Serie A Predictions

Serie A Predictions

Italy's Top League, Understood

Statistical analysis and predictions for Serie A. Tactical, methodical, transparent.

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Monday, 12 January 2026

Serie A matches with statistical analysis

Genoa target end to winless run against Cagliari.
17:30
Serie A
Genoa Genoa 3
Cagliari Cagliari 0
1
39.4%
66% trust
X
35.8%
66% trust
2
24.7%
68% trust
BTTS
42%
55% trust
Cremonese eager to end five-game winless run as Juve clash looms.
19:45
Serie A
Juventus Juventus 5
Cremonese Cremonese 0
1
67.6%
66% trust
X
22.1%
66% trust
2
10.3%
66% trust
BTTS
36.4%
55% trust

The Shape of Serie A

Serie A moves at its own pace. Matches are measured, shaped by structure and intention rather than urgency. Control matters. Space is negotiated carefully. The game is rarely rushed — and neither are the numbers that describe it.

This rhythm produces patterns that differ from much of European football. Draws are more common, goal margins narrower, and defensive balance remains influential well into the second half. Markets sometimes approach Serie A with assumptions formed elsewhere, where speed and volume dominate. In Italy, those assumptions can mislead.

For those willing to look closely, Serie A rewards patience. The value often lies not in chaos, but in predictability — in understanding how matches are allowed to breathe, settle, and resolve themselves.

Serie A Identity

How this league behaves. Statistical markers from past 5 seasons.

Home Win
39.1%
Home advantage matters
Draw
27.1%
Tactical stalemates
Away Win
33.8%
Against the odds
Over 2.5
51%
High-scoring affairs
Goals Per Match
2.7
Attacking patterns emerging
BTTS
54.2%
Both teams score
Clean Sheets
6.4%
Defensive mastery
Scoring Minutes
0-15'
13%
15-30'
14%
30-45'
17%
45-60'
16.6%
60-75'
16.8%
75-90'
22.6%
Cards
4.5
+0.1 red
Predictability
50.5%
Pattern confidence
Blanks
6.3%
Failed to score
Corners
9.5
Per match

Serie A Standings

Current league table

POS TEAM P W D L GD PTS
1
Inter INT
20 15 1 4 +26 46
2
AC Milan MIL
19 11 7 1 +15 40
3
Napoli NAP
20 12 4 4 +13 40
4
Juventus JUV
20 11 6 3 +16 39
5
Roma ROM
20 13 0 7 +12 39
6
Como COM
19 9 7 3 +14 34
7
Atalanta ATA
20 8 7 5 +6 31
8
Lazio LAZ
20 7 7 6 +5 28
9
Bologna BOL
19 7 6 6 +6 27
10
Udinese UDI
20 7 5 8 -10 26
11
Torino TOR
20 6 5 9 -11 23
12
Sassuolo SAS
20 6 5 9 -4 23
13
Cremonese USC
20 5 7 8 -8 22
14
Parma PRM
20 5 7 8 -8 22
15
Genoa GEN
20 4 7 9 -7 19
16
Cagliari CAG
20 4 7 9 -9 19
17
Lecce LEC
20 4 5 11 -15 17
18
Fiorentina FIO
20 2 8 10 -10 14
19
Pisa PIS
20 1 10 9 -15 13
20
Hellas Verona VER
19 2 7 10 -16 13
Inter predictions and statistics Inter AC Milan predictions and statistics AC Milan Napoli predictions and statistics Napoli Juventus predictions and statistics Juventus Roma predictions and statistics Roma Como predictions and statistics Como Atalanta predictions and statistics Atalanta Lazio predictions and statistics Lazio Bologna predictions and statistics Bologna Udinese predictions and statistics Udinese Torino predictions and statistics Torino Sassuolo predictions and statistics Sassuolo Cremonese predictions and statistics Cremonese Parma predictions and statistics Parma Genoa predictions and statistics Genoa Cagliari predictions and statistics Cagliari Lecce predictions and statistics Lecce Fiorentina predictions and statistics Fiorentina Pisa predictions and statistics Pisa Hellas Verona predictions and statistics Hellas Verona