Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Value Assessment
Home Win
1.80
47% pred
-8.2%
Draw
4.04
24% pred
-0.3%
Away Win
3.79
28% pred
+1.9%
BTTS Yes
1.44
63%
BTTS No
2.62
37%
Key Insights
High Scoring
NEC Nijmegen involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5
Medium impactBTTS Tendency
Ajax matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 7 of last 8 matches (88%) - favors BTTS Yes
Medium impactBTTS Tendency
NEC Nijmegen matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 8 of last 8 matches (100%) - favors BTTS Yes
Medium impactLeaky Defense
NEC Nijmegen has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals
Medium impactTop Scorer
Ajax has Mika Godts ranked #2 in league scoring (13 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactMatch Normality
90%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Feb 21 2026
·
20:00
Venue
Johan Cruijff Arena
(Amsterdam)
Competition
Eredivisie
·
24
Referee
Jeroen Manschot
Coaches
Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Recent Form
Ajax
2W 2D 1L
2 GF · 1.2 GA
D
H
NEC Nijmegen
1-1
NEC Nijmegen
1-1
W
H
Fortuna Sittard
4-1
Fortuna Sittard
4-1
L
H
Olympiacos F.C.
1-2
Olympiacos F.C.
1-2
W
H
FC Volendam
2-0
FC Volendam
2-0
D
H
Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
2W 2D 1L
2 GF · 1.2 GA
D
H
NEC Nijmegen
1-1
NEC Nijmegen
1-1
W
H
Fortuna Sittard
4-1
Fortuna Sittard
4-1
L
H
Olympiacos F.C.
1-2
Olympiacos F.C.
1-2
W
H
FC Volendam
2-0
FC Volendam
2-0
D
H
Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
2W 3D 0L
2 GF · 1.6 GA
D
A
AZ
1-1
AZ
1-1
D
A
Excelsior
2-2
Excelsior
2-2
W
A
Villarreal
2-1
Villarreal
2-1
W
A
Telstar
3-2
Telstar
3-2
D
A
NEC Nijmegen
2-2
NEC Nijmegen
2-2
1W 3D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.4 GA
D
H
NEC Nijmegen
1-1
NEC Nijmegen
1-1
W
H
Fortuna Sittard
4-1
Fortuna Sittard
4-1
D
A
AZ
1-1
AZ
1-1
D
A
Excelsior
2-2
Excelsior
2-2
L
H
Olympiacos F.C.
1-2
Olympiacos F.C.
1-2
NEC Nijmegen
2W 3D 0L
2.2 GF · 1.6 GA
D
A
Ajax
1-1
Ajax
1-1
D
A
Sparta Rotterdam
1-1
Sparta Rotterdam
1-1
W
A
AZ
3-1
AZ
3-1
W
A
NAC Breda
4-3
NAC Breda
4-3
D
A
Telstar
2-2
Telstar
2-2
3W 1D 1L
2.4 GF · 1.6 GA
L
H
FC Utrecht
1-3
FC Utrecht
1-3
W
H
Heracles Almelo
4-1
Heracles Almelo
4-1
W
H
PEC Zwolle
2-1
PEC Zwolle
2-1
D
H
Ajax
2-2
Ajax
2-2
W
H
Sparta Rotterdam
3-1
Sparta Rotterdam
3-1
2W 3D 0L
2.2 GF · 1.6 GA
D
A
Ajax
1-1
Ajax
1-1
D
A
Sparta Rotterdam
1-1
Sparta Rotterdam
1-1
W
A
AZ
3-1
AZ
3-1
W
A
NAC Breda
4-3
NAC Breda
4-3
D
A
Telstar
2-2
Telstar
2-2
2W 2D 1L
2 GF · 1.4 GA
D
A
Ajax
1-1
Ajax
1-1
D
A
Sparta Rotterdam
1-1
Sparta Rotterdam
1-1
L
H
FC Utrecht
1-3
FC Utrecht
1-3
W
H
Heracles Almelo
4-1
Heracles Almelo
4-1
W
A
AZ
3-1
AZ
3-1
Sidelined Players
Ajax
4 out
Oleksandr Zinchenko
injury
Davy Klaassen
injury
Kasper Dolberg
injury
Vitezslav Jaros
injury
NEC Nijmegen
2 out
Bryan Linssen
injury
Bryan Linssen
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Ajax
5
50%
Draws
4
40%
NEC Nijmegen
1
10%
Avg Goals
2.8
BTTS
60%
League Signals
Predictability
57%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
55%
Over 2.5
58%
Final Words
Ajax have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Historically, Ajax have dominated this fixture.
