Hearts vs Aberdeen

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.39
72% pred
+0.1%
Draw
4.66
19% pred
-2.5%
Away Win
7.52
9% pred
-4.3%
BTTS Yes 1.88 41%
BTTS No 1.83 59% MARGINAL

Key Insights

Title Race

Hearts

Hearts leading the table - high motivation to maintain position

High impact

Rotation Risk

Aberdeen

Aberdeen has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Home Fortress

Hearts

Hearts unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (5 wins, 3 draws) - strong home advantage

Medium impact

Away Struggles

Aberdeen

Aberdeen winless in last 8 away matches (1 draws, 7 losses) - poor away record

Medium impact

Defensive Fortress

Hearts

Hearts has excellent defensive record: 5 clean sheets in last 8 matches (62%) - favors Under/BTTS No

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Hearts

Hearts has Cláudio Braga ranked #3 in league scoring (11 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

85%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Feb 28 2026 · 15:00
Venue
Tynecastle Park (Edinburgh)
Competition
Premiership · 29
Referee
Kevin Clancy Kevin Clancy

Coaches

Derek McInnes

Derek McInnes

Hearts Hearts

In role since May 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Peter McDonald Leven

Peter McDonald Leven

Aberdeen Aberdeen

In role since Jan 2026

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Hearts Hearts
4W 1D 0L
1.4 GF · 0.4 GA
W H Falkirk Falkirk 1-0
W H Hibernian Hibernian 1-0
D H Celtic Celtic 2-2
W H St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0
W H Livingston Livingston 1-0
4W 1D 0L
1.4 GF · 0.4 GA
W H Falkirk Falkirk 1-0
W H Hibernian Hibernian 1-0
D H Celtic Celtic 2-2
W H St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0
W H Livingston Livingston 1-0
2W 0D 3L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
L A Rangers Rangers 2-4
L A St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-1
W A Dundee United Dundee United 3-0
W A Dundee Dundee 1-0
L A Hibernian Hibernian 2-3
3W 0D 2L
1.4 GF · 1 GA
W H Falkirk Falkirk 1-0
L A Rangers Rangers 2-4
W H Hibernian Hibernian 1-0
L A St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-1
W A Dundee United Dundee United 3-0
Aberdeen Aberdeen
0W 1D 4L
0 GF · 1.6 GA
D A Dundee United Dundee United 0-0
L A Motherwell Motherwell 0-2
L A Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-3
L A Rangers Rangers 0-2
L A Falkirk Falkirk 0-1
2W 1D 2L
2.2 GF · 1.8 GA
L H Dundee Dundee 2-3
W H Livingston Livingston 6-2
L H Rangers Rangers 0-2
D H Dundee United Dundee United 1-1
W H Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-1
0W 1D 4L
0 GF · 1.6 GA
D A Dundee United Dundee United 0-0
L A Motherwell Motherwell 0-2
L A Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-3
L A Rangers Rangers 0-2
L A Falkirk Falkirk 0-1
1W 1D 3L
1.6 GF · 2 GA
D A Dundee United Dundee United 0-0
L H Dundee Dundee 2-3
L A Motherwell Motherwell 0-2
L A Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-3
W H Livingston Livingston 6-2

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Hearts
4
40%
Draws
2
20%
Aberdeen
4
40%
Avg Goals
2.3
BTTS
40%

League Signals

Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
52%

Final Words

Aberdeen have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.