Aberdeen vs Celtic

Value Assessment

Home Win
6.40
30% pred
+14.5%
VALUE
Draw
4.68
26% pred
+5.0%
MARGINAL
Away Win
1.42
44% pred
-26.9%
BTTS Yes 1.75 47%
BTTS No 2.01 41%

Key Insights

Title Race

Celtic

Celtic in position 3, 6 points behind leader - competing for title

Medium impact

Streak Watch

Celtic

Celtic unbeaten in 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws) - solid defensive form

Medium impact

Leaky Defense

Aberdeen

Aberdeen has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Celtic

Celtic has Benjamin Nygren ranked #2 in league scoring (12 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 43.6% away win vs 70.4% market consensus - lower probability, 26.9% gap

High impact

Match Normality

80%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Wed, Mar 4 2026 · 20:00
Venue
Pittodrie Stadium (Aberdeen)
Competition
Premiership · 25
Referee
Don Robertson Don Robertson

Coaches

Peter McDonald Leven

Peter McDonald Leven

Aberdeen Aberdeen

In role since Jan 2026

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Martin O'Neill

Martin O'Neill

Celtic Celtic

In role since Jan 2026

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Aberdeen Aberdeen
2W 1D 2L
2.2 GF · 1.8 GA
L H Dundee Dundee 2-3
W H Livingston Livingston 6-2
L H Rangers Rangers 0-2
D H Dundee United Dundee United 1-1
W H Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-1
2W 1D 2L
2.2 GF · 1.8 GA
L H Dundee Dundee 2-3
W H Livingston Livingston 6-2
L H Rangers Rangers 0-2
D H Dundee United Dundee United 1-1
W H Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-1
0W 1D 4L
0 GF · 1.6 GA
D A Dundee United Dundee United 0-0
L A Motherwell Motherwell 0-2
L A Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-3
L A Rangers Rangers 0-2
L A Falkirk Falkirk 0-1
1W 1D 3L
1.6 GF · 2 GA
D A Dundee United Dundee United 0-0
L H Dundee Dundee 2-3
L A Motherwell Motherwell 0-2
L A Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-3
W H Livingston Livingston 6-2
Celtic Celtic
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W A Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3-2
D A Hearts Hearts 2-2
D A Bologna Bologna 2-2
W A Falkirk Falkirk 1-0
L A Motherwell Motherwell 0-2
3W 0D 2L
2 GF · 1.8 GA
L H Hibernian Hibernian 1-2
L H VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 1-4
W H Livingston Livingston 2-1
W H Falkirk Falkirk 2-0
W H FC Utrecht FC Utrecht 4-2
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W A Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3-2
D A Hearts Hearts 2-2
D A Bologna Bologna 2-2
W A Falkirk Falkirk 1-0
L A Motherwell Motherwell 0-2
3W 0D 2L
1.8 GF · 1.8 GA
L H Hibernian Hibernian 1-2
L H VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 1-4
W A Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3-2
W H Livingston Livingston 2-1
W H Falkirk Falkirk 2-0

Sidelined Players

Aberdeen Aberdeen 0 out

No reported absences

Celtic Celtic 2 out
Luis Palma
Luis Palma
suspension
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
suspended

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Aberdeen
0
0%
Draws
2
20%
Celtic
8
80%
Avg Goals
4.0
BTTS
60%

League Signals

Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
52%

Final Words

Aberdeen have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. The head-to-head favors Celtic in recent meetings.