Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.29
60% pred
-17.9%
Draw
5.61
21% pred
+3.6%
MARGINAL
Away Win
9.01
19% pred
+7.8%
VALUE
BTTS Yes 1.72 48%
BTTS No 2.06 40%

Key Insights

High Scoring

Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

Ajax

Ajax matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 7 of last 8 matches (88%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 7 of last 8 matches (88%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Leaky Defense

Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Ajax

Ajax has Mika Godts ranked #5 in league scoring (10 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

85%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Feb 14 2026 · 19:00
Venue
Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam)
Competition
Eredivisie · 23
Referee
Rob Dieperink Rob Dieperink

Coaches

Fred Grim

Fred Grim

Ajax Ajax

In role since Nov 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Danny Buijs

Danny Buijs

Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard

In role since Jul 2023

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Ajax Ajax
2W 2D 1L
2 GF · 1.2 GA
D H NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-1
W H Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 4-1
L H Olympiacos F.C. Olympiacos F.C. 1-2
W H FC Volendam FC Volendam 2-0
D H Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-2
2W 2D 1L
2 GF · 1.2 GA
D H NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-1
W H Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 4-1
L H Olympiacos F.C. Olympiacos F.C. 1-2
W H FC Volendam FC Volendam 2-0
D H Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-2
2W 3D 0L
2 GF · 1.6 GA
D A AZ AZ 1-1
D A Excelsior Excelsior 2-2
W A Villarreal Villarreal 2-1
W A Telstar Telstar 3-2
D A NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 2-2
1W 3D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.4 GA
D H NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-1
W H Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 4-1
D A AZ AZ 1-1
D A Excelsior Excelsior 2-2
L H Olympiacos F.C. Olympiacos F.C. 1-2
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 2 GA
L A Ajax Ajax 1-4
L A Heracles Almelo Heracles Almelo 1-2
W A FC Groningen FC Groningen 2-1
D A Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-2
L A PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0-1
2W 1D 2L
2 GF · 2.2 GA
W H Excelsior Excelsior 2-1
D H Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-2
L H PSV PSV 1-2
W H AZ AZ 4-3
L H Ajax Ajax 1-3
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 2 GA
L A Ajax Ajax 1-4
L A Heracles Almelo Heracles Almelo 1-2
W A FC Groningen FC Groningen 2-1
D A Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-2
L A PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0-1
2W 1D 2L
1.6 GF · 2 GA
W H Excelsior Excelsior 2-1
L A Ajax Ajax 1-4
D H Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-2
L A Heracles Almelo Heracles Almelo 1-2
W A FC Groningen FC Groningen 2-1

Sidelined Players

Ajax Ajax 4 out
Oleksandr Zinchenko
Oleksandr Zinchenko
injury
Davy Klaassen
Davy Klaassen
injury
Kasper Dolberg
Kasper Dolberg
injury
Vitezslav Jaros
Vitezslav Jaros
injury
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 6 out
Mattijs Branderhorst
Mattijs Branderhorst
injury
Daley Sinkgraven
Daley Sinkgraven
injury
Luka Tunjic
Luka Tunjic
injury
Justin Lonwijk
Justin Lonwijk
injury
Ramazan Bayram
Ramazan Bayram
injury

+1 more

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Ajax
8
80%
Draws
2
20%
Fortuna Sittard
0
0%
Avg Goals
3.9
BTTS
40%

League Signals

Predictability
57%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
55%
Over 2.5
58%

Final Words

Ajax host Fortuna Sittard in the Eredivisie, with kickoff at 2026-02-14T19:00:00+00:00. Ajax are in fourth position and pursuing European qualification; Fortuna Sittard sit in eleventh place with rotation risk due to a congested schedule.
Ajax Ajax

Ajax host Fortuna Sittard in the Eredivisie. In the last five matches, Ajax's form is D-D-L-W-W with 8 goals for and 6 against. They won the only prior meeting with Fortuna Sittard.

Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard travel to Amsterdam for the Eredivisie match. Their last five results read D-L-W-L-D, with 8 goals for and 9 against. There is a rotation risk due to congestion of three fixtures in 14 days, and Ajax won the previous head-to-head meeting.