of last 8 matches (88%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Leaky Defense

Napoli

Napoli has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Atalanta

Atalanta has Nikola Krstović ranked #8 in league scoring (7 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Napoli

Napoli has Rasmus Højlund ranked #6 in league scoring (8 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

75%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sun, Feb 22 2026 · 14:00
Venue
Gewiss Stadium (Bergamo)
Competition
Serie A · 26
Referee
Daniele Chiffi Daniele Chiffi

Coaches

Raffaele Palladino
Raffaele Palladino Atalanta Atalanta

In role since Nov 2025

Attack Tempo

1.9

Defensive Control

34.2%

Match Shape

18.4%

Atalanta, under manager Raffaele Palladino since 2025-11-11, show 1.9 goals for and 1.1 against per match across three seasons. The BTTS rate sits at 53.5% with a 34.2% clean sheet rate, signaling an attack-oriented profile supported by periodic defensive resilience. Draws account for 18.4% of results, implying frequent non-decisions rather than clear edges. Given the sample size, there is some uncertainty about longer-term stability of these tendencies.

Antonio Conte
Antonio Conte Napoli Napoli

In role since Jul 2024

Attack Tempo

1.7

Defensive Control

38.6%

Match Shape

26.3%

Under Antonio Conte since 2024-07-01, Napoli’s metrics over three seasons show a compact defensive baseline (0.9 goals conceded per game) paired with a measured attack (1.7 per game). Clean sheets stand at 38.6% and BTTS is 47.4%, suggesting frequent but selective involvement by opponents in scoring games. Draws at 26.3% imply stability with limited variance. Given the modest sample, these tendencies should be treated with cautious interpretation.

Recent Form

Atalanta Atalanta
4W 0D 1L
2.6 GF · 1 GA
W H Napoli Napoli 2-1
W H Cremonese Cremonese 2-1
W H Juventus Juventus 3-0
W H Parma Parma 4-0
L H Athletic Club Athletic Club 2-3
4W 0D 1L
2.6 GF · 1 GA
W H Napoli Napoli 2-1
W H Cremonese Cremonese 2-1
W H Juventus Juventus 3-0
W H Parma Parma 4-0
L H Athletic Club Athletic Club 2-3
1W 2D 2L
0.6 GF · 0.8 GA
L A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0-2
W A Lazio Lazio 2-0
D A Como Como 0-0
L A Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-1
D A Pisa Pisa 1-1
4W 0D 1L
1.8 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Napoli Napoli 2-1
L A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0-2
W A Lazio Lazio 2-0
W H Cremonese Cremonese 2-1
W H Juventus Juventus 3-0
Napoli Napoli
1W 2D 2L
1.4 GF · 2 GA
L A Atalanta Atalanta 1-2
W A Genoa Genoa 3-2
L A Juventus Juventus 0-3
D A FC København FC København 1-1
D A Inter Inter 2-2
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.4 GA
D H Roma Roma 2-2
D H Como Como 1-1
W H Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-1
L H Chelsea Chelsea 2-3
W H Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-0
1W 2D 2L
1.4 GF · 2 GA
L A Atalanta Atalanta 1-2
W A Genoa Genoa 3-2
L A Juventus Juventus 0-3
D A FC København FC København 1-1
D A Inter Inter 2-2
2W 2D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.6 GA
L A Atalanta Atalanta 1-2
D H Roma Roma 2-2
D H Como Como 1-1
W A Genoa Genoa 3-2
W H Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-1

Sidelined Players

Atalanta Atalanta 2 out
Charles De Ketelaere
Charles De Ketelaere
injury
Giacomo Raspadori
Giacomo Raspadori
injury
Napoli Napoli 4 out
Amir Rrahmani 
Amir Rrahmani 
injury
Frank Anguissa 
Frank Anguissa 
injury
Kevin De Bruyne 
Kevin De Bruyne 
injury
Giovanni Di Lorenzo 
Giovanni Di Lorenzo 
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Atalanta
4
40%
Draws
0
0%
Napoli
6
60%
Avg Goals
3.5
BTTS
70%

League Signals

Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
51%

Final Words

Atalanta enter this match in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches.