Alverca vs Santa Clara

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.80
40% pred
+4.5%
MARGINAL
Draw
3.02
31% pred
-2.6%
Away Win
2.94
29% pred
-4.7%
BTTS Yes 2.08 48%
BTTS No 1.69 52%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

Santa Clara

Santa Clara in position 16 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Must Win

Santa Clara

Santa Clara in position 16 with poor recent form (13% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

Alverca

Alverca without a win in 5 games (3 draws, 2 losses) - struggling for results

High impact

Streak Watch

Santa Clara

Santa Clara without a win in 5 games (1 draws, 4 losses) - struggling for results

High impact

Away Struggles

Santa Clara

Santa Clara winless in last 8 away matches (3 draws, 5 losses) - poor away record

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

Alverca

Alverca matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Leaky Defense

Santa Clara

Santa Clara has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals

Medium impact

Bookmaker Split

Bookmakers disagree on home win: 1.73 (Betfair) to 3.46 (1xbet) - 28.9% probability spread indicates market uncertainty

High impact

Bookmaker Split

Bookmakers disagree on away win: 2.37 (Ladbrokes) to 5.14 (CloudBet) - 22.7% probability spread indicates market uncertainty

High impact

Match Normality

70%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Feb 21 2026 · 15:30
Venue
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca (Alverca do Ribatejo)
Competition
Liga Portugal · 23
Referee
Hélder Carvalho Hélder Carvalho

Coaches

Custódio André Gune

Custódio André Gune

Alverca Alverca

In role since Jul 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Armando Gonçalves Teixeira

Armando Gonçalves Teixeira

Santa Clara Santa Clara

In role since Feb 2026

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Alverca Alverca
2W 2D 1L
1 GF · 1.2 GA
D H Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-1
D H Estrela Amadora Estrela Amadora 1-1
W H Moreirense Moreirense 2-1
W H Famalicão Famalicão 1-0
L H Porto Porto 0-3
2W 2D 1L
1 GF · 1.2 GA
D H Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-1
D H Estrela Amadora Estrela Amadora 1-1
W H Moreirense Moreirense 2-1
W H Famalicão Famalicão 1-0
L H Porto Porto 0-3
0W 1D 4L
0.6 GF · 2.6 GA
D A Tondela Tondela 1-1
L A Benfica Benfica 1-2
L A Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 0-5
L A Estoril Estoril 1-4
L A Arouca Arouca 0-1
0W 3D 2L
0.8 GF · 2 GA
D H Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-1
D A Tondela Tondela 1-1
L A Benfica Benfica 1-2
D H Estrela Amadora Estrela Amadora 1-1
L A Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 0-5
Santa Clara Santa Clara
0W 2D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.4 GA
D A Alverca Alverca 1-1
L A Estrela Amadora Estrela Amadora 0-1
L A Moreirense Moreirense 0-1
D A Nacional Nacional 3-3
L A Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 0-1
0W 1D 4L
0.6 GF · 1.6 GA
L H Benfica Benfica 1-2
L H Estoril Estoril 2-4
L H Famalicão Famalicão 0-1
L H Porto Porto 0-1
D H Arouca Arouca 0-0
0W 2D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.4 GA
D A Alverca Alverca 1-1
L A Estrela Amadora Estrela Amadora 0-1
L A Moreirense Moreirense 0-1
D A Nacional Nacional 3-3
L A Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 0-1
0W 1D 4L
0.8 GF · 1.8 GA
D A Alverca Alverca 1-1
L H Benfica Benfica 1-2
L A Estrela Amadora Estrela Amadora 0-1
L H Estoril Estoril 2-4
L A Moreirense Moreirense 0-1

Sidelined Players

Alverca Alverca 0 out

No reported absences

Santa Clara Santa Clara 2 out
MT
MT
injury
MT
MT
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 2)

Alverca
0
0%
Draws
1
50%
Santa Clara
1
50%
Avg Goals
2.5
BTTS
100%

League Signals

Predictability
57%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
49%

Final Words

Alverca have struggled recently, winning just 0 of their last 5 matches. Santa Clara have been inconsistent, managing just 0 win in their last 5.