Arsenal vs Kairat

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.04
76% pred
-20.3%
Draw
17.24
18% pred
+12.2%
VALUE
Away Win
39.26
6% pred
+3.6%
MARGINAL
BTTS Yes 2.86 26%
BTTS No 1.39 68%

Key Insights

Title Race

Arsenal

Arsenal leading the table - high motivation to maintain position

High impact

Relegation Zone

Kairat

Kairat in position 36 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Rotation Risk

Arsenal

Arsenal has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Must Win

Kairat

Kairat in position 36 with poor recent form (7% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

Kairat

Kairat on 5-game losing streak - crisis form

High impact

Away Struggles

Kairat

Kairat winless in last 8 away matches (2 draws, 6 losses) - poor away record

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

Arsenal

Arsenal matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Arsenal

Arsenal has Gabriel Martinelli ranked #7 in league scoring (5 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 75.9% home win vs 96.2% market consensus - lower probability, 20.3% gap

Medium impact

Match Normality

80%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Wed, Jan 28 2026 · 20:00
Venue
Emirates Stadium (London)
Competition
Champions League · League Stage , 8
Referee
Urs Schnyder Urs Schnyder

Coaches

Mikel Arteta Amatriain

Mikel Arteta Amatriain

Arsenal Arsenal

In role since Dec 2019

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Rafael Urazbakhtin

Rafael Urazbakhtin

Kairat Kairat

In role since Sep 2024

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Arsenal Arsenal
4W 0D 1L
2.6 GF · 1 GA
W H Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 4-0
W H Sunderland Sunderland 3-0
W H Chelsea Chelsea 1-0
W H Kairat Kairat 3-2
L H Manchester United Manchester United 2-3
4W 0D 1L
2.6 GF · 1 GA
W H Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 4-0
W H Sunderland Sunderland 3-0
W H Chelsea Chelsea 1-0
W H Kairat Kairat 3-2
L H Manchester United Manchester United 2-3
3W 2D 0L
2.8 GF · 1 GA
W A Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur 4-1
D A Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-2
D A Brentford Brentford 1-1
W A Leeds United Leeds United 4-0
W A Inter Inter 3-1
3W 2D 0L
2.8 GF · 0.8 GA
W A Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur 4-1
D A Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-2
W H Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 4-0
D A Brentford Brentford 1-1
W H Sunderland Sunderland 3-0
Kairat Kairat
0W 1D 4L
1.2 GF · 2.4 GA
L A Arsenal Arsenal 2-3
L A FC København FC København 2-3
L A Inter Inter 1-2
L A Sporting CP Sporting CP 1-4
D A Celtic Celtic 0-0
0W 2D 3L
0.2 GF · 2 GA
L H Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-4
L H Olympiacos F.C. Olympiacos F.C. 0-1
D H Pafos FC Pafos FC 0-0
L H Real Madrid Real Madrid 0-5
D H Celtic Celtic 0-0
0W 1D 4L
1.2 GF · 2.4 GA
L A Arsenal Arsenal 2-3
L A FC København FC København 2-3
L A Inter Inter 1-2
L A Sporting CP Sporting CP 1-4
D A Celtic Celtic 0-0
0W 0D 5L
1.2 GF · 2.6 GA
L A Arsenal Arsenal 2-3
L H Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-4
L H Olympiacos F.C. Olympiacos F.C. 0-1
L A FC København FC København 2-3
L A Inter Inter 1-2

Sidelined Players

Arsenal Arsenal 3 out
Mikel Merino
Mikel Merino
injury
Kai Havertz
Kai Havertz
injury
Mikel Merino
Mikel Merino
injury
Kairat Kairat 2 out
João Paulo
João Paulo
injury
Élder Santana
Élder Santana
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 1)

Arsenal
1
100%
Draws
0
0%
Kairat
0
0%
Avg Goals
5.0
BTTS
100%

League Signals

Predictability
56%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
20%
BTTS
51%
Over 2.5
57%

Final Words

Kairat have been inconsistent, managing just 0 win in their last 5.