Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Value Assessment
Home Win
2.26
41% pred
-3.6%
Draw
3.22
28% pred
-2.8%
Away Win
3.15
31% pred
-0.6%
BTTS Yes
1.71
52%
BTTS No
2.06
48%
Key Insights
Away Struggles
Nacional winless in last 8 away matches (3 draws, 5 losses) - poor away record
Medium impactHigh Scoring
Nacional involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5
Medium impactTop Scorer
Nacional has Jesús Ramírez ranked #5 in league scoring (13 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactMatch Normality
90%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Feb 21 2026
·
15:30
Venue
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
(Arouca)
Competition
Liga Portugal
·
23
Referee
Luís Carlos Mateus Filipe
Coaches
Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Recent Form
Arouca
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Nacional
3-0
Nacional
3-0
W
H
Vitória Guimarães
3-2
Vitória Guimarães
3-2
L
H
Sporting CP
1-2
Sporting CP
1-2
D
H
Gil Vicente
2-2
Gil Vicente
2-2
W
H
Alverca
1-0
Alverca
1-0
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Nacional
3-0
Nacional
3-0
W
H
Vitória Guimarães
3-2
Vitória Guimarães
3-2
L
H
Sporting CP
1-2
Sporting CP
1-2
D
H
Gil Vicente
2-2
Gil Vicente
2-2
W
H
Alverca
1-0
Alverca
1-0
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Casa Pia
2-3
Casa Pia
2-3
W
A
Rio Ave
3-0
Rio Ave
3-0
W
A
AVS
1-0
AVS
1-0
L
A
Tondela
1-3
Tondela
1-3
D
A
Santa Clara
0-0
Santa Clara
0-0
3W 0D 2L
2.4 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
Nacional
3-0
Nacional
3-0
L
A
Casa Pia
2-3
Casa Pia
2-3
W
H
Vitória Guimarães
3-2
Vitória Guimarães
3-2
W
A
Rio Ave
3-0
Rio Ave
3-0
L
H
Sporting CP
1-2
Sporting CP
1-2
Nacional
0W 1D 4L
1 GF · 2.2 GA
L
A
Arouca
0-3
Arouca
0-3
L
A
Sporting CP
1-2
Sporting CP
1-2
L
A
Gil Vicente
1-2
Gil Vicente
1-2
L
A
Vitória Guimarães
1-2
Vitória Guimarães
1-2
D
A
AVS
2-2
AVS
2-2
2W 2D 1L
2 GF · 1 GA
L
H
Porto
0-1
Porto
0-1
D
H
Casa Pia
0-0
Casa Pia
0-0
W
H
Rio Ave
4-0
Rio Ave
4-0
D
H
Santa Clara
3-3
Santa Clara
3-3
W
H
Tondela
3-1
Tondela
3-1
0W 1D 4L
1 GF · 2.2 GA
L
A
Arouca
0-3
Arouca
0-3
L
A
Sporting CP
1-2
Sporting CP
1-2
L
A
Gil Vicente
1-2
Gil Vicente
1-2
L
A
Vitória Guimarães
1-2
Vitória Guimarães
1-2
D
A
AVS
2-2
AVS
2-2
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Arouca
0-3
Arouca
0-3
L
H
Porto
0-1
Porto
0-1
D
H
Casa Pia
0-0
Casa Pia
0-0
L
A
Sporting CP
1-2
Sporting CP
1-2
W
H
Rio Ave
4-0
Rio Ave
4-0
Sidelined Players
Arouca
3 out
Vitinho
injury
Matías Rocha
suspended
Nino Galović
injury
Nacional
3 out
Filipe Soares
injury
Ivanildo Fernandes
injury
Ulisses
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Arouca
1
10%
Draws
3
30%
Nacional
6
60%
Avg Goals
2.9
BTTS
50%
League Signals
Predictability
54%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
49%
Final Words
Nacional have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5. The head-to-head favors Nacional in recent meetings.
