TSG Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.51
64% pred
-2.3%
Draw
4.42
21% pred
-1.7%
Away Win
5.94
15% pred
-1.7%
BTTS Yes 1.88 55%
BTTS No 1.87 45%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

St. Pauli

St. Pauli in position 16 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Must Win

St. Pauli

St. Pauli in position 16 with poor recent form (7% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Home Fortress

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (8 wins, 0 draws) - strong home advantage

Medium impact

Away Struggles

St. Pauli

St. Pauli winless in last 8 away matches (2 draws, 6 losses) - poor away record

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

St. Pauli

St. Pauli matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Top Scorer

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim has Andrej Kramaric ranked #8 in league scoring (10 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

90%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Feb 28 2026 · 14:30
Venue
PreZero Arena (Sinsheim)
Competition
Bundesliga · 24

Coaches

Christian Ilzer

Christian Ilzer

TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim

In role since Nov 2024

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Alexander Blessin

Alexander Blessin

St. Pauli St. Pauli

In role since Jul 2024

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim
5W 0D 0L
3.2 GF · 0.6 GA
W H SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 3-0
W H FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 3-1
W H Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1-0
W H Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 5-1
W H Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 4-1
5W 0D 0L
3.2 GF · 0.6 GA
W H SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 3-0
W H FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 3-1
W H Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1-0
W H Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 5-1
W H Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 4-1
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
D A FC Köln FC Köln 2-2
L A FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-5
W A Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-0
W A Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1
D A VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 0-0
3W 1D 1L
2.2 GF · 1.6 GA
D A FC Köln FC Köln 2-2
W H SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 3-0
L A FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-5
W H FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 3-1
W A Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-0
St. Pauli St. Pauli
0W 1D 4L
0.8 GF · 2.2 GA
L A Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0-4
L A FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1-2
L A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-3
L A VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 1-2
D A FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 0-0
3W 2D 0L
1.4 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-1
W H VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 2-1
D H RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-1
D H Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 0-0
W H Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-1
0W 1D 4L
0.8 GF · 2.2 GA
L A Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0-4
L A FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1-2
L A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-3
L A VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 1-2
D A FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 0-0
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
W H Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-1
L A Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0-4
W H VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 2-1
L A FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1-2
D H RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-1

Sidelined Players

TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 9 out
Alexander Prass
Alexander Prass
injury
Adam Hlozek
Adam Hlozek
injury
Tim Lemperle
Tim Lemperle
injury
Ihlas Bebou
Ihlas Bebou
injury
Ihlas Bebou
Ihlas Bebou
injury

+4 more

St. Pauli St. Pauli 6 out
David Nemeth
David Nemeth
injury
Simon Spari
Simon Spari
injury
Andréas Hountondji
Andréas Hountondji
injury
Christopher Avevor
Christopher Avevor
injury
Connor Metcalfe
Connor Metcalfe
injury

+1 more

Head-to-Head (Last 5)

TSG Hoffenheim
2
40%
Draws
1
20%
St. Pauli
2
40%
Avg Goals
2.2
BTTS
20%

League Signals

Predictability
58%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.1
HIGH
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
60%